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Stockaholics January 2019 Stock Picking Contest & SPX Sentiment Poll

Cy's official Stockaholics thread archives group.

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How do you see the SPX closing for the month of January 2019?

Poll closed Jan 2, 2019.
  1. Up.

    44.4%
  2. Flat. (+/-1.00% or less)

    11.1%
  3. Down.

    44.4%
  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

    Joined:
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    Stockaholics January 2019 Stock Picking Contest
    (Read this first post for the January 2019 Stock Picking Contest.)


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    Congrats to @Strat Becker the December 2018 Contest Winner!

    *Link to the December 2018 Stock Picking Contest Thread*

    On to the next! The January 2019 Stock Picking Contest starts at the opening bell on Wednesday, January 2nd, 2019.

    If you want to be eligible to participate in this month's contest here is what you need to do (REQUIRED!):
    • 1.) Post 2 tickers (ex. AAPL = Apple) but YOU MUST pick 2 not just 1 or else I will not add you to our list of contestants!
    • 2.) Choose either Long or Short for each ticker (Obviously LONG = if you think it will go up ... or SHORT = if you think it will go down this month)
    • 3.) Both of your picks MUST each be at least $2 at the bare minimum! If you pick something that is under $2 then your pick will not count, and you will not be entered into this month's contest!
    Contest Rules (PLEASE READ THESE AND FOLLOW THEM!):
    • 1.) No OTC or IPOs.
    • 2.) No Futures, Forex, Indexes stuff like that... Equities ONLY that trade on the U.S. Stock Exchange!
    • 3.) If you don't post both the ticker AND the direction (LONG/SHORT) you won't be added to the list of contestants for this month's stock picking contest!
    • 4.) You cannot duplicate someone's exact play! For example- If someone picks AAPL - Long and BAC - Long first then you may only pick AAPL - Short and BAC - Long or AAPL - Long and BAC - Short <-- you may only duplicate 1 pick but not BOTH! This is a first come, first serve basis here!
    • 5.) Picks absolutely MUST be posted in here before the 9:30AM eastern time cash market open on the first trading day of the month!
    • 6.) You are NOT allowed to pick any leveraged ETFs/ETNs (2x/3x). If you choose one, it will not count. If incorrect picks go un-noticed, you risk your position being forfeited!
    • 7.) RATIONALE - You may post up a rationale (either technical or fundamental) for both of your picks but they are not required. This is optional for everyone. Members who do post up a rationale for their picks will receive an additional 2 points in the members leaderboard.
    • 8.) Please DO NOT EDIT your original post with your picks! If you absolutely must choose another pick, please use a separate post and state that you are changing your original pick to something else!
    • 9.) You may choose to close out one or both of your picks at any time during the trading month. PLEASE POST YOUR OWN CLOSING PRICE(S)! We will be using the intraday 1 minute closing price using the time stamp of your post on Stockaholics for when you closed out your pick. You will need to state which pick(s) you are closing out as well as the price & the time of when you closed out. I will be confirming that your closing price is correct by looking at the 1 min. intraday chart. If it is not correct, I will then post up your correct price and input that into the live spreadsheet. If you choose to close out after the trading day is finished (after the closing bell), you will then get the next day's opening price.
    If you have any questions, feel free to ask, and if anyone sees someone else messing up, please correct them. Also, please look at your positions after I post the spreadsheets. I try to catch mistakes, in and out of my control, but need your help in making sure the information is accurate.

    Remember...the contest starts at the opening bell on Wednesday, January 2nd!

    GLTA.

    Click the button below to view the January 2019 contest spreadsheet-
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    EMBEDDED SHEET:



    Click the button below to submit your monthly picks via the Google Form-
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    EMBEDDED FORM:



    Click on the button below to view the Stockaholics 2019 monthly contest winners-
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    Click on the button below to view the Stockaholics 2019 monthly contest winners spreadsheet-
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    Click the button below to view the 2019 Stockaholics stock picking contest members leaderboard-
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    Click the button below to view the 2019 monthly stock picking contest members records-
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    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    This is a poll for the month of January 2019
    Expires Wednesday at the opening bell on: 1/2/19
    Don't forget to click the "Vote Now" button! ;)

    How does Stockaholics see the outcome of the S&P for the month of January?

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    Starting Point:
    [​IMG]

    DYNAMIC SPX MONTHLY CHART:

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    **Starting point to be edited into this post after month close**
    *Link to Previous Monthly Poll Thread*
    Don't forget to post your vote to be listed in the 2019

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    Click the button below to view the 2019 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
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    Results from December 2018
    2,760.17
    2,506.85 (-9.18%)


    Stockaholics Voted
    [​IMG]


    No monthly poll tally for Stockaholics in December. Credit goes to the DOWN votes! :cool:


    Post your Vote!
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    Notes/Guidelines:
    1) For purpose of the spreadsheet record flat is currently based on +/-1.00% or less. Of course, everyone can define flat any way they choose.
    2) Up, Flat, or Down must be clearly specified in a post in order to be listed in the spreadsheet, otherwise it'll be assumed that post was not intended to be a part of the official record.
    3) It's OK to post your vote if you missed the deadline after the poll has expired and if the market has not really moved that much or especially if your late vote is opposite or flat of the S&P futures ATM. It will be up to my discretion and obviously, the more active voters will be given more leeway.
    4) Starting and ending points based on official month ending close of the market.
    5) The primary goal of this game is to track our performance. You can consider it a contest or as a personal critiquing tool to better ones performance
    .
     
