The Long Term Investor

Discussion in 'Investing' started by WXYZ, Oct 2, 2018.

  1. Smokie

    Smokie Well-Known Member

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    My thoughts. Sure....nobody is ever going to use this for nefarious or damaging purposes. They will and we all know it.

    I did watch a program a while back and it basically pointed to the same outcome. Some of the programs would simply not discontinue their own existence.

    Some wild stuff.
     
  2. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    HILARIOUS Smokie. We are just IDIOTS.
     
  3. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    I had another good day today....a BIG gain. Only two stocks in the RED....AAPL and COST. I also beat the SP500 by 0.43% today.
     
  4. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    We are all set up for a BANNER WEEK. Powell has talked. The little spat seems to be over in the Middle East with Iran's nuclear aspirations SMASHED for now. Oil is back down to where it was. Etc, etc, etc.

    It would be nice to end the week with three GREEN days in a row. We have a good....probability....to do so.
     
  5. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    Yes Smokie.

    Since these....thinking machines....are being built, set up, and programed by.....HUMANS.......and....being given access to ALL human knowledge.....they will have our innate desire to live.......as well as ALL of our flaws....lying, cheating, criminal behavior, etc, etc, etc.

    Off the cuff.....I would put our odds of surviving AI at about....50/50.....at best and probably actually much worse.

    AND if we happen to survive....that will only be because the machines either need us for some reason....or consider us irrelevant......or see us as some sort of toy to play with.
     
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  6. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    With the SP500 at about 6100 at the close today. I am reminded of my prediction at the start of the year to end 2025 at SP500......6800 to 6900. To hit my minimum of 6800 from here will take a gain of about....11.4%.

    Here is what some are saying.

    Wall Street bull calls for another 10% rally in S&P 500 by end of 2025

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/wall...rally-in-sp-500-by-end-of-2025-200633557.html

    "The S&P 500 (^GSPC) is back within one percentage point of an all-time high. One of Wall Street's notorious bulls believes the benchmark index has plenty further to run this year.

    BMO Capital Markets chief investment strategist Brian Belski boosted his year-end target to 6,700 from a prior forecast of 6,100. Belski had previously reduced his forecast amid the tariff turmoil that tanked markets in April."

    MY COMMENT

    With the runway we seem to have ahead of us right now.....I am feeling pretty good about my prediction.

    Of course.....NO ONE....can predict the markets over a span of 6 months.
     
  7. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    You have my prediction from the start of the year.

    ANYONE ELSE....got any year end SP500 predictions...starting here at about mid year?
     
  8. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    I like this little article.....but....Iran is past news so the article is now....."old news".

    Markets and the Escalating Conflict
    So far, investors are taking things in stride.

    https://www.fisherinvestments.com/e...ommentary/markets-and-the-escalating-conflict

    "......so far, markets are following their typical playbook for regional conflict. Initial jitters usually fade as investors see the fighting remains isolated and global commerce continues. Patience and discipline have historically served investors well at times like these, in our view."

    MY COMMENT

    YEP......investors did good.
     
  9. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    It may be a....."remarkable"....turnaround, but, at the same time is is just IDIOCY that this stock has languished all year as it has. The greatest disrespect in the history of the markets. AND.....as a result 10 quarters of historic earnings have been squandered.

    Nvidia stock looks to extend gains, notch record high in remarkable 2025 turnaround

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nvid...-in-remarkable-2025-turnaround-183528616.html
     
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  10. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    The ticker tells me that I am BOOMING to start the day. As has been the case recently there is NO negative news at all impacting the markets. QUICK.....someone make some up.

    It is a perfectly NORMAL day today in the markets.

    GOSH.....remember....it was just two months ago that we were in the middle of a nasty correction. The media and professionals were SCREAMING.....RECESSION. Than the tariff fear-mongering hit the fan.....and we were harangued with SCREAMS of......inflation and stagflation.

    Now.....we are right on the verge of.....ALL TIME HIGHS.

    The POWER of long term investing......in action. ENJOY.
     
  11. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  12. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    I was just looking at PLTR. GREAT for those that already hold the stock.

    BUT.....I am NOT ADVOCATING FOR ANYONE ELSE TO BUY IT. If you are considering this stock remember what they say about past performance and future performance.....and....DO A REALLY DEEP DIVE INTO THE STOCK AND FUNDAMENTALS. Keep your EYES and BRAIN fully open and engaged in evaluating this stock at this point.

    Five days...........+3.89%
    One month.........+16.94%
    Six months.........+75.67%
    Year to date.......+91.91%
    One year............+487.52%
    Five years..........+1468.52%
     
  13. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    I am off to take care of some business. ENJOY.....the day....."you" have earned and deserve it as an investor.
     
  14. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    Looks like the SP500 backed off to close slightly in the RED. I however, ended the day with a BIG gain.....thanks to good old NVDA and some others. I also beat the SP500 by......YES......1.84% today.
     
  15. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    I will be out and away from the markets.....tomorrow through Monday....taking care of business. So as usual....you all are on your own. I would LOVE to see a nice close to the week....so see what you can do.

    You all have the CONN.
     
  16. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    I am all ready to leave tomorrow...but I have time for the story of the day.

    Nvidia shares hit record as AI chipmaker again becomes world’s most valuable company

    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/25/nvi...cord-close-wall-street-shrugs-off-china-.html

    (BOLD is my opinion OR what I consider important content)

    "Key Points
    • Nvidia shares continued to rally on Wednesday and closed at a record, as investors gain confidence that China export controls won’t dampen the company’s prospects in AI.
    • The stock is up about 14% in June after jumping 24% last month and finished at an all-time high for the first time since January.
    • Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said in May that the ”$50 billion China market is effectively closed to U.S. industry.”

