We open nicely GREEN. I will call it a one day..... Santa Rally.....at least at the open. NOW.....we just have to make ti through the next 6.5 hours. Stocks rise to kick off 2026 as tech shares pick up where they left off in 2025 https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/02/stock-market-today-live-updates.html It would be nice to start the NEW YEAR with a one day gain. Although the DOW is......RED. Although I start the day mixed.....with four stocks up and three down. Of course COST is lingering near 52 week low. My other two RED stocks....PLTR and MSFT....are close to green....but still slightly RED.
This might be of interest to some on here. Tesla reports 418,227 deliveries for the fourth quarter, down 16% https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/02/tesla-tsla-q4-2025-vehicle-deliveries.html
Just a few minutes ago a SUDDEN big FADE in the NASDAQ. AMZN went strongly into the RED. REALITY rises it's UGLY head.....after the opening boom. We are DOOMED I tell you.....DOOMED. The entire year is at risk....run for your life. OHHHHHH the humanity. Woe is us. Sell, sell, sell. Well not really....sorry....I just decided to play like I was a media person. Although in REALITY we are now RED in the SP500 and on the edge of turning RED in the NASDAQ. I dont see any reason for this sudden market FLIP....but....when did the markets ever need a reason for anything?
I will speculate that the sudden drop in the big averages a few minutes ago is the result of profit taking by people that waited till the new year to do so...... and defer the capital gains taxes till April of 2027.
I think I read something a week or so ago that mentioned we have had a red market day for the last 3 or 4 years....on the new year opening. So, we may be doing so again. Although, I really don't follow that type of stuff or remember for comparison.
I had mentioned a few times in 2025, you know, way back then, that some of the international funds were having a really good year. Some of them finished out 2025 with + 28-30%. They really came out of the gate with a lead on the SP 500 and never relinquished it. They have had a good couple of years and 2025 was another good one by a pretty good margin. I thought it was interesting and we will see if it continues for 2026.
Digging around looking at 2025 it also appears that some of the fixed income funds such as BND and Treasury funds had a good year with +6-8%. That is pretty good for those that utilize them.
Usually drops off at start of year. 2023 2024 2025 comparisons link https://x.com/i/status/2005764236086309236
I'll post my results on Monday when I get back into the office. 2025 ended as expected with a red day just to seal it off as the kind of year it was. From a market standpoint it was actually a really good year but all the negativity and instability took away any glistening. Also the 2026 pullbacks aren't me! I'm still holding for the long term!!
I start the new year with a loss for the day and a loss YTD. Only two green stocks....NVDA and GOOGL. I also got beat by the SP500 by...0.33%. BUMMER....but in line with the recent discombobulated and un-confident......afraid of its shadow.....market. FEAR, fear, fear is the name of the game right now......waiting for the next shoe to drop.
YES....exactly as expected. It is amazing how many of "US" are able to beat the averages an also by inference the active managers. Active Management Fails Even in Perfect Market Conditions https://larryswedroe.substack.com/p/active-management-fails-even-in-perfect "The evidence is clear: active management consistently underperforms passive strategies, whether markets are soaring or crashing. For example, S&P’s Persistence Scorecard has concluded: “Regardless of asset class or style focus, active management outperformance is typically relatively short-lived, with few funds consistently outranking their peers.” Despite this evidence, many investors continue choosing active funds, prioritizing the possibility of outperformance over the probability of success." Some good analysis in this article.
And speaking of "active management".....I suspect that Berkshire will fall right in line with all the other active managers over the next year or two as they move further and further away from the long term, common sense emphasis of their founders. Buffett Says 'Everything Will Be the Same' at Berkshire—Investors Fear It Won't Be https://finance.yahoo.com/news/buff...NjkhKeeD921JNsfT7Iwaj_I5aN1VhcSltGk41SkL6KN6I
This statement seems a little CRAZY after just a single day. The 2026 stock market is looking a lot like the bifurcated market of 2025 https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/02/mee...t-its-the-same-ai-reliant-market-of-2025.html I guess with the current media a single day is like six months in the old days.
I like this little article. Three Timeless Lessons From 2025 To Use in 2026 https://www.carsongroup.com/insights/blog/three-timeless-lessons-from-2025-to-use-in-2026/ Beware When Everyone Agrees Politics and Investing Don’t Mix Beware the Wall Street Strategist
