Hello all. Tide indicators for 16 May 2020 had been updated. Please visit blog to view full updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/ Fund flow of the stock market continue to remain Bearish this week, where my 4 of my Tide indicators are still Short on the stock market. This will be the fourth consecutive week that majority of my Tide Indicators had reversed from Long to Short on the stock market. Looking at the current fund flow data, I am expecting that the fund flow to remain Bearish next week (23 May 2020) and majority of my Tide Indicators will surely reverse from Long to Short for 5 continuous weeks. Indicating that a market peak will be approaching the stock market in the coming short term after 23 May 2020. Following up with my view on the current stock market status, I am still maintaining my view that the stock market is on a corrective wave down currently. I am expecting another impulsive wave up to the market peak that my Tide Indicators will be warning about after the end of this corrective wave down. For those who are planning to go Long for the long term currently, the current market level might not be a good timing to do so as opportunities to short the stock market might be arising soon. I will say it is only recommended go Long for short term currently. The full Tide Indicators analysis will be posted in my blog on 18 May 2020. Cheers!
Hello all! Fund flow of the stock market continue to remain Bearish this week, where my 4 of my Tide indicators are still Short on the stock market. This will be the fourth consecutive week that majority of my Tide Indicators had reversed from Long to Short on the stock market. Please visit blog to view full analysis: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-16-may-2020/ To recap again, if majority (at least 3) of my Tide Indicators reverse from Long to Short for continuous 5 weeks, it will indicate that a market peak will be approaching the stock market in the coming short term. Looking at the current fund flow data, I am expecting that the fund flow to remain the same in my next update on 23 May 2020 and majority of my Tide Indicators will surely reverse from Long to Short for continuous 5 weeks. This mean that it is likely that a market peak will be approaching the stock market in the coming short term after 23 May 2020 unless there is significant changes in the fund flow. As next week is then the “golden week” that my Tide Indicators will likely change to Neutral from Bullish, I remain Bullish on the stock market, with expectation that there is still room for the stock market to trend up after the end of this corrective wave down that I mentioned in my previous weeks’s analysis. Following up with the above 3 major charts (S&P, Hang Seng, STI) from last week, all 3 charts have nicely trended down closer to the key areas that I am monitoring. For the upcoming week, I am still expecting the above 3 charts to trend down further to reach the above key areas. As STI seems quite weak, it is likely for STI to break its key area while S&P and Hang Seng might rebound at its respective key area. I will be looking out for bullish price action to signal the start of the next impulsive wave up when the 3 major charts reach the key areas stated above. It might be the last opportunity to go Long for short term on the stock market before it reaches its peak. As mentioned above, it is likely majority of my Tide Indicators will reverse from Long to Short for 5 continuous weeks, indicating that a market peak will be approaching the stock market in the coming short term after 23 May 2020. For those who are planning to go Long for the long term currently, the current market level might not be a good timing to do so as opportunities to short the stock market might be arising soon. I will say that it is only recommended go Long for the short term currently. Therefore, remain caution if you are planning to go Long for the long term currently. Looking forward to next week Tide Indicators and I will update in my blog if there is any significant development in the stock market. Cheers!
Hello all! Tide Indicators for 23 May 2020 had been updated. Please visit blog to view full updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/ There is no change in the fund flow of the stock market this week where it continues to remain Bearish. This will be the "golden" 5th week that majority (at least 3) of my Tide Indicators had reversed from Long to Short on the stock market. These continuous 5 weeks of Bearish flow fund will indicate that a market peak will be approaching the stock market in the coming short term. With the above 5 weeks confirmation, my Tide Indicators will be now Neutral instead of Bullish. When my Tide Indicators is Neutral, it will mean that I will be closing my Long positions that I opened on 27 March 2020 in phases as the stock market continue to trend up to its peak. Please note that being Neutral does not mean that I am expecting the stock market to be ranging. Instead, as long as the stock market has not reach its peak, it will continue to trend up. Going forward, I will be actively looking out for bearish price action in the stock market which may signify the market peak. I will share more about my upcoming trading plan and market direction in my full analysis which be posted on 25 May 2020. Have a nice weekend everyone!
