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Stockaholics Q1 2019 Quarterly Stock Picking Contest & SPX Sentiment Poll

Cy's official Stockaholics thread archives group.

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How do you see Q1 2019 closing?

Poll closed Jan 2, 2019.
  1. Up.

    37.5%
  2. Flat. (+/-1.00% or less)

    12.5%
  3. Down.

    50.0%
  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Stockaholics Q1 2019 Quarterly Stock Picking Contest
    (Read this first post for the Q1 2019 Quarterly Stock Picking Contest.)


    [​IMG]

    Congrats to @rStock the Q4 2018 Contest Winner!

    *Link to the Q4 2018 Stock Picking Contest Thread*

    On to the next! The Q1 2019 Quarterly Stock Picking Contest starts at the opening bell on Wednesday, January 2nd, 2018.

    If you want to be eligible to participate in this quarter's contest here is what you need to do (REQUIRED!):
    • 1.) Post 2 tickers (ex. AAPL = Apple) but YOU MUST pick 2 not just 1 or else I will not add you to our list of contestants!
    • 2.) Choose either Long or Short for each ticker (Obviously LONG = if you think it will go up ... or SHORT = if you think it will go down this quarter)
    • 3.) Both of your picks MUST each be at least $2 at the bare minimum! If you pick something that is under $2 then your pick will not count, and you will not be entered into this quarter's contest!
    Contest Rules (PLEASE READ THESE AND FOLLOW THEM!):
    • 1.) No OTC or IPOs.
    • 2.) No Futures, Forex, Indexes stuff like that... Equities ONLY that trade on the U.S. Stock Exchange!
    • 3.) If you don't post both the ticker AND the direction (LONG/SHORT) you won't be added to the list of contestants for this quarter's stock picking contest!
    • 4.) You cannot duplicate someone's exact play! For example- If someone picks AAPL - Long and BAC - Long first then you may only pick AAPL - Short and BAC - Long or AAPL - Long and BAC - Short <-- you may only duplicate 1 pick but not BOTH! This is a first come, first serve basis here!
    • 5.) Picks absolutely MUST be posted in here before the 9:30AM eastern time cash market open on the first trading day of the quarter!
    • 6.) You are NOT allowed to pick any leveraged ETFs/ETNs (2x/3x). If you choose one, it will not count. If incorrect picks go un-noticed, you risk your position being forfeited!
    • 7.) RATIONALE - You may post up a rationale (either technical or fundamental) for both of your picks but they are not required. This is optional for everyone. Members who do post up a rationale for their picks will receive an additional 2 points in the members leaderboard.
    • 8.) Please DO NOT EDIT your original post with your picks! If you absolutely must choose another pick, please use a separate post and state that you are changing your original pick to something else!
    • 9.) You may choose to close out one or both of your picks at any time during the trading quarter. PLEASE POST YOUR OWN CLOSING PRICE(S)! We will be using the intraday 1 minute closing price using the time stamp of your post on Stockaholics for when you closed out your pick. You will need to state which pick(s) you are closing out as well as the price & the time of when you closed out. I will be confirming that your closing price is correct by looking at the 1 min. intraday chart. If it is not correct, I will then post up your correct price and input that into the live spreadsheet. If you choose to close out after the trading day is finished (after the closing bell), you will then get the next day's opening price.
    If you have any questions, feel free to ask, and if anyone sees someone else messing up, please correct them. Also, please look at your positions after I post the spreadsheets. I try to catch mistakes, in and out of my control, but need your help in making sure the information is accurate.

    Remember...the contest starts at the opening bell on Wednesday, January 2nd!

    GLTA.

    Click the button below to view the Q1 2019 contest spreadsheet-
    [​IMG]

    EMBEDDED SHEET:



    Click the button below to submit your quarterly picks via the Google Form-
    [​IMG]

    EMBEDDED FORM:



    Click on the button below to view the Stockaholics 2019 Quarterly contest winners-
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    Click on the button below to view the Stockaholics 2019 Quarterly contest winners spreadsheet-
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    Click the button below to view the 2019 Stockaholics stock picking challenge leaderboard-
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    Click the button below to view the 2019 quarterly stock picking contest members records-
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    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Quarterly Stockaholics SPX Sentiment Poll

    How will the S&P close out Q1 - 2019 (January - March)?

    This is a poll for Q1 - 2019 (January - March)
    Expires Wednesday at the opening bell on: 1/2/19
    Don't forget to click the "Vote Now" button! ;)

    [​IMG]

    Starting Point:
    [​IMG]

    **Starting point to be edited into this post after quarter close**
    *Link to Previous Quarterly Poll Thread*
    Don't forget to post your vote to be listed in the 2019

    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2019 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
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    Results from Q4 - 2018 (October - December)
    2,913.98
    2,506.85 (-13.97%)


    Stockaholics Voted
    [​IMG]


    No quarterly poll tally for Stockaholics in Q4. Credit goes to the DOWN votes! :cool:


    Post your Vote!
    [​IMG]


    Notes/Guidelines:
    1) For purpose of the spreadsheet record flat is currently based on +/-1.00% or less. Of course, everyone can define flat any way they choose.
    2) Up, Flat, or Down must be clearly specified in a post in order to be listed in the spreadsheet, otherwise it'll be assumed that post was not intended to be a part of the official record.
    3) It's OK to post your vote if you missed the deadline after the poll has expired and if the market has not really moved that much or especially if your late vote is opposite or flat of the S&P futures ATM. It will be up to my discretion and obviously, the more active voters will be given more leeway.
    4) Starting and ending points based on official quarter ending close of the market.
    5) The primary goal of this game is to track our performance. You can consider it a contest or as a personal critiquing tool to better ones performance
    .
     
