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Stockaholics Daily Stock Picking Challenge & SPX Sentiment Poll for Tuesday (7/17)

Cy's official Stockaholics thread archives group.

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How do you see the SPX closing on Tuesday (7/17)?

Poll closed Jul 17, 2018.
  1. Up.

    40.0%
  2. Flat. (+/-0.15% or less)

    20.0%
  3. Down.

    40.0%
  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Stockaholics Daily Stock Picking Challenge for Tuesday (7/17)
    (Read this first post for the Stockaholics Daily Stock Picking Challenge)


    [​IMG]

    Congrats to @emmett kelly the Stockaholics Daily Stock Pick Winner for (7/16)!

    *Link to Stockaholics Daily Stock Picking Challenge Thread for (7/16)*

    On to the next! The Stockaholics Daily Stock Picking Challenge for (7/17) starts at the opening bell on Tuesday, July 17th, 2018.

    If you want to be eligible to participate in the daily challenge here is what you need to do (REQUIRED!):
    • 1.) Post 1 ticker (ex. AAPL = Apple)
    • 2.) Choose either Long or Short (Obviously LONG = if you think it will go up ... or SHORT = if you think it will go down)
    • 3.) Your pick MUST be at least $2 at the previous day's closing price at the bare minimum! If you pick something that is under $2 then your pick will not count, and you will not be entered into the daily stock picking challenge!
    Challenge Rules (PLEASE READ THESE AND FOLLOW THEM!):
    • 1.) No OTC or IPOs.
    • 2.) No Futures, Forex, Indexes stuff like that... Equities ONLY that trade on the U.S. Stock Exchange!
    • 3.) If you don't post both the ticker AND the direction (LONG/SHORT) you won't be added to the list of contestants for the daily stock picking challenge!
    • 4.) You cannot duplicate someone's exact pick!
    • 5.) Picks absolutely MUST be posted in here before 4AM eastern time the day of the contest!
    • 6.) You are NOT allowed to pick any leveraged ETFs/ETNs (2x/3x). If you choose one, it will not count. If incorrect picks go un-noticed, you risk your position being forfeited!
    • 7.) RATIONALE - You may post up a rationale (either technical or fundamental) for your pick but it is not required. This is optional for everyone. Members who do post up a rationale for their pick will receive an additional 2 points in the members leaderboard.
    • 8.) Please DO NOT EDIT your original post with your pick! If you absolutely must choose another pick, please use a separate post and state that you are changing your original pick to something else!
    • 9.) You may choose to close out your pick at any time during the trading day. PLEASE POST YOUR OWN CLOSING PRICE! We will be using the intraday 1 minute closing price using the time stamp of your post on Stockaholics for when you closed out your pick. You will need to state the price & the time of when you closed out. I will be confirming that your closing price is correct by looking at the 1 min. intraday chart. If it is not correct, I will then post up your correct price and input that into the live spreadsheet.
    If you have any questions, feel free to ask, and if anyone sees someone else messing up, please correct them. Also, please look at your positions after I post the spreadsheets. I try to catch mistakes, in and out of my control, but need your help in making sure the information is accurate.

    Remember...the challenge starts at the opening bell on Tuesday, July 17th!

    GLTA.

    Click the button below to view today's challenge spreadsheet-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 daily challenge winners-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 daily challenge winners spreadsheet-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 stock picking challenge members leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 daily stock picking challenge members records-
    [​IMG]

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    This is a poll for Tuesday 7/17, 2018
    Expires Tuesday at 4am eastern time on: 7/17/18
    Don't forget to click the "Vote Now" button! ;)

    How does Stockaholics think the S&P500 will close 7/17?

    Starting point:
    [​IMG]

    **Starting point will be edited into this post after previous close**
    *Link to Previous Daily Poll Thread*
    Don't forget to post your vote to be listed in the 2018

    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Results from the last poll (7/16)
    2,801.31
    2,798.43 -0.10%


    Stockaholics Voted
    [​IMG]


    No daily poll tally for Stockaholics on Monday. Credit goes to the FLAT/DOWN votes! :cool:


    Post your Vote!
    [​IMG]


    Notes/Guidelines:
    1) For purpose of the spreadsheet record flat is currently based on +/-0.15% or less. Of course, everyone can define flat any way they choose.
    2) Up, Flat, or Down must be clearly specified in a post in order to be listed in the spreadsheet, otherwise it'll be assumed that post was not intended to be a part of the official record.
    3) It's OK to post your vote if you missed the deadline after the poll has expired and if the market has not really moved that much or especially if your late vote is opposite or flat of the S&P futures ATM. It will be up to my discretion and obviously, the more active voters will be given more leeway.
    4) Starting and ending points based on official daily ending close of the market.
    5) The primary goal of this game is to track our performance. You can consider it a contest or as a personal critiquing tool to better ones performance
    .
     
    #1 bigbear0083, Jul 6, 2018
    Last edited: Jul 16, 2018
  2. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

    Joined:
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    Congratulations to today's daily stock pick winner and 26th time winner of the daily stock pick challenge in 2018 (2nd time winner in July!) -- @emmett kelly! :cool:

    Some worthy mentions also go out to our 2nd place winner -- @Ken34 and 3rd place winner -- @stock1234!

