The Long Term Investor

Discussion in 'Investing' started by WXYZ, Oct 2, 2018.

  1. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    HERE is from Investor Relations:

    "We specialize in markets where our computing platforms can provide tremendous acceleration for
    applications. These platforms incorporate processors, interconnects, software, algorithms, systems,
    and services to deliver unique value.

    Following the rapid evolution in our businesses, we are transitioning to a new reporting framework
    that better reflects our current and future growth drivers.

    We will have two market platforms – Data Center and Edge Computing.

    Within Data Center, we will report two sub-markets, Hyperscale and ACIE which incorporates AI
    Clouds, Industrial, and Enterprise. Hyperscale will include revenue from the public clouds and the
    world’s largest consumer internet companies, while ACIE addresses our growth opportunity in diverse
    AI purpose-built data centers and AI factories across industries and countries.

    Edge Computing highlights devices for agentic and physical AI including PCs, game consoles,
    workstations, AI-RAN base stations, robotics and automotive.

    Revenue

    Revenue for the first quarter was a record $81.6 billion, up 85% from a year ago and up 20%
    sequentially.

    Data Center revenue for the first quarter was a record $75.2 billion, up 92% from a year ago and up
    21% sequentially, driven by the ramp of our Blackwell 300 products and demand for our InfiniBand,
    Spectrum-X™ Ethernet, and NVLink™ solutions. Hyperscale revenue increased sequentially and
    remained at approximately 50% of Data Center revenue, while the remaining 50% came from a
    continued diversification of customers, including AI Clouds, industrial, enterprise, and sovereign
    customers. No shipments of Data Center Hopper products to China occurred during the quarter,
    compared with $4.6 billion in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026.

    Under the previous sub-markets, Data Center compute revenue was a record $60.4 billion, up 77%
    from a year ago and up 18% sequentially. Data Center networking revenue was a record $14.8 billion,
    up 199% from a year ago and up 35% sequentially.

    Edge Computing revenue for the first quarter was $6.4 billion, up 29% from a year ago and up 10%
    sequentially. The increases were driven by robust Blackwell workstation demand, partially offset by
    slower consumer PC demand that was tempered by elevated memory and systems prices.

    Gross Margin

    GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins for the first quarter increased from a year ago on lower inventory
    provisions, primarily due to the prior year’s $4.5 billion charge associated with H20 excess inventory
    and purchase obligations. GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins were approximately flat sequentially as
    our Blackwell architecture remains the majority of our revenue.

    Expenses

    GAAP operating expenses for the first quarter were up 52% from a year ago and up 12% sequentially,
    and non-GAAP operating expenses were up 49% from a year ago and up 12% sequentially. These
    increases were driven by higher compensation and benefits expense due to employee growth and
    compensation increases, compute and infrastructure costs, and engineering development materials
    for new product developments.

    Other Income & Expense and Income Tax

    GAAP other income and expense (OI&E) includes interest income, interest expense, and equity
    securities gains or losses. Non-GAAP OI&E excludes equity securities gains or losses.
    Interest income for the first quarter was $540 million, up slightly from a year ago and down slightly
    sequentially. Net gains from equity securities for the first quarter was $15.9 billion, driven by
    unrealized gains in publicly-held and non-marketable equity securities.

    GAAP effective tax rate for the first quarter was 16.6%, an increase from a year ago, primarily due to
    a lower impact from stock-based compensation tax benefits. Non-GAAP effective tax rate for the
    first quarter was 16.0%.

    Balance Sheet and Cash Flow

    Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable debt securities were $50.3 billion, down from $52.4 billion a
    year ago and up from $49.7 billion a quarter ago. These changes primarily reflect higher revenue,
    offset by outlays for stock repurchases and strategic investments.

    Accounts receivable was $40.7 billion with 45 days sales outstanding (DSO), down from 51 days
    sequentially, driven by timing of cash collections and customer payments received prior to next
    quarter’s invoice due dates. We expect our DSO to return to more normal levels next quarter.
    Inventory was $25.8 billion, up from $21.4 billion sequentially, and total supply-related commitments
    were $119.0 billion. We have strategically secured inventory and capacity to meet demand beyond
    the next several quarters.

    Multi-year cloud service commitments were $30.0 billion, up from $27.0 billion sequentially, to
    support the growing needs of our research and development efforts.

