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Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the week beginning February 11th, 2019

Discussion in 'Stock Market Today' started by bigbear0083, Feb 8, 2019.

  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Here are the most notable earnings releases for the trading week beginning February 11th, 2019-
    ($NVDA $CGC $SHOP $ATVI $TWLO $GOOS $UAA $AMAT $CSCO $TEVA $KO $L $KMPR $CTL $GRPN $CNA $MPAA $NGL $QSR $CHGG $DO $AVYA $WM $ANET $CYBR $PEP $EXEL $NSP $YELP $MCY $GOLD $MRO $RNG $DGX $NTAP $ICBK $DE $NRZ $YETI $JLL $MOH $AKAM $OHI)
    [​IMG]

    (This post will be edited later with the notable earnings details & charts)

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    Here are the most notable Highest Volatility earnings releases for the trading week beginning February 11th, 2019-
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    NVIDIA Corp. $148.17
    [​IMG]NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:20 PM ET on Thursday, February 14, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.74 per share on revenue of $2.37 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.79 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 40% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 52.87% with revenue decreasing by 18.58%. Short interest has increased by 39.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 9.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 32.5% below its 200 day moving average of $219.49. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, January 30, 2019 there was some notable buying of 15,125 contracts of the $245.00 put expiring on Friday, June 21, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 8.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.2% move in recent quarters.
    [​IMG]

    Canopy Growth Corporation $45.47
    [​IMG]Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, February 14, 2019. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.15 per share on revenue of $66.09 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.22) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 55% expecting an earnings beat. Short interest has increased by 66.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 28.0% from its open following the earnings release. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, February 4, 2019 there was some notable buying of 5,816 contracts of the $55.00 call expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 10.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 17.4% move in recent quarters.
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    Shopify Inc. $175.95
    [​IMG]Shopify Inc. (SHOP) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Tuesday, February 12, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.20 per share on revenue of $327.13 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.25 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 72% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of $315.00 million to $325.00 million. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 42.86% with revenue increasing by 46.82%. Short interest has decreased by 18.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 33.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 19.0% above its 200 day moving average of $147.89. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, February 4, 2019 there was some notable buying of 3,535 contracts of the $175.00 call expiring on Thursday, April 18, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 9.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.5% move in recent quarters.
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    Activision Blizzard, Inc. $43.41
    [​IMG]Activision Blizzard, Inc. (ATVI) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, February 12, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.29 per share on revenue of $3.05 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.34 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 62% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of approximately $0.64 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 41.76% with revenue increasing by 49.29%. Short interest has decreased by 11.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 21.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 34.1% below its 200 day moving average of $65.87. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, February 6, 2019 there was some notable buying of 16,431 contracts of the $46.00 call expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 10.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.8% move in recent quarters.
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    Twilio, Inc. $114.78
    [​IMG]Twilio, Inc. (TWLO) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Tuesday, February 12, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.04 per share on revenue of $184.41 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.05 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 81% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $0.03 to $0.04 per share on revenue of $183.00 million to $185.00 million. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 180.00% with revenue increasing by 60.03%. Short interest has increased by 100.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 39.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 54.0% above its 200 day moving average of $74.53. Overall earnings estimates have been unchanged since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, February 1, 2019 there was some notable buying of 2,162 contracts of the $112.00 call expiring on Friday, March 8, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 14.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 17.6% move in recent quarters.
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    Canada Goose Holdings Inc. $56.20
    [​IMG]Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:45 AM ET on Thursday, February 14, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.57 per share on revenue of $259.98 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.62 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 86% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 18.75% with revenue increasing by 24.20%. Short interest has increased by 45.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 16.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 3.9% below its 200 day moving average of $58.47. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, January 18, 2019 there was some notable buying of 1,122 contracts of the $70.00 call expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 15.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 13.4% move in recent quarters.
    [​IMG]

