2017 Predictions & Stock Market Calls If you guys recall we had a thread like this back on the old boards where we would all come to make our WAG's (wild ass guesses) for the incoming new year. Whether that be predictions on world events, sports, and most importantly (since we're a traders community) stock market calls. Unfortunately, due to the move here into Stockaholics back in April the old 2016 predictions thread was lost, and after looking for it in my archives for hours on end this weekend I came up empty. I could have sworn that I downloaded it before the move here, but I guess not. Hopefully this time around we will be able to look back on this thread come EOY 2017. I realize we're still about 6 weeks away from 2016 concluding. But, I figured now would be a good time to get this thread up as it gives everyone here plenty of time to think up whatever they want to share as far as predictions go for the new 2017 year. Predictions in here do not need to be solely market related -- as stated above these can be anything from world/domestic events, sports related (like who will win the next NBA/NHL/MLB championship?), but since we're a trading community here it'd be cool to hear some market related predictions. So, without further ado let's hear what you guys have to say in regards to your predictions for 2017! Have at it. Looking forward to hearing some good input in here.
2017 is the year that the market finally gives us a meaningful pull back and ends the year flat to down.
2017 : 1. SPY 25% Pullback. 2. Cybersecurity Explodes (PANW, CYBR, FEYE, CSCO) as hacking becomes a serious issue 3. TWTR trades back above $28 4. FANG (FB, AMZN, NFLX, GOOG) will all trade at All Time highs before falling more than 30% each in 2017 5. CUBS win the World Series again.
I'm going with large market sell off. Let's see, what's 40% from here? Ah hell, I'll just say /ES sees 1200.
Not horribly bold, but I'm going to go with down in January and February, and then closes the year up
2017 Predictions: 1.) The U.S. equity markets will see at minimum a -20% draw down from the highs at some point in 2017. 2.) Although I'm seriously hoping this doesn't happen, but I feel there may be some scary black swan event in 2017. Not sure exactly what. But, something. 3.) The Euro touches 1.00 (parity) to the USD at some point in 2017. 4.) The FOMC raises rates just ONCE in 2017. We may even see a rate CUT at some point later on in the year. 5.) The Chicago Cubs repeat as WS Champs; The Golden State Warriors win the NBA title; The Dallas Cowboys win the Super Bowl. 6.) /GC Gold futures hits $1400 at some point in 2017. 7.) /CL Crude Oil futures hits $70/bbl at some point in 2017. 8.) Stockaholics.net sees its most active year with new members signing up and posting than at any other year in this community history since 2011. 9.) Dow 20,000 will remain elusive in 2017. 10.) @Cy McCaffrey moves to south Florida. And there you have it. My 10 WAG's (Wild Ass Guesses) for 2017. Lol.
I think the markets are going to exhibit volatility like we have not seen before. Swing traders could be in for their best or worst year depending on how they read the signals. I also think that volatility will most likely be predominantly up. At least 2 ten percent corrections in 2017 during a continuation of the bull market. End of 2017 Dow plays with 21000 and S&P looks at 2400 testing 2500 Go Bulls
trump will do something stupid to spook markets, is this one a little too easy? alright, then biotech will become a leader in 2017.
haha, i was actually also going to add that i felt they could be on the start of some kind of dynasty i know that's really looking way ahead, but i do think this young group has the potential to be very successful for years to come!
yo @Ken34 i'm not sure if you ever got the chance to browse through this thread here -> 2016 HSM Contest & Sentiment Poll Results but that /cl crude oil low of the year vote was maybe the most epic call of all in 2016 here! that was when we were still on HSM if you remember. here were all of our past hsm threads that were lost in the move here into stockaholics- http://www.stockaholics.net/threads/2016-hsm-contest-sentiment-poll-results.301/#post-33030 <-- click there let me know if those links still work. it's pretty interesting reading through some of those old posts just before 2016 began.
all the links work except the market predictions one, i dont even recall what prediction i made haha. its always nice to go back and look at your thought process a year ago, awesome stuff Cy!
whoops i had a typo in the link my bad! try this link here- 2016 Predictions & Market Calls <-- click there to open
I have to go down as not thinking TWTR gets bought out in 2017. In fact I will predict that Twitter will turn things around. Then someone will come around with a buyout offer, but TWTR will reject it. It's a fun scenario to think about.
