Daily Discussion - Main Discussion thread

Discussion in 'Stock Market Today' started by T0rm3nted, Feb 8, 2021.

  1. Spud

    Spud Well-Known Member

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    Tesla is sputtering, that may help with the downside. All cash for now letting the short side do their magic for lower prices.
     
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  2. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    The market held up better than I thought with the way the bond yields and the dollars rising today :eek:
     
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  3. Spud

    Spud Well-Known Member

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    Let interest rates go back like it was in the 80s. Back then we still manufactured a few things though.
     
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  4. removedatuserrequest

    removedatuserrequest Well-Known Member

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    Top of the morning Stockaholics! Happy Thursday to all and welcome to the new trading day and a fresh start. Here is a quick check on those futures as we are about 3 hours from the cash market open.

    GLTA on this Thursday, October the 6th, 2022. :cool2::thumbsup:

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  5. removedatuserrequest

    removedatuserrequest Well-Known Member

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  6. removedatuserrequest

    removedatuserrequest Well-Known Member

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    Morning Lineup - 10/6/22 - Focus Turns to Jobs
    Thu, Oct 6, 2022

    The focus for the rest of the week will be on jobs and Fedspeak with jobless claims today (higher than expected) and the September jobs report coming out tomorrow. In addition to the hard data, there are at least seven Fed speakers scheduled to speak between now and the end of the trading week. Last night, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic was relatively hawkish when he noted that the fight against inflation was still in its 'early days' and sees the Fed Funds rate rising to around 4.5% by the end of the year and then from there the Fed should assess where the economy is heading. The path of a hike to 4% or 4.5% and then a pause (rather than a pivot) from there seems to be the Fed's 'plan' at this point.

    Investor sentiment this week improved after the market's rally but with bullish sentiment still below 24% sentiment remains extremely depressed. There’s still a lot going wrong these days. The prices we’re paying for everything remain higher than we could have ever imagined, relations with China and Russia haven’t been this strained in a generation, a major hurricane just decimated parts of one of the country’s largest states, and by some measures, Americans have never been more miserable. It stinks out there.

    But if you think you have it bad now, we’ve been here before, and it’s been even worse. Consider yourself lucky that Joe Biden isn’t on TV or TikTok today with a hammer and nails giving you a step-by-step guide on how to build a bomb shelter in the event of a nuclear attack. That may sound farfetched, but that’s where we were just 51 years ago today when President Kennedy made the comments above in a speech on the threats of an attack. And this was a full year before the Cuban Missile Crisis. The current geo-political backdrop is far from stable these days, but at least we’re not all learning to build bomb shelters in our basements or know at least where the closest Fallout Shelter is. Some of you out there may even remember firsthand or through stories from your parents of drills where they would get under their desks in order to protect themselves from nuclear fallout. A lot of good that would have done.

    What a difference a few days can make in the markets. Equities around the world are gingerly easing themselves out of the bunker from weeks of declines that brought them into oversold territory. Just over a week ago, on September 27th, every regional equity ETF with the exception of the Latin America ETF (ILF) that we track in our Trend Analyzer tool was in extreme oversold territory, and all but two had been down at least 5% over the prior five trading days. Six were even down over 7%.

    [​IMG]

    Fast forward to the present and every one of these same ETFs has now notched gains over the last week and each one of them has moved out of ‘extreme’ oversold territory. They’re still oversold and only ILF is not down by double-digit percentages YTD, but you have to start somewhere. As we noted in Wednesday’s quote of the day, “When nobody wants something, that creates an opportunity.” Nobody wanted anything to do with stocks – or for that matter, any other asset – as the third quarter ended last week. Investors have hardly fallen back in love with equities again, but they left a pillow on the couch and the back door unlocked.

    [​IMG]
     
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  7. Frankenstein

    Frankenstein Well-Known Member

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    Yep, yesterday the SPX hit 3806
     
  8. Frankenstein

    Frankenstein Well-Known Member

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    I want SPX 3600 for a long entry--I'm considering entering some at 3650...but prefer 3600 or non-above
     
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  9. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    MJ just shot up on the Biden announcement.
     
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  10. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Yeah what a spike :eek: Still losing money on my pretty small TLRY position though, got in at $5.35 :p
     
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  11. Frankenstein

    Frankenstein Well-Known Member

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    Hmmm. I wonder with today's closing whether the 3650 to 3600 level is now possible tomorrow
     
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  12. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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  13. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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  14. Frankenstein

    Frankenstein Well-Known Member

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    Yep. 3659 so far. Close enough.

    Addendum: There it is--3650
     
    #3134 Frankenstein, Oct 7, 2022
    Last edited: Oct 7, 2022
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  15. Spud

    Spud Well-Known Member

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  16. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Sold SH yesterday and looks like I would have made more if I held overnight, I was worrying about a weak jobs report would send this market surging today, I didn't want to hold in a binary event like that :p
     
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  17. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    You might get your 3600 entry as soon as next week ;)
     
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  18. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Betting against Auntie Cathie has worked for sure this year and most of last year, SARK is a pretty good hedge against my long positions :D
     
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  19. Frankenstein

    Frankenstein Well-Known Member

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    Actually, started entering. But with a plan. The problem is that if you look at the price action, this could be a set up for targeting that 4000 SPX level I mentioned as a possibility. So, I have to enter some long because it could go either way, but I'm ok with either either direction now.
     
    #3139 Frankenstein, Oct 7, 2022
    Last edited: Oct 7, 2022
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  20. Frankenstein

    Frankenstein Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, if the SPX hits non-above 3600, I'm buying more long
     
    #3140 Frankenstein, Oct 7, 2022
    Last edited: Oct 7, 2022
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