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Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the week beginning February 4th, 2019

Discussion in 'Stock Market Today' started by bigbear0083, Feb 1, 2019.

  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Here are the most notable earnings releases for the trading week beginning February 4th, 2019-
    ($GOOGL $TWTR $SNAP $CLF $TTWO $ALXN $DIS $BP $CLX $SYY $GM $GILD $CMG $GRUB $EA $STX $SPOT $AMG $SAIA $RL $CNC $EL $UFI $GLUU $MTSC $JOUT $PM $GPRO $LITE $FEYE $SWKS $LLY $MPC $BDX $REGN $VIAB $ONVO $HUM $ARRY $PBI $ADM $BSAC)
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    (This post will be edited later with the notable earnings details & charts)

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    Here are the most notable Highest Volatility earnings releases for the trading week beginning February 4th, 2019-
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    Alphabet, Inc. -
    [​IMG]Alphabet, Inc. (GOOGL) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Monday, February 4, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $11.08 per share on revenue of $31.28 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $11.03 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 71% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 14.23% with revenue decreasing by 3.23%. Short interest has decreased by 6.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 6.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 0.7% below its 200 day moving average of $1,127.05. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, January 24, 2019 there was some notable buying of 1,493 contracts of the $1,200.00 call expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 5.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.8% move in recent quarters.
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    Twitter, Inc. $33.19
    [​IMG]Twitter, Inc. (TWTR) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Thursday, February 7, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.25 per share on revenue of $871.59 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.29 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 73% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 38.89% with revenue increasing by 19.14%. Short interest has decreased by 54.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 6.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 3.1% below its 200 day moving average of $34.24. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, December 31, 2018 there was some notable buying of 45,575 contracts of the $34.00 call expiring on Friday, March 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 13.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 13.9% move in recent quarters.
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    Snap Inc. $6.91
    [​IMG]Snap Inc. (SNAP) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:10 PM ET on Tuesday, February 5, 2019. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.08 per share on revenue of $376.64 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.04) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 31% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of $355.00 million to $380.00 million. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 27.27% with revenue increasing by 31.83%. Short interest has decreased by 1.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 12.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 33.6% below its 200 day moving average of $10.40. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, January 3, 2019 there was some notable buying of 29,739 contracts of the $7.00 call expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 15.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 19.2% move in recent quarters.
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    Cleveland-Cliffs Inc $10.53
    [​IMG]Cleveland-Cliffs Inc (CLF) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 8:00 AM ET on Friday, February 8, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.57 per share on revenue of $713.61 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.63 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 87% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 119.23% with revenue increasing by 18.76%. Short interest has increased by 4.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 9.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 11.2% above its 200 day moving average of $9.47. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, January 7, 2019 there was some notable buying of 10,030 contracts of the $8.00 call expiring on Thursday, April 18, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 9.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.0% move in recent quarters.
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    Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. $104.95
    [​IMG]Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Wednesday, February 6, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.72 per share on revenue of $1.46 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.82 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 84% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $0.31 to $0.41 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 106.06% with revenue increasing by 203.64%. Short interest has increased by 37.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 18.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 9.9% below its 200 day moving average of $116.52. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, January 23, 2019 there was some notable buying of 2,067 contracts of the $120.00 call expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 9.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 8.3% move in recent quarters.
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    Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $126.28
    [​IMG]Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALXN) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:35 AM ET on Monday, February 4, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.82 per share on revenue of $1.06 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.95 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 67% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 23.81% with revenue increasing by 16.52%. Short interest has decreased by 16.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 0.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 5.8% above its 200 day moving average of $119.40. On Friday, February 1, 2019 there was some notable buying of 1,235 contracts of the $130.00 call expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 7.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.5% move in recent quarters.
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    Walt Disney Co $111.30
    [​IMG]Walt Disney Co (DIS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, February 5, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.57 per share on revenue of $15.18 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.62 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 71% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 16.93% with revenue decreasing by 1.11%. Short interest has increased by 7.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 5.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 1.9% above its 200 day moving average of $109.22. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, February 1, 2019 there was some notable buying of 8,822 contracts of the $110.00 put expiring on Friday, February 8, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 3.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.2% move in recent quarters.
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    BP p.l.c $41.34
    [​IMG]BP p.l.c (BP) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 5:25 AM ET on Tuesday, February 5, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.77 per share on revenue of $60.72 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.75 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 65% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 20.31% with revenue decreasing by 13.28%. Short interest has increased by 6.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 1.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 3.9% below its 200 day moving average of $43.01. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, January 17, 2019 there was some notable buying of 2,010 contracts of the $33.00 put expiring on Friday, January 17, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 3.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.1% move in recent quarters.
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    Clorox Co. $149.86
    [​IMG]Clorox Co. (CLX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Monday, February 4, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.32 per share on revenue of $1.48 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.34 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 63% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 7.32% with revenue increasing by 4.52%. Short interest has decreased by 9.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 3.5% from its open following the earnings release to be 5.9% above its 200 day moving average of $141.57. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, January 18, 2019 there was some notable buying of 1,025 contracts of the $152.50 put expiring on Friday, February 8, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 4.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.3% move in recent quarters.
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    SYSCO Corp. $63.57
    [​IMG]SYSCO Corp. (SYY) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 8:00 AM ET on Monday, February 4, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.72 per share on revenue of $14.85 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.73 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 63% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 9.09% with revenue increasing by 3.04%. Short interest has decreased by 1.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 2.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 5.6% below its 200 day moving average of $67.34. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, February 1, 2019 there was some notable buying of 1,691 contracts of the $66.00 call expiring on Friday, February 8, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 4.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.8% move in recent quarters.
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    Here are the most anticipated Earnings Releases for this upcoming trading week ahead.