    Here was today's final daily challenge results-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the complete daily challenge winners & their winning picks in 2018 thus far-
    [​IMG]

    And here is the daily challenge members leaderboard as of today-
    (To make things less cumbersome & time consuming for me I will just simply post up the link to the members leaderboard spreadsheet here instead of posting up a full screenshot everytime.)

    Click the button below to view the complete 2018 stock picking challenge members leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    And lastly, we have the complete daily stock picking challenge members history which includes every pick posted from our active participants this year!

    Click the button below to view the complete 2018 daily stock picking challenge members records-
    [​IMG]
     
  3. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

    Joined:
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    Post #1 Updated!
    Scores Graded!


    Click the button below to view the full 2018 Stockaholics Poll Member Voting Record-
    [​IMG]

    *Link to Previous Daily Poll Thread*

    No daily poll tally for Stockaholics on Monday. Credit goes to the FLAT/DOWN votes! :cool:

    Special shout out goes out to our lone posted FLAT voter on Monday!-

    @bigbear0083

    Special commendation also goes out to our current daily poll consecutive leader with 4 in a row!-

    @bigbear0083

    [​IMG]

    @stock1234 is still our overall daily poll percentage leader for the year with a 64.39% voting accuracy in 2018 thus far!

    And here is the daily poll members voting record leaderboard as of today-
    (To make things less cumbersome & time consuming for me I will just simply post up the link to the members leaderboard spreadsheet here instead of posting up a full screenshot everytime.)

    Click the button below to view the complete 2018 poll members voting record leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Whelp, that is a wrap from me today ... GLTA and I hope you all enjoy the rest of your evening ahead! And many thanks goes out to all of you who participated on the daily challenge today! Get rested. Cheers y'alls! :cool:

    And please do not forget to click in your vote on the poll & post your vote before 4AM eastern time on Tuesday!!!
     
  4. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    whelp, the flat vote sure has been hard to come by in 2018 (especially since it was changed from +/-0.25% down to +/-0.15% this year), however yours truly has just pulled it off twice in a row (first time any member has gotten flat correct at least two times in a row this year thus far. :p)
     
  5. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    btw everyone, i just needed post this real quick heads up in here for tomorrow.

    i will be out for most of the day, so i likely will not be able to get around to updating the spreadsheet with closing #'s if anyone is closing out picks during the day. that doesn't mean you can't close out. you may still close out your pick at any time as usual. but, the closing prices won't be updated on the spreadsheet until i am back, which may not be until late in the day (2pm or 3ish eastern).
     
  6. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    market - flat (again...) summer doldrums here we come

    mu - long

    Fading volume indicates arrival of summer doldrums
    [​IMG]
    The “Best Six/Eights Months” for stocks are over and it also looks like the summer doldrums could be right around the corner. We refer to the summer months as the doldrums due to the anemic volume and uninspired trading on Wall Street. The individual trader, if they are looking to sell a stock, is generally met with disinterest from the street. It becomes very difficult to sell a stock at a good price. That is also why many summer rallies tend to be short lived and are quickly followed by a pullback or correction.

    Below we have plotted the one-year seasonal volume patterns since 1965 for the NYSE and 1978 for NASDAQ against the annual average daily volume moving average for 2018 so far. The typical summer lull is highlighted in yellow. Note the spike in volume that occurred in late June as the market began to weaken after mid-month. The recent volume trend for the current year shows a perennial trail off in volume may be underway.

    An atypical surge in volume this summer, especially accompanied by outsized gains, would be an encouraging sign that the bull market will continue. However, should traders lose their conviction and participate in the annual summer exodus from The Street, a market pullback or correction could quickly unfold.
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
  7. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Here is Tuesday's daily challenge spreadsheet in case I'm unable to get around to it later tomorrow-
    [​IMG] <-- click there to view!

    NOTE: *Ignore the current "opening prices" as those will automatically correct to tomorrow's opening prices after 9:30am eastern time.*

    Good luck to all of our participants in here for tomorrow! :cool:

    @bigbear0083

    NOTE: I am just posting up tomorrow's spreadsheet a little earlier than usual in here as I have a pretty busy day ahead of me for tomorrow. I will continue adding members picks up until 4am eastern time tomorrow morning so don't think you are excluded from tomorrow's challenge if I haven't listed your name up right now. I just wanted to get this spreadsheet posted in here and out of the way so I don't have to worry about getting it up at a later time tomorrow. ;)
     
  8. emmett kelly

    emmett kelly Well-Known Member

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    Market UP

    CDMO - Long
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  9. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    Market DOWN

    CODA - long,
    although it's a bad-looking candle today, I think it was just profit-taking which wasn't too damaging.
     
  10. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Market Down

    VIPS - Short
     
  11. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    You are great at calling the market flat Cy :D
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  12. rStock

    rStock Well-Known Member

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    Market Up

    COHR - Long
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  13. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    just bumping this post in case anyone missed it last night.

    going to be out for much of the day today. should be back before the close though.
     
    emmett kelly likes this.
  14. emmett kelly

    emmett kelly Well-Known Member

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    pls close at 5.55. 7:31 pacific. thanks
     

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