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Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the week beginning January 28th, 2019

Discussion in 'Stock Market Today' started by bigbear0083, Jan 25, 2019.

  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Here are the most notable earnings releases for the trading week beginning January 28th, 2019-
    ($AMZN $AAPL $AMD $FB $MSFT $BABA $TSLA $CAT $GE $BA $T $PYPL $VZ $UPS $V $MCD $LMT $MA $MMM $PFE $XOM $MO $AKS $SALT $ALGN $NUE $BIIB $NOK $WYNN $EBAY $RTN $ARLP $QCOM $HOG $BOH $GLW $BX $X $BMRC $SAP $AGN $WHR $SIRI $CVX $CADE)
    [​IMG]

    (This post will be edited later with the notable earnings details & charts)

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    Here are the most notable Highest Volatility earnings releases for the trading week beginning January 28th, 2019-
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    Amazon.com, Inc.
    [​IMG]Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Thursday, January 31, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $5.57 per share on revenue of $71.61 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $5.76 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 78% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 157.87% with revenue increasing by 18.46%. Short interest has increased by 7.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 1.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 2.0% below its 200 day moving average of $1,705.39. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, January 11, 2019 there was some notable buying of 5,508 contracts of the $1,675.00 call and 5,500 contracts of the $1,675.00 put expiring on Friday, February 1, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 6.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.3% move in recent quarters.
    [​IMG]

    Apple, Inc. $157.76
    [​IMG]Apple, Inc. (AAPL) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:30 PM ET on Tuesday, January 29, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $4.17 per share on revenue of $84.10 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $4.25 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 47% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $4.40 to $4.77 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 7.20% with revenue decreasing by 4.75%. Short interest has increased by 16.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 24.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 17.6% below its 200 day moving average of $191.56. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, January 10, 2019 there was some notable buying of 17,460 contracts of the $150.00 put and 13,916 contracts of the $150.00 call expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 5.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.8% move in recent quarters.
    [​IMG]

    Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. $21.93
    [​IMG]Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:30 PM ET on Tuesday, January 29, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.09 per share on revenue of $1.44 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.08 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 47% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 0.00% with revenue decreasing by 2.70%. Short interest has increased by 6.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 22.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 12.2% above its 200 day moving average of $19.55. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, January 15, 2019 there was some notable buying of 23,297 contracts of the $23.00 call and 23,206 contracts of the $23.00 put expiring on Friday, March 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 13.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 11.4% move in recent quarters.
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    Facebook Inc. $149.01
    [​IMG]Facebook Inc. (FB) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Wednesday, January 30, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.17 per share on revenue of $16.41 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.26 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 67% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 1.36% with revenue increasing by 26.50%. Short interest has decreased by 5.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 3.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 10.5% below its 200 day moving average of $166.40. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, January 22, 2019 there was some notable buying of 12,312 contracts of the $225.00 call expiring on Friday, March 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 7.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.7% move in recent quarters.
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    Microsoft Corp. $107.17
    [​IMG]Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:10 PM ET on Wednesday, January 30, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.09 per share on revenue of $32.45 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.16 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 85% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 13.54% with revenue increasing by 12.21%. Short interest has increased by 25.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 0.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 2.2% above its 200 day moving average of $104.84. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, January 16, 2019 there was some notable buying of 9,978 contracts of the $115.00 call expiring on Friday, March 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 4.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.9% move in recent quarters.
    [​IMG]

    Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. $159.21
    [​IMG]Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Wednesday, January 30, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.65 per share on revenue of $17.26 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.73 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 77% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 7.14% with revenue increasing by 35.26%. Short interest has increased by 10.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 4.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 5.9% below its 200 day moving average of $169.25. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, January 15, 2019 there was some notable buying of 16,258 contracts of the $150.00 put expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 6.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.1% move in recent quarters.
    [​IMG]

    Tesla, Inc. $297.04
    [​IMG]Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:30 PM ET on Wednesday, January 30, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.12 per share on revenue of $7.01 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.23 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 51% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of at least $0.01 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 166.46% with revenue increasing by 113.18%. Short interest has decreased by 22.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 6.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 5.2% below its 200 day moving average of $313.42. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, January 22, 2019 there was some notable buying of 15,091 contracts of the $100.00 put expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 10.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 8.8% move in recent quarters.
    [​IMG]

    Caterpillar, Inc. $136.86
    [​IMG]Caterpillar, Inc. (CAT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Monday, January 28, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.98 per share on revenue of $14.37 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $3.03 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 61% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 37.96% with revenue increasing by 11.43%. Short interest has decreased by 3.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 14.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 1.7% below its 200 day moving average of $139.29. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, December 31, 2018 there was some notable buying of 4,163 contracts of the $135.00 call expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 6.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.5% move in recent quarters.
    [​IMG]