    ***Check mark next to the stock symbols denotes confirmed earnings release date & time***

    Monday 2.4.19 Before Market Open:
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    Monday 2.4.19 After Market Close:
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    Tuesday 2.5.19 Before Market Open:
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    Tuesday 2.5.19 After Market Close:
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    Wednesday 2.6.19 Before Market Open:
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    Wednesday 2.6.19 After Market Close:
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    Thursday 2.7.19 Before Market Open:
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    Thursday 2.7.19 After Market Close:
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    Friday 2.8.19 Before Market Open:
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    Friday 2.8.19 After Market Close:
    NONE.
     
  2. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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  4. bigbear0083

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  5. bigbear0083

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  6. bigbear0083

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    Stellar Earnings Reactions This Season
    Feb 4, 2019

    Stocks have been reacting very positively to their earnings reports so far this season. As shown below, the average stock that has reported earnings this season (since January 10th) has gained 1.12% on its earnings reaction day. Earnings season is still not even halfway complete, but if these type of gains continue, it would be the most positive season since the Q1 2009 and Q2 2009 reporting periods that ran from April 2009 through August 2009. If you remember 2009, that was the start of the bull market when the S&P 500 exploded higher off of the Financial Crisis lows.

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    The strength this earnings season comes from earnings beats performing well and earnings misses not falling as much as usual. As shown in the chart and table below, the average stock that has beaten EPS estimates this season has gained 2.64% on its earnings reaction day, while the average miss has fallen just 1.92%. It’s extremely rare to see companies that beat go up more than companies that miss go down. Enjoy it while it lasts, because this type of action won’t last forever. We’ve never gone a full year with this being the case, as is shown below.

    The one-day price change for stocks that beat or miss EPS estimates has been very consistent on a year-to-year basis over time. Generally speaking, a stock that beats will gain 1.9% on its earnings reaction day, while a stock that misses will fall 3.5%. Just have a look at the performance of beats and misses from year-to-year and see how consistent these numbers are.

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    Below we show how stocks are performing on their earnings reaction days this season by sector. As shown, Technology stocks are catching a huge bid after they release Q4 results with an average gain of 2.41% on their earnings reaction days. Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary stocks are the next best performers, followed by Communication Services and Financials. The only two sectors where stocks aren’t reacting positively to their Q4 earnings results are Energy and Real Estate. The average Energy stock has traded exactly flat on its earnings reaction day this season, while the average Real Estate stock has fallen 0.49%. Every other sector is averaging gains.

    [​IMG]
     
  8. bigbear0083

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    Most Positive Reactions to Earnings in 5+ Years
    Feb 7, 2019

    Matt Phillips at the Times wrote an article earlier this week about the positive price reactions we’re seeing from stocks reporting earnings this season, even for companies that aren’t reporting the best of numbers. Expanding on that analysis (which featured some of our work), below are two charts highlighting this trend.

    In the first chart, we show the rolling three-month guidance spread for US stocks reporting earnings over the last five years. This chart shows the difference between the percentage of companies raising guidance minus the percentage lowering guidance on a rolling three-month basis. As shown, after peaking above +10 in the middle of last year, the guidance spread has plummeted, reaching -4 as of yesterday. This means that more companies are lowering guidance than raising guidance, and the current reading has moved below the long-term average.

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    As guidance numbers have fallen, stock price reactions to earnings reports have been soaring. Below we show the median one-day change that stocks experience after reporting earnings on a rolling three-month basis. Over the last three months, stocks reporting earnings have posted a median one-day gain of +0.78%. As shown, that’s the strongest upside reaction to earnings in at least the last five years. In fact, to find a period where the three-month average was stronger, you have to go back to the early months of the bull market following the March 2009 lows. And this is coming as guidance numbers weaken.

    It appears as if investors overshot the downside in Q4 2018 and are now rushing to get back in for fear of missing out.

    [​IMG]
     
  15. bigbear0083

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