The Long Term Investor

Discussion in 'Investing' started by WXYZ, Oct 2, 2018.

  1. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
  2. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
    The MEDIA....with their obsessive short term focus on clicks and drama ridden headlines...is missing the big picture on AI.

    We are not going to see some HUGE EUREKA moment where AI suddenly hits. It is not going to be a big FLASH IN THE PAN moment.....where everyone suddenly sees the impact of AI.

    It is already happening and is embedded in ALL big cap companies and many smaller businesses. It is going to be a 10-20 year....PROCESS. A slow and steady....drip, drip, drip....as AI enters and is used in EVERY aspect of EVERY business.

    It is just STUPID for the media and doubters to be asking when are we gong to see something from AI. You are already surrounded by AI in business...it is already EVERYWHERE.
     
  3. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
  4. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
    The FUTURE of the markets? Based on HUMAN BEHAVIOR and brain chemicals....probably.

    BUT....it is INSANITY for these gambling products to be sold as....."INVESTING" or "INVESTMENTS".

    Robinhood is rolling out NFL parlay and prop bets on prediction markets platform

    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/16/rob...prop-bets-on-prediction-markets-platform.html

    These prediction products and sites.....are NOT....."markets". It is a BIG JOKE to allow them to use investing terminology and be placed on brokerage sites.
     
  5. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
    NOTHING really happening in the investing news world today.....at least in REALITY. I am finding and seeing NOTHING. So I will move on and not waste more time....at the moment.
     
  6. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
    I am at an.....ALL TIME HIGH. NO....not in stocks or investments......in my gold and silver. It sits off site.....outside my house....in a BIG safe. NO.....I will still not call it an investment.....but at the moment it is REAL money.

    GOLD......$4355
    SILVER....$65.86
     
  7. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
    And the impact of three FED cuts on the Ten Year Yield......NOTHING.

    Currently at....4.165%.
     
  8. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
    GOOD....the DOW has now joined the SP500 and NASDAQ in the RED. Lets get this market drop going. Lets push prices down, down, down.....and get this dip over with.

    At this point I am.....CALLING.....any Santa Rally. With the current market fear mongering of AI and disrespect for fundamentals in favor of made up BS......a Santa Rally is not possible.

    It simply DOES NOT MATTER if it is justified....we are far outside of REALITY.....and I dont see any change on the short term horizon.
     
  9. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
    The good old..... MARKET TIME-MACHINE...has taken me back in time. Here are my stocks and based on the current price......the last time (approximate) they traded at the level we are seeing today.

    PLTR...........December 4
    GOOGL.......November 20
    AAPL...........November 20
    AMZN..........November 20
    NVDA..........September 9
    MSFT.......... June 13
    COST..........August 9 of 2024
     
    Smokie likes this.
  10. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
    AND....here is each of my stocks YTD. Although the stock chart that I use seems very screwed up today....but.... I think these are correct.


    PLTR.......+140.54%
    GOOGL...+58.11%
    NVDA......+24.30%
    MSFT......+14.19%
    AAPL......+12.05%
    AMZN.....+0.51%
    COST......(-5.22%)

    If I still owned HD.....(-8.40%)
     
    Smokie likes this.
  11. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Active Member

    Joined:
    Dec 13, 2023
    Messages:
    222
    Likes Received:
    169
    yea it does feel like it’s slowly starting to lean in that direction. though the official santa rally that is widely followed on the street doesn’t technically begin until the market close of dec 23rd.

    i would be a bit surprised personally if this pullback that we’ve seen since post-FOMC actually persists into the christmas holiday. certainly anything is possible i suppose.

    still, this pullback is well within the normal and healthy range of a garden variety market pullback as of now. majors not even a full -5% off the ATH. albeit it’s getting closer as we keep pulling back this week. but even if it hit that threshold or even surpasses it by a little bit would still be considered within the range of an average pullback.

    let’s see how this week finishes out. i would be a little surprised if there’s a lot more downside in this market. next week will be the big tell of if santa comes to town and delivers a rally for this market.

    at this point, i think we may just have to call it a victory if we can get back to FOMC levels again. i think 6900ish sounds about a good target to end 2025. which would be right inline with W’s year end target. :)
     
    Smokie likes this.
  12. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
    I find it amazing that....ORACLE....WTF....ORACLE....is driving the broad markets and the entire AI universe. In what world does Oracle matter this much? NOT...in my world.

    Stocks fall as tech rout deepens on Oracle concerns

    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/16/stock-market-today-live-updates.html

    UNFORTUNATELY...this shows the power of the MEDIA to create story-lines and control the day to day markets. AND....those story-lines can linger and do damage for MONTHS.
     
  13. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
    The MEDIA piles up the wood and lights the bonfire.....while the AI TRADING PROGRAMS....are standing there with hot dogs and marshmallows to take advantage of it all.

    Talk about the potential for....COLLUSION. Imagine if you have advance notice of the financial news content and the headlines every day.

    AND.....amazingly....every day we see some...."story of the day"....being the subject of the entire media. Ten...twenty articles in a day on the same story-line.....It is all done in concert.
     
  14. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
    A real SH%T SHOW of a market today. I had a BIG loss of course with a single GREEN stock.....COST. I also lost out to the SP500 today by....1.36%.

    This market is trying to drop me below +20% year to date.
     
  15. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
  16. Smokie

    Smokie Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 24, 2022
    Messages:
    2,186
    Likes Received:
    1,668
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  17. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 2, 2018
    Messages:
    18,476
    Likes Received:
    5,999
    To add to the current...FUN....tomorrow we will get the release of the November CPI numbers.
     

Share This Page