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Santa Claus Rally in 2019? Yes or No? Vote!

Cy's official Stockaholics thread archives group.

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Will we see the traditional SCR (Santa Claus Rally) this year?

Poll closed Dec 24, 2019.
  1. Yes! I think the SPX will be UP +0.25% or greater from 12/24/19 to 1/3/20.

    100.0%
  2. No! I think the SPX will be DOWN -0.25% or greater from 12/24/19 to 1/3/20.

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    This is a very simple and straight forward poll here ... you are voting for whether or not you think we will see the SCR (Santa Claus Rally) this year.

    The SCR is gauged from the final 5 trading days of the current year and the first 2 trading days of the new year.

    So going by that this will be starting from the closing print on Monday, 12/23/19 through the closing print on Friday, 1/3/20 = 7 trading days = the SCR.

    Basically you are voting for if you believe we will see the SCR which would be a gain on the cash SPX of at minimum +0.25% or greater from the 12/24/19 close through the close of 1/3/20 = a Yes! vote that you think we'll have the Santa Claus Rally.

    ...or you are voting No! that there will not be a Santa Claus Rally = -0.25% or greater on the cash SPX from those same dates 12/24/18 thru 1/3/19.

    Should the SCR end less than +/-0.25% at the end of this 7-day stretch then this poll will just simply be null and void ... and neither poll voters win.

    We will know the final results of this poll at market close on Friday, January 3rd, 2020.

    Anyway, if there are any questions regarding this poll feel free to ask ... but this one is a pretty easy one to understand IMO.

    VOTE!

    [​IMG]

    Starting Point:
    (Starting point to be edited in here after market close on Monday, 12/23/19).
    [​IMG]
    I will also be running a live spreadsheet where we can all track how the SCR is doing in real-time. Again, it will officially begin tracking after the close on Monday, December 23rd, 2020.

    Click the button below to track the 2020 SCR in real-time-
    [​IMG]
     
    #1 bigbear0083, Dec 21, 2019
    Last edited: Dec 23, 2019
  2. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    BTW, just to clarify in here since I'm figuring we might get at least one person asking or curious about this.

    The official "SCR" (Santa Claus Rally) does not actually begin until Tuesday, Dec. 24th (Xmas Eve).

    The official tracking according to Stock Trader's Almanac is from the last 5 trading days of the current trading year, up through the final 2 trading days of the new trading year. It is 7 trading days long.

    Anyone can call it a SCR now of course, but it isn't actually the "official" SCR as this poll is gauging from. Just a quick FYI there.
     
  3. Stoch

    Stoch Well-Known Member

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    Market still climbing, I think we go into January
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  4. rStock

    rStock Well-Known Member

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    UP
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  5. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Alright! The starting point for this poll has now been edited into the first post here.

    The "official" Santa Claus Rally will begin tracking from today's closing price:
    [​IMG]

    This poll closes at market open tomorrow so get those votes clicked in and posted in here asap. :D

    EDIT: Oh and here is my google sheet if you guys wanted to track the SCR in real-time:
    [​IMG] <-- click there to view!
     
  6. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    i'll go with an up too, but man i do feel things are beginning to get a little stretched on the upside here.

    this could easily be a down santa given the huge run we have had the past few weeks leading up to this point though :p
     
  7. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Going with up, I think 0.25% is pretty doable :D
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  8. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Day #3 update as of market close 12/27/19-

    (Only 4 trading left to go in the SCR!)

    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to track the 2020 SCR in real-time-
    [​IMG]
     
  9. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Day #4 update as of market close 12/30/19-

    (The SCR has turned slightly red with only 3 trading days left to go)

    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to track the 2020 SCR in real-time-
    [​IMG]
     
  10. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Day #5 update as of market close 12/31/19-

    (The SCR has turned back into the green, albeit just slightly with only 2 trading days left to go!)

    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to track the 2020 SCR in real-time-
    [​IMG]
     
  11. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Day #6 update as of market close 1/2/20-

    (Barring something really bad tomorrow, it's looking like we'll finish with a green Santa with only 1 trading day left to go!)

    [​IMG]

    Tomorrow's market close will officially conclude the SCR.

    Click the button below to track the 2020 SCR in real-time-
    [​IMG]
     
  12. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    The SCR has officially concluded!

    Here is a look at the final stats on the SCR:

    (Even despite some geopolitical noise on Friday, the SCR still finds a way to end green!)

    [​IMG]

    Congrats to the following members who correctly posted their vote for an up SCR-

    @Stoch
    @rStock
    @bigbear0083
    @stock1234

    Great calls fellas! :cool:
     

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