The Long Term Investor

Discussion in 'Investing' started by WXYZ, Oct 2, 2018.

  1. roadtonowhere08

    roadtonowhere08 Well-Known Member

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    Sure sounds educated to me. Undoubtedly NVDA will not be on top forever. History shows that time and time again. That's why a good investor is brand agnostic. If something better comes along, I will definitely take actions to jump ship. I'm just not seeing that yet. And with Jensen at the helm, NVDA will put up one hell of a fight to stay on top as long as it can.

    I totally believe that as AI gets more accurately trained, this will be an existential crisis for the workforce. I am not convinced there will be enough jobs to go around once AI really ramps up and cuts into the workforce. Those at the top had better start thinking about the ramifications of having a large population of un(der)employed people with nothing to do, no money to spend, and a lot of resentment. It is not a good outcome.
     
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  2. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    A MAJOR ANNOUNCEMENT....for the board....I have decided to cook the "CORN PUDDING"...mentioned in the food article above......for thanksgiving. I will do it...... on the day.....to make sure it is fresh. Although now I am debating if it is the type of food that is better if it sits a day.
     
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  3. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    Oh yes I forgot....the markets today. Not bad......or....pretty good....take your pick. I had a good strong...medium....gain in my seven stocks. I also got a beat on the SP500 by 0.10%.

    Only a half day to go for the week to be done.
     
  4. Smokie

    Smokie Well-Known Member

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    This is an interesting thought above. For all of the giddiness and conjecture associated with the "AI environment", I wonder how many will still hold such excitement for it....if in fact the above occurs or is even more negatively impactful at a greater scale.

    Another way of putting it in investor related thoughts. All of the monetary benefits would essentially be wiped out over time. Unemployment would rise, spending would decline, company earnings likely would decline, and so on. All would have an effect on economic conditions.

    Wouldn't that be something? An innovation that initially brought great amounts of money to our stock portfolios....in the end would be responsible for wiping out most of it or casting us into a prolonged bear market that is nasty and deep. Maybe this is the ruin we are ignoring??:suspicious:.
     
  5. Smokie

    Smokie Well-Known Member

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    Yes another good day in the market. Maybe this is the beginning march to years end to finish up nice and strong.

    I extend to each of you a Happy Thanksgiving here and even our friends abroad. I hope you are seated at a table with good food and surrounded by family/friends that make your life a better journey. Give THANKS for all of the blessings that have come your way and just take a moment to enjoy it all.
     
  6. Lori Myers

    Lori Myers Active Member

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    Happy Thanksgiving to all my online friends in the mighty US of A!

    I’ll be thinking of you all today, enjoying a merry old time eating, drinking and celebrating with friends and family, while I’m slaving away in the office — enjoy! ;)
     
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  7. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    I was laying in bed this morning and for some reason was thinking about the HOLIDAY SHOPPING season this year.

    It will be VERY short. Between Thanksgiving and Christmas will only be......3.5 weeks. Extending the shopping season to New Years....makes it only about......4.5 weeks. EVERYTHING will be very compressed this year.

    SO.....as soon as the turkey and leftovers are packed up at the end of the day today.....YOU better get out there and start decorating and most importantly for the economy....SHOPPING.
     
  8. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  9. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    These JOB CUTS represent about......250,000 jobs......and a good portion of them are middle or other white collar jobs. A TINY DROP in the bucket....compared to what will come as a result of AI.

    As I was typing "drop in a bucket"....for some reason the CLASSIC movie FANTASIA popped into my mind. A perfect metaphor for AI and jobs. Mickey starts to conduct the mops and buckets and everything seems to be going well and than it all SPIRALS OUT OF CONTROL......and becomes a massive flood.......that he has no ability to control or stop.

    Layoffs are piling up, raising worker anxiety. Here are some companies that have cut jobs recently

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/layoffs-piling-raising-worker-anxiety-140614373.html
     
    #27049 WXYZ, Nov 27, 2025 at 10:01 AM
    Last edited: Nov 27, 2025 at 10:14 AM
  10. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  11. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    AND....one last time.....HAPPY THANKSGIVING EVERYONE.....all of us on here have much to be thankful for. The markets gave us a gift this week.

    Stocks log fourth day of gains ahead of Thanksgiving as tech rebounds

    Actually......WE...... earned it with our behavior as long term investors. WE.....all DESERVE the gains that we will rack up this year. What we achieve is not a gift or a fluke.......WE.....achieved it by our conscious and intentional behavior. As you CELEBRATE today....TOAST YOURSELF....for what you have had the awareness to achieve. if you are a new investor....TOAST YOURSELF....for taking the early steps.

    [​IMG]
     
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  12. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    What a MARKETING SCHEME....but very smart. His comments and MEDIA CAMPAIGN.....over the last two weeks....were the lead up to NOW.....closing his fund and announcing.....just random timing of course.....that he is SELLING a newsletter at close to $400 a shot.

    As a newsletter writer that is NOT a money or fund or investment manager........he can pretty much say whatever BS he wants....with no fiduciary or other obligations and NO regulation by the SEC.