    #1 bigbear0083, Nov 18, 2018
    Last edited: Dec 31, 2018
  2. Steven_Burt

    Steven_Burt Well-Known Member

    Joined:
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    Messages:
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    581
    Market - UP (oversold)
    OIL -UP - (oversold)
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  3. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2016
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    Market DOWN

    CRI - short
    MELI - short
     
  4. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

    Joined:
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    Congratulations to the December 2018 contest winner and 1st time winner of the monthly contest (1st time winner in Q4!) @Strat Becker! :cool:

    Some worthy mentions also go out to our 2nd place winner @stock1234 and 3rd place winner @rStock!

    Here was the final contest results for the month of December-
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    Here are this year's monthly contest winners & their winning picks in 2018-
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    Click on the button below to view the complete Stockaholics monthly contest winners & their winning picks in 2018-
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    And here is final the monthly stock picking contest members leaderboard as of month ending December-
    Congratulations to @rStock our Q4 monthly contest members leaderboard winner with 31 points this quarter! :cool:
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    @rStock is also our 1st time winner of the monthly stock pick contest members leaderboard this year!-
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    Here are @rStock's monthly stock picks in 2018!-
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    And finally here are just some members stats from the monthly stock picking contest thus far in 2018-
    N/A.

    Click the button below to view the 2018 Stockaholics stock picking contest members leaderboard-
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    And finally, we have the complete monthly stock picking contest members history which includes every pick from our active participants this year.

    Click the button below to view the 2018 monthly stock picking contest members records-
    [​IMG]
     
  5. snuffalchewy

    snuffalchewy Active Member

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2018
    Messages:
    153
    Likes Received:
    75
  6. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Mar 29, 2016
    Messages:
    15,592
    Likes Received:
    4,955
    Post #1 Updated!
    Scores Graded!


    Click the button below to view the full 2018 Stockaholics Poll Member Voting Record-
    [​IMG]

    *Link to Previous Monthly Poll Thread*

    No monthly poll tally for Stockaholics in December. Credit goes to the DOWN votes! :cool:

    Special shout outs go out to our 2 posted DOWN voters for the month of December!-

    @Steven_Burt
    @rStock

    Special commendation also goes out to our monthly poll consecutive leader to finish off the year with 3 in a row!-

    @Steven_Burt

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    @bigbear0083 & @anotherdevilsadvocate are our monthly poll percentage winners for Q4 with a 66.67% voting accuracy this quarter! :cool:

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    And here is a look at the monthly poll members voting record leaderboard as of month ending December-
    Congratulations to @bigbear0083 is our monthly poll members leaderboard winner with 13 points this quarter! :cool:
    [​IMG]

    @bigbear0083 is our 1st time winner of the monthly poll members voting record leaderboard this year!-
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    And finally here are just some members stats from the monthly voting records in 2018-
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    Click the button below to view the complete 2018 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Whelp, that is a wrap from me this month ... GLTA in the new month ahead! and I hope you all have an awesome trading month of July! Cheers y'alls! :cool:

    And please do not forget to click in your vote on the poll & post your vote before the opening bell on Wednesday!!!
     
  7. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

    Joined:
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    market - up

    twtr - long
    cop - long
     
  8. Three Eyes

    Three Eyes 2018 Stockaholics Contest Winner

    Joined:
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    Messages:
    565
    Likes Received:
    499
    Market - DOWN [Gonna be a tough month with new House of Reps taking on an unpredictable W.H. Markets not gonna like.]
     
  9. rStock

    rStock Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 27, 2016
    Messages:
    568
    Likes Received:
    291
    Market DOWN
     
  10. Lico Inv

    Lico Inv Active Member

    Joined:
    Sep 10, 2018
    Messages:
    197
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    113
    Market - Up (3.4% Jan.)
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  11. Onepoint272

    Onepoint272 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
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    Market UP

    The biggest eleven components of the S&P 500 in approximate order are GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT, FB, AAPL, BRK.B, JPM, BAC, WFC, XOM, CVX. The biggest of these and the oils have already been killed and will be consolidating for awhile. BRK.B and WFC are still in a range after all the malaise of the markets. The other banks, JPM and BAC, are concerning but with a little more downside will approach their long term up trend lines.

    My picks:
    WDAY - Long - appears to have been accumulated since March and is now in the Last Point of Support (LPS) position.
    SBUX - Long - appears to have been accumulated since October 2015 and is now in the Last Point of Support (LPS) position.
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  12. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2016
    Messages:
    3,656
    Likes Received:
    2,432
    Market Down
     
  13. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

    Joined:
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    15,592
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    January 2019 monthly poll update as of week ending 1.4.19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (1/4/19 CLOSE): 2,531.94 (+1.00%)


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    January 2019 contest update as of week ending 1.4.19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @bigbear0083! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  14. rStock

    rStock Well-Known Member

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    CY, pls close my FATE at market closing time today. Thanks
     
  15. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    FATE 1/8/2019 Closing Price: 17.17
     
  16. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    January 2019 monthly poll update as of week ending 1.11.19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (1/11/19 CLOSE): 2,596.26 (+3.57%)


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    January 2019 contest update as of week ending 1.11.19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @rStock! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  17. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    January 2019 monthly poll update as of week ending 1.18.19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (1/18/19 CLOSE): 2,670.71 (+6.54%)


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    January 2019 contest update as of week ending 1.18.19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @rStock! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  18. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    January 2019 monthly poll update as of week ending 1.25.19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (1/25/19 CLOSE): 2,664.76 (+6.30%)


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    January 2019 contest update as of week ending 1.25.19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @rStock! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  19. Steven_Burt

    Steven_Burt Well-Known Member

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    Please Close VLO 87.03 @ 12:12 ET and MPC @ 66.84 - Thanks!
     
  20. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    wow we haven't had a close finish on the monthly in a while! :eek:

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