Hello all. This week, there is no change in the Bearish fund flow of the stock market where 4 out of 6 (majority) of my Tide indicators remain Short on the stock market. Please visit blog to view full charts and analysis: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-23-may-2020/ This will be the “golden” 5th week that majority (at least 3) of my Tide Indicators had reversed from Long to Short on the stock market. Remember that I followed a very simple rule to spot a trend reversal. It is that majority of my Tide indicators must “reverse” for continuous 5 weeks. Therefore, the above continuous 5 weeks of Bearish flow fund will give me an advance warning that a market peak will be approaching the stock market in the coming short term. With the 5 weeks’ confirmation from my Tide Indicators, I am now Neutral instead of Bullish on the stock market, with expectation that the stock market will continue to trend up but will reach its peak in the coming short term. While pending bearish price action in the stock market, I am still not Bearish yet! When my Tide Indicators is Neutral, it will mean that I will be closing my Long positions that I opened on 27 March 2020 in planned phases as the stock market continue to trend up to its peak. My trading plan are written in my blog. Some of you might be wondering about my definition of “coming short term”. There is no hard and fast rule for this as the market is ever-changing. It happens faster sometimes, and it happens slower another time. But usually I will give it a maximum of 6 weeks. Therefore, I am expecting a market peak happening within 6 weeks from 23 May 2020. Now that a market peak is confirmed to be approaching in the coming short term, another question might be how “high” will the stock market continue to trend up. For it to be termed a “market peak”, I will say that all the major charts must break/reach its recent high. So a reasonable estimates will be that all the major charts will surely break/reach its recent high. Therefore, I am expecting the stock market to have another impulsive wave up (to its peak) in the upcoming weeks and will make use of the upcoming impulsive wave up to take profits on at least 80% of my Long positions. This upcoming impulsive wave up is also likely the last opportunity to go Long for the short term on the stock market to the actual peak that my Tide Indicators is forewarning about. Looking forward to the upcoming impulsive wave up here. Let’s enjoy the last wave of bullish tide before the bearish tide arrives. Trade with the tide!
Hello all! Tide Indicators for 30 May 2020 had been updated. Please visit blog to view full updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/ Last week, my Tide Indicators had already provided me with an advance warning that the stock market is expected to reach its peak in the coming short term. There is no change in this Bearish fund flow this week, and the Smart money remains bearish on the stock market. Currently, I am still awaiting for bearish price action in the stock market to confirm the market peak. Pending bearish price action in the major charts, I remain Neutral (not bearish yet) on the stock market. In the meantime, I will still be focusing on reducing my Long positions in planned phases and had closed 30% of my Long positions on Wednesday and Thursday as per my trading plan. I will be also slightly amending my trading plan after this week of weak price action in the major charts and it will be written in my full Tide Indicators analysis. Do note that there is still no plan to short the market yet pending bearish price action in the major charts. The full Tide Indicators analysis will be posted in my blog on 1 June 2020. Cheers!
Hello all. This week, there is no change in the Bearish fund flow of the stock market from last week and the Smart money continue to have a Bearish stance on the stock market. Please visit blog to view the full Tide Indicators analysis: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-30-may-2020/ Last week (23 May 2020), my Tide Indicators had already provided me with an advance warning that the stock market is expected to reach its peak in the coming short term. Now, the only question is when exactly will the stock market reach its peak. Looking at all the major charts, I did not notice any confirmed bearish price action signaling the market peak/reversal yet. Pending bearish price action in the major charts, I remain Neutral (not bearish yet) on the stock market. Do note that only when bearish price action starts to appear in the major charts, my Tide Indicators will then be Bearish instead of Neutral and I will start to short the stock market. This week, Nadaq, AUD/JPY and Crude oil had reached my estimations I set in my blog, with only the Asia markets left behind. Looking at this week weak price action in the Asia markets and the ongoing uncertainty from the trade tensions between US and China, I am now of view that STI, SSEC and Hang Seng is unlikely to reach/break its recent high and I will remove the estimations set for STI, SSEC and Hang Seng. Now that all my estimations (excluding STI, SSEC and Hang Seng) had been reached. I will say that, technical analysis wise, the stock market is due for a reversal now. In the upcoming weeks, the major charts that I will be actively monitoring are stated in my blog. Only when bearish price action start to appear in majority of the major charts, then my Tide Indicators will be changed to Bearish from Neutral. I will update in my blog if bearish price action do start to appear in the major charts. In the upcoming weeks, I will also be focusing on reducing my Long positions in planned phases. On 27 May and 28 May 2020 trading, I had already closed 30% of my Long positions opened on 27 March 2020 as per my trading plan. Due to changes in my estimations for STI, SSEC and Hang Seng, I had also made some changes to my trading plan and they are written in my blog. Do remain extremely cautious if you are planning to go Long currently as my Tide Indicators had already provided me with an advance warning that the stock market is expected to reach its peak in the coming short term. Awaiting the market peak soon. All the best trading everyone!