    Under Armour, Inc. $20.75
    [​IMG]Under Armour, Inc. (UAA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:55 AM ET on Tuesday, February 12, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.04 per share on revenue of $1.38 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.05 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 69% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estiamtes are for year-over-year revenue growth of 1.07%. Short interest has decreased by 10.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 4.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 0.6% above its 200 day moving average of $20.62. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, January 18, 2019 there was some notable buying of 8,867 contracts of the $20.00 call expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 13.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 13.9% move in recent quarters.
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    Applied Materials, Inc. $39.78
    [​IMG]Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Thursday, February 14, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.79 per share on revenue of $3.72 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.81 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 75% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $0.75 to $0.83 per share. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 25.47% with revenue decreasing by 11.51%. Short interest has increased by 5.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 23.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 4.0% below its 200 day moving average of $41.45. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, February 5, 2019 there was some notable buying of 6,053 contracts of the $38.00 put expiring on Friday, July 19, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 6.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.3% move in recent quarters.
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    Cisco Systems, Inc. $47.19
    [​IMG]Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Wednesday, February 13, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.72 per share on revenue of $12.40 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.74 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 78% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $0.71 to $0.73 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 12.50% with revenue increasing by 4.32%. Short interest has increased by 34.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 0.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 5.2% above its 200 day moving average of $44.85. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, January 22, 2019 there was some notable buying of 14,030 contracts of the $48.00 call expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 5.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.4% move in recent quarters.
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    Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Ltd $18.22
    [​IMG]Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Ltd (TEVA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Wednesday, February 13, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.53 per share on revenue of $4.54 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.56 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 63% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 41.76% with revenue decreasing by 16.83%. Short interest has increased by 15.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 13.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 14.2% below its 200 day moving average of $21.23. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, January 8, 2019 there was some notable buying of 6,568 contracts of the $17.00 put expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 9.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 13.9% move in recent quarters.
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    Here are the most anticipated Earnings Releases for this upcoming trading week ahead.

    ***Check mark next to the stock symbols denotes confirmed earnings release date & time***

    Monday 2.11.19 Before Market Open:
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    Monday 2.11.19 After Market Close:
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    Tuesday 2.12.19 Before Market Open:
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    Tuesday 2.12.19 After Market Close:
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    Wednesday 2.13.19 Before Market Open:
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    Wednesday 2.13.19 After Market Close:
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    Thursday 2.14.19 Before Market Open:
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    Thursday 2.14.19 After Market Close:
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    Friday 2.15.19 Before Market Open:
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    Friday 2.15.19 After Market Close:
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  2. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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  3. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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  4. bigbear0083

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  5. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    What does it mean that LXFT has such a high options implied move, when it is being acquired for $59/share and currently trades $58.35?
    Is it because options stopped being traded essentially, so the calculations are being done on pre-buyout option prices, and/or the market there is illiquid?
     
    #5 anotherdevilsadvocate, Feb 10, 2019
    Last edited: Feb 10, 2019
  6. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    I got some predictions, we'll see how they go!

    RNG - long
    HUBS - long
    NVDA - long
    LOGM - long
    ATVI - long
    AKAM - long

    DISH - short
    SHOP - short
    TEVA - short
    WM - short
     
  7. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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  8. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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  9. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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  10. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    Note the result in IPGP: missed earnings and guided down (2nd Q in a row they've done that), revenues are declining nearly 10% year-over-year.
    Yet it's +8%
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    Whether you say that it was oversold, or that it was priced in; this just gives proof that you need to account for human emotions. Can't just look at earnings numbers.
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  11. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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  12. bigbear0083

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  13. bigbear0083

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    Update: Guidance Spread Can’t Find a Bottom
    Feb 13, 2019

    The first snapshot below is an updated look at the rolling 3-month beat rate for both EPS and revenues. These readings show the percentage of companies that have beaten consensus EPS or revenue estimates over a rolling 3-month basis. As shown, the earnings beat rate has been drifting lower recently after peaking in mid-2018. Even after the declines, though, the current reading is still more than 4 points above the historical average. The revenue beat rate peaked at the same time as the earnings beat rate in mid-2018, but it has fallen a lot more since then and is now just above its long-term average. Top-line revenue numbers are much harder for companies to “manufacture” than bottom-line EPS, so we put more stock in the revenue beat rate than the EPS beat rate.

