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Stockaholics 2019 Yearly Stock Picking Contest & SPX Sentiment Poll

Cy's official Stockaholics thread archives group.

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How do you see 2019 closing?

Poll closed Jan 2, 2019.
  1. Up.

    77.8%
  2. Flat. (+/-2.50% or less)

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. Down.

    22.2%
  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Stockaholics 2019 Yearly Stock Picking Contest
    (Read this first post for the 2018 Yearly Stock Picking Contest.)


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    Congrats to @Onepoint272 the 2018 Yearly Contest Winner!

    *Link to the 2018 Yearly Stock Picking Contest Thread*

    On to the next! The 2019 Yearly Stock Picking Contest starts at the opening bell on Wednesday, January 2nd, 2019.

    If you want to be eligible to participate in this year's contest here is what you need to do (REQUIRED!):
    • 1.) Post 2 tickers (ex. AAPL = Apple) but YOU MUST pick 2 not just 1 or else I will not add you to our list of contestants!
    • 2.) Choose either Long or Short for each ticker (Obviously LONG = if you think it will go up ... or SHORT = if you think it will go down this year)
    • 3.) Both of your picks MUST each be at least $2 at the bare minimum! If you pick something that is under $2 then your pick will not count, and you will not be entered into this year's contest!
    Contest Rules (PLEASE READ THESE AND FOLLOW THEM!):
    • 1.) No OTC or IPOs.
    • 2.) No Futures, Forex, Indexes stuff like that... Equities ONLY that trade on the U.S. Stock Exchange!
    • 3.) If you don't post both the ticker AND the direction (LONG/SHORT) you won't be added to the list of contestants for this year's stock picking contest!
    • 4.) You cannot duplicate someone's exact play! For example- If someone picks AAPL - Long and BAC - Long first then you may only pick AAPL - Short and BAC - Long or AAPL - Long and BAC - Short <-- you may only duplicate 1 pick but not BOTH! This is a first come, first serve basis here!
    • 5.) Picks absolutely MUST be posted in here before the 9:30AM eastern time cash market open on the first trading day of the year!
    • 6.) You are NOT allowed to pick any leveraged ETFs/ETNs (2x/3x). If you choose one, it will not count. If incorrect picks go un-noticed, you risk your position being forfeited!
    • 7.) RATIONALE - You may post up a rationale (either technical or fundamental) for both of your picks but they are not required. This is optional for everyone.
    • 8.) Please DO NOT EDIT your original post with your picks! If you absolutely must choose another pick, please use a separate post and state that you are changing your original pick to something else!
    • 9.) You may choose to close out one or both of your picks at any time during the trading year. PLEASE POST YOUR OWN CLOSING PRICE(S)! We will be using the intraday 1 minute closing price using the time stamp of your post on Stockaholics for when you closed out your pick. You will need to state which pick(s) you are closing out as well as the price & the time of when you closed out. I will be confirming that your closing price is correct by looking at the 1 min. intraday chart. If it is not correct, I will then post up your correct price and input that into the live spreadsheet. If you choose to close out after the trading day is finished (after the closing bell), you will then get the next day's opening price.
    If you have any questions, feel free to ask, and if anyone sees someone else messing up, please correct them. Also, please look at your positions after I post the spreadsheets. I try to catch mistakes, in and out of my control, but need your help in making sure the information is accurate.

    Remember...the contest starts at the opening bell on Wednesday, January 2nd!

    GLTA.

    Click the button below to view the 2019 contest spreadsheet-
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    EMBEDDED SHEET:



    Click the button below to submit your yearly picks via the Google Form-
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    EMBEDDED FORM:



    Click on the button below to view the Stockaholics Yearly contest winners-
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    Click on the button below to view the Stockaholics yearly contest winners spreadsheet-
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    Click the button below to view the yearly stock picking contest members records-
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    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Yearly Stockaholics SPX Sentiment Poll

    How will the S&P close out 2019 (January - December)?

    This is a poll for 2019 (January - December)
    Expires Wednesday at the opening bell on: 1/2/19
    Don't forget to click the "Vote Now" button! ;)

    [​IMG]

    Starting Point:
    [​IMG]

    **Starting point to be edited into this post after yearly close**
    *Link to Previous Yearly Poll Thread*
    Don't forget to post your vote to be listed in the 2019

    [​IMG]

    Results from 2018 (January - December)
    2,673.61
    2,506.85 (-6.24%)


    Stockaholics Voted
    [​IMG]


    No yearly poll tally for Stockaholics in 2018. Credit goes to the DOWN votes! :cool:


    Post your Vote!
    [​IMG]


    Notes/Guidelines:
    1) For purpose of the spreadsheet record flat is currently based on +/-2.50% or less. Of course, everyone can define flat any way they choose.
    2) Up, Flat, or Down must be clearly specified in a post in order to be listed in the spreadsheet, otherwise it'll be assumed that post was not intended to be a part of the official record.
    3) It's OK to post your vote if you missed the deadline after the poll has expired and if the market has not really moved that much or especially if your late vote is opposite or flat of the S&P futures ATM. It will be up to my discretion and obviously, the more active voters will be given more leeway.
    4) Starting and ending points based on official year ending close of the market.
    5) The primary goal of this game is to track our performance. You can consider it a contest or as a personal critiquing tool to better ones performance
    .
     