Hello all! Tide Indicators had been updated for 6 June 2020. Please visit blog to view full Tide Indicators updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/ It had been 2 weeks from 23 May 2020 where my Tide Indicators had given me with an advance warning that the stock market is expected to reach its peak in the coming short term. So far, there is no change in these Bearish fund flow and the Smart money continue to have a Bearish stance on the stock market. What remains outstanding is still bearish price action in the stock market then I will start to short the stock market. This week, the stock market continue to enjoy a good bull run up and I did not notice any confirmed bearish price action yet in the major charts. Therefore, I remain Neutral (not Bearish yet) on the stock market. I wish to reiterate that even though my Tide Indicators is pointing to a market peak in the coming short term, do stay patient and not rush into going short without a clear sign of reversal. The stock market will still continue to trend up as long as the peak is not reached yet. There is no need to guess when exactly the peak will happen and let the price action inform us when it did. I will share more about the fund flow data in the full Tide Indicators analysis which will be posted in my blog on 8 June 2020. Cheers!
Hello all! This week, I remain Neutral (not bearish yet) on the stock market, while pending bearish price action to signal the start of the market reversal. Please visit blog to view full Tide Indicators analysis: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-6-june-2020/ Headlines this week had been referencing about a V-shaped recovery in the stock market. My personal view is that I do witnessed a V-shaped recovery in the stronger charts like: Nasdaq, S&P, KOSPI etc. For myself, I am glad to be able to ride both the down and up of the V-shape recovery thanks to my Tide Indicators. From 23 January 2020 where I started to short the stock market following the signal from my Tide Indicators, then switching to Long from 27 March 2020 following my Tide Indicators, it has been a massive ride down then up for myself. For those that have been following my Tide Indicators since the creation of my blog, hope it has benefited you during these massive ride down and up. Now, the only question from myself will be: Will the V-shaped recovery end soon? And as per My Tide Indicators, the answer is Yes and pretty soon. Now, it had been 2 weeks from 23 May 2020 where my Tide Indicators had given me with an advance warning that the stock market is expected to reach its peak in the coming short term. So far, there is no change in the Bearish fund flow of the stock market and the Smart money continue to have a Bearish stance. The timeline remains the same and I am still expecting a market reversal happening within 6 weeks from 23 May 2020. What remains outstanding is still bearish price action in the major charts to signal the start of the market reversal. Something interesting for last week is that even though I had lower my expectations for STI, SSEC and Hang Seng, they still managed to reach my estimations that I set for them previously: – Nasdaq: To break 938X (estimation reached) – STI: To break 266X (*estimation reached this week*) – SSEC: To break 290X (*estimation reached this week*) – Hang Seng: To break 2478X (*estimation reached this week*) – AUD/JPY: To break $70.9X (estimation reached) – Crude oil: To break $34.0X (estimation reached) These recent impulsive run in both the Asian and US markets seem to be telling me that the stock market is currently in a stage of extreme FOMO. As my Tide Indicators is pointing to a market peak in the coming short term, what I will be doing now will be reducing my Long positions as the stock market continue to trend up instead of adding on to my Long positions. These impulsive run might be signaling that the upcoming market reversal might be a huge one given the level of extreme FOMO in the stock market currently. But the magnitude of the upcoming market reversal is just my personal opinion and only Mr Market has the actual answer. In upcoming week, what I will be doing is still monitoring the major charts stated in my blog for bearish price action. Till date, there is no bearish price action observed in any of the major charts yet. If bearish action do start to appear in majority of the major charts in the upcoming week, then I will close the remaining of my Long positions as per my trading plan. If not, I will let my remaining Long positions to continue to run till I noticed bearish price action in the major charts. Patiently waiting for the market peak and bearish price action here. All the best trading / investing everyone!
Hello all. A short stock market status update about the bearish price action in the stock market currently. Please visit blog to view the full updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tideinvestor-stock-market-status-update-11-june-2020/ There is no change that the earliest date that my Tide Indicators will turn to Bearish from Neutral is on Friday trading. If the bearish price action do continue on Friday, I will have another stock market status update tomorrow about the bearish confirmation. Let’s continue to actively monitor the major charts and be extremely careful going Long in the meanwhile as the start of the Bearish tide might be approaching.