    [​IMG]

    Our guidance spread measures the difference between the percentage of companies raising guidance and lowering guidance on a rolling 3-month basis. As shown in the chart below, the guidance spread reading currently stands at -6.59, which means a lot more companies have lowered guidance than raised guidance over the last three months. Similar to EPS and revenue beat rates, our guidance spread reading peaked in mid-2018 at a very high level of 10+. At its peak, companies were as bullish on the future as they had been in nearly a decade going back to the early days of the post-Financial Crisis bull market. Now the picture looks much different as companies can’t seem to lower guidance quickly enough. We’ll be watching closely to see when this reading is ready to stop falling and begin to turn higher again. As you can see in the chart, there is definitely an ebb and flow to it as companies collectively get either too optimistic or pessimistic.

    [​IMG]

    As beat rates and guidance readings weakened in the 2nd half of 2018, we didn’t see a corresponding drop in the price reactions of stocks reporting earnings. The chart below measures the median one-day price change that stocks reporting earnings are experiencing on a rolling 3-month basis. This reading tells you how positively or negatively stocks are reacting to earnings reports.

    As shown, earlier this earnings season, stock price reactions hit their highest level of the last five years. We’ve seen a drop, over the last few weeks, however, which is something to keep an eye on as the broad market continues to chug along in 2019.

    [​IMG]
     
  14. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Best and Worst Performing Stocks on Earnings
    Feb 13, 2019

    The Q4 2018 earnings reporting period is quickly approaching its end point with Wal-Mart’s (WMT) report scheduled for next Tuesday. So far this season, the average stock that has reported has gained 0.61% on its earnings reaction day (the first trading day following its after-hours or pre-market release).

    Below is a look at the stocks that have posted the strongest upside one-day returns in reaction to their earnings reports this season. At the top of the list is cloud customer service software company eGain (EGAN), which nearly doubled (+47.7%) back on February 8th after it beat both EPS and revenue estimates. EGAN shareholders certainly went home happy that night since you don’t see one-day gains of 50% very often!

    Coty (COTY) — which was mentioned positively by Bill Miller at the start of the month — ranks second on the list with a one-day gain of 32.15% after it reported before the open on February 8th. And toy-maker Mattel (MAT) has posted the 3rd strongest gain on earnings at +23.22%.

    Other notables on the list of big winners this earnings season include semiconductor company Advanced Micro (AMD), flower-delivery company 1-800-FLOWERS (FLWS), shoe-maker Skechers (SKX), and Mueller Industries (MLI) — not to be confused with THAT Mueller.

    [​IMG]

    Looking at S&P 500 stocks specifically, Coty (COTY), Mattel (MAT), Hanesbrands (HBI), Advanced Micro (AMD) and Xilinx (XLNX) ranks as the top five, while other companies on the list you’re certainly familiar with include General Electric (GE), Estee Lauder (EL), Chipotle (CMG), Facebook (FB), Goldman Sachs (GS), IBM, and Bank of America (BAC).

    [​IMG]

    While there’s a long list of earnings season winners, there have also been plenty of big losers. Below we show the 40 worst performing stocks in reaction to their earnings reports this season. Whereas eGain (EGAN) gained nearly 50% in reaction to earnings, wireless security camera maker Arlo Technologies (ARLO) fell nearly 50% following its report on February 5th. Other notables on the list of losers include Tupperware (TUP), The Container Store (TCS), QuinStreet (QNST), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Take Two Interactive (TTWO), and Electronic Arts (EA). Ironically, EA fell 13% following earnings back on February 5th, but it has exploded higher to recover all of its earnings losses and then some after its new Fortnite competitor — Apex — registered 10 million users in its first 72 hours.

    [​IMG]
     
  15. bigbear0083

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  18. bigbear0083

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