    Cash flow from operating activities was $50.3 billion, up from $27.4 billion a year ago and up from
    $36.2 billion a quarter ago. The year-on-year increase reflects growth in revenue, while the sequential
    increase was driven by higher revenue and lower cash taxes. We expect a substantial increase in cash
    taxes in the second quarter related to estimated federal and state cash tax payments.

    We returned a record level of approximately $20.0 billion to shareholders in the first quarter through
    share repurchases and cash dividends.

    On May 18, 2026, our Board of Directors approved an increase to our quarterly dividend from $0.01
    per share to $0.25 per share and an additional $80.0 billion to our share repurchase authorization,
    without expiration.

    Outlook

    Outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2027 is as follows:

    • Revenue is expected to be $91.0 billion, plus or minus 2%. We are not assuming any Data
    Center compute revenue from China in our outlook.

    • GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 74.9% and 75.0%, respectively, plus or
    minus 50 basis points.

    • GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $8.5 billion and
    $8.3 billion, respectively.

    For the full year fiscal 2027, we expect GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates to be between 16.0% and
    18.0%, excluding any discrete items and material changes to our tax environment."
     
  2. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  3. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    NOW WE WAIT.....for MR A-HOLE and all the rest of the short traders, speculators, market manipulators, the media, and the AI TRADING PLATFORMS.....to tell us how weak future the stock has....in spite of yet ANOTHER great earnings report.
     
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  4. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    The big drop in futures usually comes after the oral presentation....the conference call which will happen at 5:00 Eastern time.
     
  5. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    One of the articles I posted recently was BITCHING about a lack of stock buy-backs and low dividend. SO......now....STFU.

    "Nvidia is returning more money to shareholders
    Nvidia will return more of its cash to shareholders. The chipmaker’s board has authorized $80 billion for share repurchases. The company is also bumping up its quarterly cash dividend to 25 cents per share from 1 cent previously.

    Nvidia generated $48.6 billion in free cash flow in the period, up from $34.9 billion in the prior quarter and $26.1 billion a year ago."


    https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/20/nvidia-nvda-earnings-report-q1-2027.html

    Find something else to BITCH about and fear-monger.
     
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  6. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    AND....of course the stock is now RED after hours. We will find out the REAL story tomorrow at the open and into the morning.

    BUT there is hope till the open tomorrow..... since the "after-hours trading" is driven by short term speculators and.....NOT....the guts of the long term markets.....the RETAIL INVESTORS.

    Unfortunately.......we often have little ability to stop the speculative NEGATIVE WAVE that always hits the day or two after earnings
     
    #29486 WXYZ, May 20, 2026
    Last edited: May 20, 2026
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  7. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    As i often say.....the markets are NOW disconnected from reality. REALITY being earnings and actual business fundamentals.

    The NEW primary DRIVER of stocks and the markets is now.......THE MEDIA.

    What a shame and what a disaster going forward. I will not repeat my usual RANT on this topic.

    At least this long term trend and creeping disaster will happen slowly enough that I am safe .... due to my SENIOR life expectancy.
     
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  8. roadtonowhere08

    roadtonowhere08 Well-Known Member

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    Is it sad that I forgot? I guess that's how much I am sure the numbers would rock.

    Gotta separate the weak from their money somehow.

    NICE!!! I definitely like the bump in dividend.

    Not too bad of a reaction from 4-8PM. Only down by 1% even now. Could be a tiny blip. We shall see.

    I am sure the market will certainly continue to reward the well run companies and punish the poorly run ones, but I am definitely seeing a trashy Vegas vibe creeping in to dominate the micro aspect. Basically legal market manipulation. It's obnoxious, and I am sure it will get worse, but it's only this and real estate if one wants to get ahead.
     
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  9. oldmanram

    oldmanram Well-Known Member

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    ABSOLUTLY , And having BOTH Real Estate and a Nice Portfolio , Well ........ It doesn't Suck (can I say that ?)
    Had a good day in the market , and got a new lens for my eye , 24 hrs. later and my follow up went great , already cleared to drive !!
    The last 12 months have been pretty good ........
    And I have account's for my daughters, Inherited ROTH IRA's , I just checked and in the last 9 years they have quadrupled in value. They only have 4 etf's in each , QQQM, FTEC, VOOG and MGK. There is a LOT of overlap with these , and that is exactly what I wanted.
    Well, somebody wake me in the morning :) Only 6 hours till the markets open
     
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  10. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    WELL.....good old NVDA. Another AMAZING earnings BEAT. A HUGE stock buy-back number. A MASSIVE increase in the dividend. GLOWING guidance. AND....the largest most DOMINANT company in the WORLD.