Hello all! Tide Indicators (for 13 June 2020) had been updated today. Please visit blog to view the full updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/ This week, we can see that Bearish price action are being revealed one by one in the stock market. Even though I couldn't get a bearish confirmation on Friday trading and still remain Neutral on stock market, overall the bearish tide seems to be taking over pretty soon. Furthermore, as per the Tide Indicators for today (13 June 2020), we can see the fund flow on JPY had finally reversed to Short on the stock market. This further confirmed to me that a market peak/reversal is imminent. The price action on monday trading or next week will be important for myself regarding my remaining Long positions and trading plan. I am looking forward to the upcoming Bearish tide and more will be shared in the full Tide Indicators analysis which will be posted in my blog on 15 June 2020.
Hello all! With the bearish price action in the stock market today, Tideinvestor is no longer Long on the stock market anymore! Please visit blog to view the full analysis: https://tideinvestor.com/tideinvestor-stock-market-status-update-xx-june-2020/ Today, bearish price action can now be seen on majority of the major charts that I am monitoring, which confirmed to me that a market peak had approached. With all these bearish price action and as forewarned from my Tide Indicators that a market peak will be approaching the stock market, I am now Bearish instead of Neutral on the stock market. The Bearish tide has finally arrived and I had closed the remaining of my Long positions according to my trading plan. You may also find my planned Bearish tide portfolio in my blog. With this market peak arriving, it had again summed up another trading cycle of mine from End-March 2020 to Mid-June 2020. It has been a massive ride up following the massive ride down previously. Trade with the tide and all the best trading everyone!
Hello all! Tide Indicators for 20 June 2020 had been updated. Please visit blog to view full Tide Indicators updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/ As mentioned in my stock market status update on 15 June 2020, bearish action can now be seen on majority of the major charts and a market reversal to bearish is taking place in the stock market now. This week, fund flow on 4 of my Tide Indicators still remain Short on the stock market, implying that the Smart Money continue to have a Bearish stance on the stock market. Currently, there is no trend reversal back to bullish in sight yet. Now that I am Bearish on the stock market, I have started to build my bearish tide portfolio in batches. I will be talking more about how to apply my Tide Indicators more accurately in timing the market and the suggested buying strategies in the upcoming Tide Indicators analysis. And the full analysis will be posted on 22 June 2020 in my blog. Have a nice weekend everyone!
Hello all. This week, fund flow on 4 of my Tide Indicators remain Short on the stock market, implying that the Smart Money continue to have a Bearish stance on the stock market. Please visit blog to view the full analysis: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-20-june-2020/ For those who are awaiting for the next bullish run, I will say that is no trend reversal back to bullish in sight yet. Overall, the fund flow of the stock market remains Bearish and the upcoming Bearish tide will last for quite awhile. With the bearish price action in the major charts and as forewarned by my Tide Indicators that a market peak will be approaching, I am now Bearish instead of Neutral on the stock market. I had started to build my bearish tide portfolio in batches and my trading plan are stated in my blog. I had also lay the logic behind the Tide Indicators and the suggested buying strategies in the blog. If you believe in timing the market, I do not recommend going Long on the stock market anymore. Personally, I think that you can start shorting the stock market with confidence. Going by the recent price action in the major charts, I will say that we are still pretty much at the start of the bearish tide. In the upcoming week, I am expecting more strong downwards movement in the stock market which will validate the bearish tide again. Therefore, be extremely careful of going Long the stock market unless you are confident in your fundamental analysis or technical analysis. All the best trading everyone and trade with the tide!
Hello all! Tide Indicators for 27 June 2020 had been updated. Please visit blog to view the full Tide Indicators updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/ This week, there is slight change in the fund flow of my Tide Indicators where CHF is now Long on the stock market. This is a slight bullish sign where it might hint that the ongoing bearish tide might be a short-lived one. But I will require the Tide Indicators for at least the next two weeks to confirm the above. In the meantime, I do not expect the bearish tide to end within the next 3 weeks. For now, I will say it's too early to talk about any reversal back to bullish and I still remain Bearish on the stock market. From the major charts, we can see that the bearish tide have started to its work again and I am expecting the stock market to trend down further in the coming weeks. I will share more in the full Tide Indicators analysis which will be posted in my blog on 29 June 2020. Cheers!