1. TSLA dips to the $160 range. 2. A big name bank gets busted for pulling a Wells Fargo. 3. SPX ends the year roughly where it started. 4. Canadian marijuana stocks explode, while MJNA breaks the $1 threshold. 5. A team other than the Warriors or Cavs wins the Championship. 6. Stockaholics membership more than doubles 7. @JerryM a Dividend Aristocrat loses its status as such by dropping dividends (has that happened before/recently?). 8. A 16 seed in the NCAA tournament finally wins.
These ETFs could make your 2017 a Happy New Year One thing investors can be sure of about 2017: no one knows anything. Will the stock market continue minting records (and will the Dow finally surpass 20,000), or will the multiyear bull market get slaughtered? What impact will it have on the economy if the Federal Reserve does what it recently implied and raises interest rates three times next year? Is the optimism that traders have over President-elect Donald Trump justified, or will the “Trump rally” go the way of Trump Steaks? Energy XLE, -0.29% and financial stocks were the biggest gainers of 2016, with the former jumping about 25% thanks to a long-awaited recovery in crude oil prices. Gains in the latter—up nearly 20%—were concentrated in the final weeks of the year, with banks soaring after the election as investors bet that the group would benefit from the dual tailwinds of rising interest rates and industry deregulation, which is expected to be supported by the incoming administration. Both of these upward trends are expected to continue in 2017, with the most popular financial ETF cited by multiple analysts: the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF XLF, +0.22% “Rising interest rates and reduced regulatory headwinds support a continuation of the financial services industry’s relative strength,” said Jay Batcha, founder and chief investment officer of Optimal Capital. This selection was seconded by Jason Browne, chief investment officer of FundX Investment Group, who added that “the potential for reduced regulation could relax lending standards, improving margins further, and opening up M&A potential.” Browne also named the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF KRE, +0.40% a narrower investment thesis that focuses on regional banks, as a 2017 pick. “Regional banks are the sweet spot because they benefit from improved interest rate margins and relaxation of some of the regulations when they were being lumped in with bigger banks,” he said. The fund has gained 32% in 2016. Counterpoint: Why big banks might have the edge as financials soar On the commodity side, Batcha named both the VanEck Vectors Natural Resources ETF HAP, -0.49% and the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF XOP, -0.60% as investments for 2017. “Sustained stability in energy prices should stimulate pent-up drilling activity,” he said. The VanEck fund is up 23% thus far this year, while the SPDR ETF has surged about 38%. [QUOTE="Cy McCaffrey, post: 34202, member: 3"] 2017 Predictions & Stock Market Calls If you guys recall we had a thread like this back on the old boards where we would all come to make our WAG's (wild ass guesses) for the incoming new year. Whether that be predictions on world events, sports, and most importantly (since we're a traders community) stock market calls. Unfortunately, due to the move here into Stockaholics back in April the old 2016 predictions thread was lost, and after looking for it in my archives for hours on end this weekend I came up empty. I could have sworn that I downloaded it before the move here, but I guess not. Hopefully this time around we will be able to look back on this thread come EOY 2017. I realize we're still about 6 weeks away from 2016 concluding. But, I figured now would be a good time to get this thread up as it gives everyone here plenty of time to think up whatever they want to share as far as predictions go for the new 2017 year. Predictions in here do not need to be solely market related -- as stated above these can be anything from world/domestic events, sports related (like who will win the next NBA/NHL/MLB championship?), but since we're a trading community here it'd be cool to hear some market related predictions. So, without further ado let's hear what you guys have to say in regards to your predictions for 2017! Have at it. Looking forward to hearing some good input in here. [/QUOTE]