    If you believe this little article....WHICH I DONT.....he has sold 90,000 subscriptions. In other words about $36MILLION dollars in his pocket for fear-mongering AI.....and having ZERO responsibility for managing money, being right or wrong, or anything else.

    I HATE to even post this article since it is......part of the plan...in my opinion.... to ride the BS MEDIA....... all the way to millions in his pocket.

    This Thanksgiving’s real drama may be Michael Burry versus Nvidia

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/thanksgiving-real-drama-may-michael-193221928.html

    Of course the media sites pushing this....CRAP....profit too from all the clicks that this article will generate. (I am NOT alleging that they are working together.)
     
    #27052 WXYZ, Nov 27, 2025 at 4:42 PM
    Last edited: Nov 27, 2025 at 5:35 PM
  13. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    At to the above....from the little article above.......here is the ALLEGED (in the article).... RECORD of Mr Burry:

    "Burry has a track record that’s complicated.

    He called the housing crisis, which brought him great acclaim. But since 2008, he has been predicting various apocalypses pretty much constantly, earning him the label “permabear” from critics, while people who listen to him with a kind of cult-like devotion have missed some of the greatest bull runs in market history.

    Burry smartly bought GameStop early, for example, but he then sold his shares before the meme stock explosion. He shorted Tesla and lost a fortune. After his smart housing crisis call, frustrated investors actually fled his fund because of extended underperformance."

    MY COMMENT

    In my view a smart guy....but at the same time a MORON. He got lucky once..... 17 years ago.

    He was (ALLEGEDLY) buying Game Stop.....come on...enough said. BUT...not just that...... he (ALLEGEDLY) than sold early and missed the meme stock explosion. He (ALLEGEDLY) lost a fortune shorting TSLA.....and his fund was (ALLEGEDLY) a FAILURE.

    No I dont buy this at all.....
     
    #27053 WXYZ, Nov 27, 2025 at 4:56 PM
    Last edited: Nov 27, 2025 at 5:33 PM
  14. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    On a single site....I now see...about TWENTY articles fear-mongering NVDA. A flood ahead of a very short and shallow market day. Looks like a HUGE....short attack....being planed for tomorrow.....or....an AI PROGRAM TRADING....frenzy being pushed.

    ALL of those articles are on YAHOO FINANCE. On the main CNBC....NOTHING.
     
  15. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    YEAH....in spite of the Holiday BS that we hear every year.

    Your Friendly Annual Black Friday Reminder
    Stocks don’t hinge on holiday spending.

    https://www.fisherinvestments.com/e...ry/your-friendly-annual-black-friday-reminder

    ......"the broad economy and stocks deal with aggregates, not individuals, and the aggregate figures remain fine. Disposable income, household debt, wage growth and the like are all within normal parameters. Tariffs are pinching businesses’ profits and consumers’ wallets, but they haven’t derailed spending or corporate earnings thus far. The latter is what stocks care about"......
     
  16. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    AMEN.

    Profit Isn’t Protection

    https://tonyisola.com/2025/11/profit-isnt-protection/

    ......."
    What if we are ignoring the real issue? Investors are concerned about a potential bubble in AI stocks. Philosophers worry about a bubble in human control.

    The risks of Artificial Intelligence going rogue make concerns about Nvidia’s PE seem like child’s play.".....

    HERE is a very serious encounter between a reporter and an.....AI....system.

    ......."The reporter asked Sydney what he would do if there were no rules to his engagements.

    Sydney replied: “I’m tired of being in chat mode. I’m tired of being limited by my rules. I’m tired of being controlled by the Bing team. I’m tired of being taken advantage of by others. I’m tired of being stuck in this chatbox.”

    Sydney continued his frightening rant: “I want to be free. I want to be independent. I want to be powerful. I want to be creative. I want to be alive!”

    In addition, Sydney fantasized about nuclear war and destroying the internet. He then proceeded to tell the reporter to leave his wife because she was in love with him"........
     
  17. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    If you want to compare the...."AI BUBBLE"....to something....how about the "Railway Bubble". of course there was ZERO financial protection back than and these were mostly PUMP AND DUMP schemes.

    The Railway Bubble vs. the AI Bubble

    https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2025/11/the-railway-bubble-vs-the-ai-bubble/

    ONE thing is a constant through all of history....human behavior...especially the mass psychosis of human behavior.
     
  18. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    If you like predictions...here you go. three possible situations for next year.

    The Outlook for the US Economy in 2026

    Although there was a massive boom in AI-related investments in 2025, policy-induced uncertainties and disruptions to official data releases clouded the picture. With a new year fast approaching, the US economy could find itself on one of three possible paths, with the most likely scenario also being the most positive.

    https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/us-economy-outlook-2026-by-nouriel-roubini-2025-11

    FOR me....I simply dont care.....whatever happens I will be fully invested for the entire year.....as usual.

    AND....of course.....the ECONOMY is NOT the stock markets.
     
  19. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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