Hello all. This week, there is still no sign of reversal back to Bullish yet from my Tide Indicators and I remain Bearish on the stock market. Please visit blog to view the full Tide Indicators analysis: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-27-june-2020/ This week, there are slight changes in the fund flow of my Tide Indicators where CHF is now Long on the stock market. This is a slight bullish sign where it might hint that the current bearish tide might be a short-lived one (not confirmed yet). I will require the Tide Indicators for at least the next two weeks to confirm the fund flow is indeed getting more bullish. Overall, as per my Tide Indicators, the fund flow of the stock market still remain more towards Bearish. From the major charts, we can see that the start of the current bearish tide is a slower one as the stronger charts (like Nasdaq and Crude Oil) have attempted a double top before heading down again. Nonetheless, bearish price action can also be seen in the Nasdaq chart now in addition to those stated in my previous Tide Indicators analysis. The bearish price action in the Nasdaq chart further confirmed to me again that the market peak is here. While for the weaker charts (like S&P and STI), we can see that the weaker charts have started its next wave of bearish tide down already. All these are bearish signs to me. With all the bearish price action in both the stronger and weaker charts currently, I am expecting the upcoming week to be Bearish for the stock market with more major movement downwards. Charts wise and timing wise, I will say that it is extremely risky to go Long for the upcoming week as Bearish tide is very likely to take over again to continue the trend down. A reasonable estimates will be for the major charts to break their recent low in the upcoming week(s). To reiterate again, the market peak is here and a market reversal is taking place in the stock market now. I am looking forward to more Bearish tide movement in the stock market in the upcoming weeks to come. All the best trading everyone and trade with the tide!
Been watching this thread. I like your methodology and analysis. Might have to real-world test it sometime.
Hello all! As there are some gap between the previous and next Tide Indicators updates, I would like to keep you all updated about my expectations about the stock market for the upcoming week first. Please visit blog to view the full Stock market status update: https://tideinvestor.com/tideinvestor-stock-market-status-update-5-july-2020/ Last week, the stock market did not really move within my expectation as the next wave of bearish tide movement that I am expecting did not materialized. Instead, the major charts are now stuck in a range of consolidation with the next major movement still pending. These could be either a Bullish consolidation or Bearish consolidation. However, as my Tide Indicators is Bearish currently, it is surely favouring a Bearish consolidation. For the upcoming week, the major charts that I will be monitoring are the S&P, KOSPI and AUD/JPY charts. In the 3 major charts, we can see that all of them are at the top of the range currently. As my Tide Indicators is favouring a Bearish consolidation, I am expecting more downwards than upwards movement in the upcoming week to confirm that it is a Bearish consolidation. In the weeks to come, I am expecting a breakdown towards the bottom of the range and this bearish breakdown will likely signal the start of the next major bearish tide downwards movement. Therefore, let’s monitor the price action actively. I am also looking forward to the next Tide Indicators updates and I will share more in my next Tide Indicators analysis on 9 July 2020. All the best trading everyone!
Hello all! Latest Tide Indicators for 7 July 2020 had been updated. Please visit blog to view the full Tide Indicators updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/ Some of you might be wondering if there is any change in my view of the stock market currently. There is still no change in my Bearish view as the fund flow of the stock market still remain Bearish (majority of my Tide Indicators remain Short on the stock market). For the remaining of the week, I will also say there is no change in my expectation as stated in my recent Stock market status update. I am expecting more downwards than upwards movement in the stock market. I will say it's pretty crucial for the stock market to have some strong downwards movement this week. Therefore, let’s continue to monitor the price action actively. I will provide a mid-week update again in my Tide Indicators analysis after Wednesday closing. Cheers!
Hello all! This week, the fund flow of Crude Oil #2 had reversed to Short on the stock market again. Please visit blog to view the full Tide Indicators analysis: https://www.tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-7-july-2020/ This change in the flow flow of my Tide Indicators further confirmed again that the fund flow of the stock market still remain Bearish. As majority of my Tide Indicators still remain Short on the stock market, it does not support any Bullish view on the stock market. Therefore, I remain Bearish on the stock market, with expectation that there will be significant downwards movement in the stock market in the coming weeks. As the Tide Indicators are updated in the middle of the week this time, I will treat it as a mid-week update on my expectations of the stock market further to my Stock market status update on 5 July 2020. As of Wednesday closing, I can see that there some significant development in the price action of the key charts that I am monitoring. From the KOSPI and S&P charts, we can see that it had attempted to break through the top of the consolidation range but had failed to do so. And now there might be a possible false breakout in the making. This is a bearish sign and this will be ideal for the Bearish tide if there is more downwards movement in the charts during the remaining of the week to affirm this. For the remaining of the week, I will say that it will be crucial for the 3 key charts to have more downwards movements as they are still at the top of the consolidation range currently. The possible false breakout in the KOSPI and S&P charts are a surely good sign for the Bearish tide and it will be more complete if the 3 Key charts are able to close nearer to the low of the consolidation range this week. Therefore, let’s continue to monitor the price action actively and remain patient here. I will update in my blog if there are any significant development in the price action of the Key charts again. All the best trading everyone and trade with the tide!