    AND....where are we today......DOWN by $1.41. If ANY other company stock priced like NVDA put up the above it would be up by 20% to 40% in a single day.

    For this company the market is.....WHATEVER......FU. So I say to the markets.....WHATEVER......FU.

    I am not going to waste my brain, or my vocal chords, or my typing fingers, on NVDA anymore today. It is just TOO STUPID to even discuss. AND....it has ALL been said many times after the same reaction to the last 10-12 quarters of earnings.
     
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  11. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    A good topic in this article. My view of the question in the title.....ZERO. I care less than NOTHING....about consumer or any other sort of sentiment poll.

    The Investment Implications of Record-Low Consumer Sentiment
    Consumers are feeling extremely down—what, if anything, does that mean for markets?

    https://www.fisherinvestments.com/e...implications-of-record-low-consumer-sentiment

    ....."Many may not appreciate just how resilient business activity is proving, but stocks do. Far from ignoring risks as many headlines claim, markets have more clarity on matters than the press thinks. As the ultimate leading indicator, stocks see a brighter future ahead. While the prevailing fear today is that markets are over their skis, the truth is far simpler: Reality just exceeds sentiment."
     
  12. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    Just part of the NORMAL business environment.....unfortunately. YES.....the charismatic....EGOMANIACS....that we elect to govern us......are usually MORONS. BUT.....somehow we survive.

    The Superpower of Coping with Government Stupidity

    https://www.betonit.ai/p/the-superpower-of-coping-with-government

    ......."Businesses have an unsung superpower. They aren’t just awesome at producing and marketing goods and services. They are also awesome at coping with government stupidity"......
     
  13. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  14. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    YEAH....it might. BUT not today or tomorrow.

    Nvidia's $80 billion stock buyback and bigger dividend may unleash an Apple-like stock move

    https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/s...leash-an-apple-like-stock-move-122248827.html

    The greatest problem with NVDA stock is that EVERYONE in the world already owns it. There are few buyers left to pile in. SO....a buy-back in this case may be a good use of company money. May as well buy back the stock if no one else is going to.
     
  15. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    What a DULL and BORING market today. NOTHING is going on and there is ZERO news in the financial world that has any meaning. SO....the direction is simply....DOWN....for the SP500 and the NASDAQ.

    NO COMMENT......but.....NVDA is now down by $5.36....or.....2.40%.

    Over five days....down by 5%. WHATEVER.

    No reason to waste more time here posting.... at the moment.

    I will just lay on my board and do a little sun bathing....as I wait for a wave to ride.
     
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  16. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    I LIED.....I'MMMMMM BACK. I had to pop back to post one article. this is one of the best I have seen about NVDA today.

    To Nvidia and Beyond: Sometimes Being Great Isn't Enough

    https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/nvidia-beyond-sometimes-being-great-135300488.html

    ....."Has investing in Nvidia become like living in Hogwarts School of Witchcraft and Wizardry? Are the artificial intelligence (AI) bellwether's perpetual feats of bar-raising magic so commonplace that they no longer titillate or stand out? There is still plenty to like amid the chorus of yawning. Let's dig into the joys of market apathy."......
     
  17. oldmanram

    oldmanram Well-Known Member

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    Well the market kinda looks ugly,
    I found a little bright star among the darkness
    Quantum computing, specifically IONQ ......... been kinda hot today , UP almost 12%
    I picked some up last year when it was in the dumps
    I'm up over 200% on it , not bad for just kinda rolling the dice .........
    Somebody do something to bump the market up a little .........
     
  18. Smokie

    Smokie Well-Known Member

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    No, probably not so much that you "forgot", but more that you did not really care about all of the pump/dump articles that were sure to follow the report:D.

    I actually think it is a bit too much...the coverage that is. You can find what you need as an investor from the company sites usually as far as earnings reports without all of the unnecessary pundits, analysts, and biased thoughts.
     
  19. Smokie

    Smokie Well-Known Member

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    It is amazing to think about. The fact that somehow through it all we make it work. Especially when we just seem to find an endless supply of some of the dumbest and incompetent folks for public office over and over and over.
     
  20. Smokie

    Smokie Well-Known Member

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    The markets today seem about average for the short-term day. Basically, a coin flip.

    Of course, the after reaction to some specific names. NVDA, which has already been mentioned. Whatever...one company does not make up the whole market.

    WMT looks like it is taking it on the chin today at -7.57%. Something about lower future guidance due to fuel prices and so on.
     

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