    General Electric Co. $9.16
    [​IMG]General Electric Co. (GE) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Thursday, January 31, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.22 per share on revenue of $32.01 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.24 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 31% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 18.52% with revenue increasing by 1.94%. Short interest has increased by 21.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 13.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 22.7% below its 200 day moving average of $11.85. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, January 17, 2019 there was some notable buying of 46,419 contracts of the $10.00 call expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 9.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.0% move in recent quarters.
    [​IMG]

    Boeing Co. $364.20
    [​IMG]Boeing Co. (BA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Wednesday, January 30, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $4.52 per share on revenue of $26.92 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $4.61 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 82% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 5.83% with revenue increasing by 6.12%. Short interest has increased by 11.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 0.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 5.2% above its 200 day moving average of $346.11. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, January 18, 2019 there was some notable buying of 3,908 contracts of the $395.00 call expiring on Friday, February 15, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 4.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.0% move in recent quarters.
    [​IMG]

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    [​IMG]

    Here are the most anticipated ERs for this upcoming week ahead (I'll also have the weekly earnings calendar posted in here as well once it's out)

    ***Check mark next to the stock symbols denotes confirmed earnings release date & time***

    Monday 1.28.19 Before Market Open:
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    Monday 1.28.19 After Market Close:
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    Tuesday 1.29.19 Before Market Open:
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    Tuesday 1.29.19 After Market Close:
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    Wednesday 1.30.19 Before Market Open:
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    Wednesday 1.30.19 After Market Close:
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    Thursday 1.31.19 Before Market Open:
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    Thursday 1.31.19 After Market Close:
    [​IMG]

    Friday 2.1.19 Before Market Open:
    [​IMG]

    Friday 2.1.19 After Market Close:
    NONE.
     
  2. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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  3. bigbear0083

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    Hey all, I had a few requests from people asking if I could post these weekly earnings threads on Friday morning's as I do on our r/StockMarket subreddit. So, from here on out I will be posting these on Friday morning to give everyone an opportunity to see this during market hours, so people can plan accordingly for the trading week ahead. :)

    EDIT: The highlighted earnings releases with charts won't be up until Saturday morning though.
     
  4. bigbear0083

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    Xilinx (XLNX) Leads the List of Earnings Season Winners So Far
    Jan 25, 2019

    Roughly 200 companies have reported Q4 earnings results since the current reporting period began earlier this month. So how have stock prices been reacting to earnings reports so far this season? Very well.

    The average stock that has reported Q4 numbers has gained 1.2% on its earnings reaction day. (The earnings reaction day is the first trading day following a company’s quarterly report. For companies that report before the open, its earnings reaction day is that trading day. For companies that report after the close, its earnings reaction day is the next trading day.) That’s an impressive reading suggesting investors came into the reporting period too bearish.

    Below is a list of the 40 best performing stocks on earnings so far this season. Of the 40 stocks listed, 15 gained more than 10% on their earnings reaction days, with semiconductor company Xilinx (XLNX) on top at +18.44%. On January 23rd, XLNX reported an earnings triple play after the close by beating EPS estimates, beating revenue estimates, and raising guidance. Shareholders were rewarded with a one-day gain of nearly 20%.

    Bank OZK (OZK) ranks second on the list with a one-day gain of 16.16% following its report on January 17th. Lam Research (LRCX) ranks 3rd at +15.7%, followed by K12 (LRN) and OSI Systems (OSIS). Other notables on the list of big winners this earnings season include Goldman Sachs (GS) with a gain of more than 9%, IBM with a gain of 8.5%, and Bank of America (BAC) with a gain of more than 7%. GS, IBM, and BAC are three blue-chip financials that had been beaten down in the months leading up to their recent reports, and they’re great examples of the newfound strength that many previously struggling financials have shown in recent weeks.

    [​IMG]
     
  7. bigbear0083

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    Updated Earnings and Revenue Beat Rate Numbers for Q4 2018
    Jan 26, 2019

    The Q4 2018 earnings season continued to pick up steam this week as another 100+ companies reported. Next week things kick into full gear, however, with an estimated 325+ companies set to report.

    Below we take a look at the numbers we’ve seen so far this season. As shown in the first chart below, the bottom-line earnings per share beat rate now stands at 64.7%. This is roughly inline with the final reading seen last quarter, but it’s also low for where we are in the reporting period. Historically, the earnings beat rate drifts lower as earnings season progresses.

    [​IMG]

    The top-line revenue beat rate actually ticked up a bit this week after finishing last week below 50%. As shown below, 54.9% of companies that have reported this season have beaten consensus revenue estimates. Even after the tick higher this week, top-line beats this season remain weaker than normal.

    [​IMG]
     
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