In the US and Brexit elections the outcomes were well within the margin of error for the polls. For this second round of French elections Le Pen is behind from as little as 18% to as much as 28% in some places, but none have her anywhere close. I don't expect her to pull this out, her father ran for years on the same platforms with the same party and never fared any better.
Definitely would be a very interesting Monday next week if Le Pen wins I think Monday would be very red, but yeah I think the market would recover later especially if we get a strong reaction from the ECB
True that's why I think it would be a bigger shock for the market if Le Pen wins than what we had with Trump Also I think Trump is considered as pro business while Clinton is kinda considered as anti business, I don't know if Le Pen is considered as pro business
looks like cash s&p with a chance at a new ATH (close) if this holds up ... i'm actually just a tad bit surprised we aren't up more given the nfp's this morning ... interesting that the vix is up near HOD as we're hitting session highs on the indices
Yeah overall pretty muted reaction to the NFP. I thought the dollar would be up more while bonds and gold would be down more I just looked at the headline number though, I didn't really get a chance to read things like wage growth or revision for March so I could have missed something
http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-...11-000-jobs-added-unemployment-at-4-4-percent American job results from March of 2017 are now even worse than when they first came out. While the BLS initially reported a paltry gain of 98,000 jobs, the figure has now been revised downward to 79,000. In another revision, the February figure was bumped up to 232,000 from 219,000. Together, the revisions represent 6,000 fewer jobs than had been reported. Maybe that's why we didn't get a more positive reaction for the dollar and negative reactions from gold and bonds
ding ding ding! and there's the close! 5 down and none to go. thx again for everyone's contributions in here this week! have a great w/e everyone