    #1 bigbear0083, Nov 18, 2018
    Last edited: Dec 31, 2018
  2. Steven_Burt

    Steven_Burt Well-Known Member

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    Market - UP 6%
     
  3. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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  4. snuffalchewy

    snuffalchewy Active Member

    Joined:
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    174
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    86
  5. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Congratulations to the 2018 yearly contest winner and 1st time winner of the yearly contest @Onepoint272! :cool:

    Some worthy mentions also go out to our 2nd place winner @Three Eyes and 3rd place winner @Ken34!

    Here was the final contest results for 2018-
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    Here are are the Stockaholics yearly contest winners & their winning picks-
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    Click on the button below to view the complete Stockaholics yearly contest winners & their winning picks-
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    And finally, we have the complete quarterly stock picking contest members history which includes every pick from our active participants this year.

    Click the button below to view the 2018 quarterly stock picking contest members records-
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  6. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Post #1 Updated!
    Scores Graded!


    Click the button below to view the full 2018 Stockaholics Poll Member Voting Record-
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    *Link to Previous Yearly Poll Thread*

    No yearly poll tally for Stockaholics in 2018. Credit goes to the DOWN votes! :cool:

    Special shout out goes out to our lone posted DOWN voters for 2018!-

    @Three Eyes

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    Special commendation also goes out to our yearly poll consecutive leader!-

    (NONE)

    @Three Eyes is our yearly poll percentage leader with a 100.00% voting accuracy! :cool:

    Whelp, that is a wrap from me this quarter... GLTA in the new year ahead! and I hope you all have an awesome trading year of 2019! Cheers y'alls! :cool:

    And please do not forget to click in your vote on the poll & post your vote before the opening bell on Wednesday!!!
     
  7. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Market Down

    Looks like I am the only down voter so far :p
     
  8. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    market - up

    twtr - long
    cop - long
     
  9. Three Eyes

    Three Eyes 2018 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Market - DOWN [I think we're gonna go sideways most of the year, alternating between a news cycle-generated downward bias and retail buying-the-dips. The Bull will not come back until political certainty is restored, and between an unpredictable White House and a motivated opposition in the House of Reps there will be no political certainty. My 2 cents.]
     
  10. Lico Inv

    Lico Inv Active Member

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    Market - Up
    ( I still see much Volatility), hopefully the housing interest rates stabilize. Trade deals benefiting US should definitely help. Can't wait for the Uber/ Lyft IPOs.
    2019 should be a Very Interesting year!
     
  11. Onepoint272

    Onepoint272 Well-Known Member

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    Market UP

    The biggest eleven components of the S&P 500 in approximate order are GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT, FB, AAPL, BRK.B, JPM, BAC, WFC, XOM, CVX. The biggest of these and the oils have already been killed and will be consolidating for awhile. BRK.B and WFC are still in a range after all the malaise of the markets. The other banks, JPM and BAC, are concerning but with a little more downside will approach their long term up trend lines.

    My picks:
    WDAY - Long - appears to have been accumulated since March and is now in the Last Point of Support (LPS) position.
    SBUX - Long - appears to have been accumulated since October 2015 and is now in the Last Point of Support (LPS) position.
     
  12. rStock

    rStock Well-Known Member

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    Market DOWN
     
  13. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    FWIW, I'll be posting updates to this thread at the end of every quarter instead of every week. However, since we just kicked off our first week of the year this week I'll just go ahead and throw up the quick end of week update from this week.

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    2019 yearly SPX update as of week ending 1/4/19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (1/4/19 CLOSE): 2,531.94 (+1.00%)


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    2019 yearly contest update as of week ending 1/4/19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @anotherdevilsadvocate! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  14. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    2019 yearly SPX update as of week ending 1/11/19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (1/11/19 CLOSE): 2,596.26 (+3.57%)


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    2019 yearly contest update as of week ending 1/11/19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @anotherdevilsadvocate! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  15. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    2019 yearly SPX update as of week ending 1/18/19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (1/18/19 CLOSE): 2,670.71 (+6.54%)


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    2019 yearly contest update as of week ending 1/18/19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @anotherdevilsadvocate! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  16. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    2019 yearly SPX update as of week ending 1/25/19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (1/25/19 CLOSE): 2,664.76 (+6.30%)


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    2019 yearly contest update as of week ending 1/25/19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @anotherdevilsadvocate! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  17. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    2019 yearly SPX update as of week ending 2/1/19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (2/1/19 CLOSE): 2,706.53 (+7.97%)


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    2019 yearly contest update as of week ending 2/1/19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @anotherdevilsadvocate! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  18. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    2019 yearly SPX update as of week ending 2/8/19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (2/8/19 CLOSE): 2,707.88 (+8.02%)


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    2019 yearly contest update as of week ending 2/8/19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @anotherdevilsadvocate! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  19. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Just a quick heads up to all!

    I'm not 100% sure how accurate the data is on the sheets today, so while I am updating these here it's very possible that what you're seeing is incorrect.

    I don't have an awful lot of free time to check on these.

    I'm just posting these in here and then off I go for the weekend.

    Please check these in your spare time and if you guys find any errors please report them in here.

    For the record, this is not coming from my end but rather from Google Finance's end. They are having serious data issues of late... :confused:

    Very unfortunate, and this could result in major issues for us potentially going forward running these competitions...

    Hopefully this will get resolved soon!
     
  20. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    2019 yearly SPX update as of week ending 2/15/19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (2/15/19 CLOSE): 2,775.60 (+10.72%)


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    2019 yearly contest update as of week ending 2/15/19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @anotherdevilsadvocate! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     

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