    Nvidia shares rose more than 4% on Wednesday and closed at a record for the first time since January, as investors gain confidence that the company’s leadership in artificial intelligence won’t be dampened by Chinese export controls.

    The stock finished at $154.31, exceeding its prior closing high of $149.43 on Jan. 6.

    Nvidia is now worth $3.77 trillion, making it the largest company in the world by market cap, slightly beating out Microsof , one of its main customers. Apple is third at about $3 trillion.

    While Nvidia remains the clear leader in graphics processing units, or GPUs, that are being used to build large language models and run AI workloads, the strength of this year’s rally is surprising given that the company has said it is locked out of the world’s second-biggest economy.

    In April, the Trump administration issued new rules that cut off sales of the company’s H20 AI processor that had been developed to meet prior restrictions. Nvidia said last month that the change instituted by the U.S. government would cost the company $8 billion in sales, and that it had to write off $4.5 billion in inventory. Now, Nvidia isn’t counting on any sales from China.

    The $50 billion China market is effectively closed to U.S. industry,” Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said last month.

    There’s another forthcoming rule that will expand export restrictions on AI chips, Trump administration officials previously said.

    Still, in its earnings report in May, Nvidia reported a 69% increase in year-over-year revenue, powered by a 73% surge in its data center business. For the full fiscal year, analysts are expecting 53% revenue growth to almost $200 billion, according to LSEG.

    Nvidia held its annual shareholder meeting on Wednesday. Huang said at the event that, other than AI, robotics is its biggest growth opportunity."

    MY COMMENT

    It is way past due for this company to be show some....love. A once in a lifetime company to own if the media will just lay off the constant negativity for a while.
     
  17. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    AND.

    Nvidia Stock Hits All-Time High. 'Golden Wave' Of Gen AI Seen.

    https://www.investors.com/news/technology/nvidia-stock-buy-point-golden-wave-gen-ai/

    (BOLD is my opinion OR what I consider important content)

    "Nvidia (NVDA) stock is steadily climbing as Wall Street analysts assess the AI chipmaker's near- and long-term prospects. On Wednesday, it hit an all-time high after getting a price-target hike.

    Loop Capital Markets analyst Ananda Baruah reiterated his buy rating on Nvidia stock and upped his price target to 250 from 175.

    His firm's research indicates that AI data center spending could increase to about $2 trillion by 2028. That spending total implies a $6 trillion market cap for Nvidia, he said.

    On the stock market today, Nvidia stock rose 4.3% to close at 154.31. Earlier in the session, it notched a record high of 154.45. Its previous record high was 153.13, reached on Jan. 7.

    With the advance, Nvidia stock regained its crown as the largest company by market capitalization. Its market cap is now $3.77 trillion. Microsoft (MSFT) fell to No. 2 with a valuation of $3.66 trillion.

    "Our work suggests we are entering the next 'Golden Wave' of Gen AI adoption and Nvidia is at the front end of another material leg of stronger-than-anticipated demand," Baruah said in a client note Wednesday.

    He added, "Nvidia remains essentially a monopoly for critical tech, and that it has pricing (and margin) power."

    Nvidia Stock Breaks Out

    Nvidia is benefiting from the rise of inference computing in artificial intelligence, Baruah said. Those reasoning models include emerging agentic AI applications.

    On Wednesday, Nvidia stock broke out of a 25-week consolidation pattern with a buy point of 153.13, according to IBD MarketSurge charts. IBD's Leaderboard had pointed to an earlier buy zone of 145 to 152.25.

    As with all trades, especially in highfliers like Nvidia, investors should keep risk management in mind. Following sound rules for when to buy and sell stocks keeps those principles intact.

    Nvidia stock is on three IBD lists: Leaderboard, Sector Leaders and Tech Leaders."

    MY COMMENT

    YES.....I hate to even use the....."M" word......MONOPOLY. But this company is as close as it comes. Like MSFT in the early glory days when they were providing the operating system to EVERY single computer in the world other than little upstart APPLE.

    I tend to agree with all the analysis above....in particular the price target of $250 or above....perhaps even significantly above.
     
  18. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    Ok that's it for me. As i said earlier.....you all have the CONN.
     
  19. TireSmoke

    TireSmoke Well-Known Member

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    So I'm finally making some headway on 2025 gains....

    My Brokerage account is only up a measly 14.24% (I am going to need some real help from NVDA in order to get highest return on the board for a 3rd year in a row)
    My 401k is only up 9.27%.
    My HSA is up 25%

    In my opinion the HSA is one of the best investment vehicles a young health person can have. Do your own research.
    PROS:
    -At 65 years old you can spend it on ANYTHING you want so its pretty much like a roth ira that you can spend on medical expenses along the way
    -You can pay your medical expenses out of pocket, save the receipts and reimburse yourself at ANY time. So save up a lifetime of medical related expenses which for most will likely be over 6 figures and cash out and retire a year or two earlier than planned, or have them as an emergency fund.
    -Employers often contribute yearly! Mine does $400 for single and $800 for couple.
    -You contribute pre tax income.
    -Withdrawals for approved expenses are not taxed

    Cons:
    -Must have a high deductible health plan.
     
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  20. Smokie

    Smokie Well-Known Member

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    Nice returns so far TireSmoke.
     
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