    #1 bigbear0083, Nov 18, 2018
    Last edited: Dec 31, 2018
  2. Steven_Burt

    Steven_Burt Well-Known Member

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    Market - Flat. Up early and fade to flat
     
  3. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    Market DOWN

    IIVI - short
    CRI - short
     
  4. snuffalchewy

    snuffalchewy Active Member

    Joined:
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    75
  5. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Congratulations to the Q4 contest winner and 1st time winner of the quarterly contest (1st time winner in 2018!) @rStock! :cool:

    Some worthy mentions also go out to our 2nd place winner @stock1234 and 3rd place winner @bigbear0083!

    Here was the final contest results for Q4-
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    Here are this year's quarterly contest winners & their winning picks in 2018-
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    Click on the button below to view the complete Stockaholics monthly contest winners & their winning picks in 2018-
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    And here is the quarterly stock picking contest members leaderboard as of quarter ending Q4-
    Congratulations to @Three Eyes our 2018 quarterly contest members leaderboard winner with 31 points this year! :cool:
    [​IMG]

    Here are @Three Eyes's quarterly stock picks in 2018!-
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    And finally here are just some members stats from the quarterly stock picking contest thus far in 2018-
    N/A.

    Click the button below to view the 2018 Stockaholics stock picking contest members leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    And finally, we have the complete quarterly stock picking contest members history which includes every pick from our active participants this year.

    Click the button below to view the 2018 quarterly stock picking contest members records-
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  6. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Post #1 Updated!
    Scores Graded!


    Click the button below to view the full 2018 Stockaholics Poll Member Voting Record-
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    *Link to Previous Quarterly Poll Thread*

    No quarterly poll tally for Stockaholics in Q4. Credit goes to the DOWN votes! :cool:

    Special shout out goes out to our 0 posted DOWN voters for Q4!-

    (NONE)

    Special commendation also goes out to our quarterly poll consecutive leader!-

    (NONE)

    @anotherdevilsadvocate is our quarterly poll percentage winner in 2018 with a 50.00% voting accuracy! :cool:

    [​IMG]

    Here is a look at the quarterly poll members voting record leaderboard as of quarter ending Q4-
    Congratulations to @anotherdevilsadvocate is our quarterly poll members leaderboard winner with 14 points this quarter! :cool:
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the complete 2018 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Whelp, that is a wrap from me this quarter... GLTA in the new quarter ahead! and I hope you all have an awesome trading quarter of Q3! Cheers y'alls! :cool:

    And please do not forget to click in your vote on the poll & post your vote before the opening bell on Wednesday!!!
     
  7. fireopal

    fireopal Well-Known Member

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    little confusing in here with that "you have to sign in to continue" thing on the posts that had me looking around b/c was already signed in lol. am assuming this thread is for 2019 quarter so am gonna say

    Market - up
    ROKU - Long
    FB - Long
     
  8. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    market - up

    twtr - long
    cop - long
     
  9. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    sorry! a little late to reply back here.

    since you were away when we made this change, i'll just post this here too, but we're now using google forms to submit picks for the competitions this year.

    what the form does is simply enter members picks into my google spreadsheet automatically. i need to do this way because doing it the old way was just way too time consuming for me.

    we've tested it out for the past few weeks and everything seems to work nicely, so we're gonna be going live with it from here on out.

    honestly, i'm not even sure how i've managed to run these competitions here w/o the google forms.

    and it wouldn't have been possible if @Three Eyes never mentioned it to me a few months back, so really all credit to him for the idea here! :D
     
  10. Three Eyes

    Three Eyes 2018 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Market - DOWN [Just don't see us entering bear territory like we did in December and then popping right back out of it. Bear markets don't truly suck until you think they can't get any worse and you start having existential life-altering thoughts o_O, and we're not there yet IMO.]
     
    Lico Inv likes this.
  11. rStock

    rStock Well-Known Member

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    Market DOWN
     
  12. Lico Inv

    Lico Inv Active Member

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    Market - Up (I see the High volatility continuing into 2019).
     
  13. Onepoint272

    Onepoint272 Well-Known Member

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    Market UP

    The biggest eleven components of the S&P 500 in approximate order are GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT, FB, AAPL, BRK.B, JPM, BAC, WFC, XOM, CVX. The biggest of these and the oils have already been killed and will be consolidating for awhile. BRK.B and WFC are still in a range after all the malaise of the markets. The other banks, JPM and BAC, are concerning but with a little more downside will approach their long term up trend lines.

    My picks:
    WDAY - Long - appears to have been accumulated since March and is now in the Last Point of Support (LPS) position.
    SBUX - Long - appears to have been accumulated since October 2015 and is now in the Last Point of Support (LPS) position.
     
  14. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Market Down
     
  15. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    FWIW, I'll be posting updates to this thread at the end of every month instead of every week. However, since we just kicked off our first week of the quarter this week I'll just go ahead and throw up the quick end of week update from this week.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Q1 quarterly SPX update as of week ending 1/4/19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (1/4/19 CLOSE): 2,531.94 (+1.00%)


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    Q1 quarterly contest update as of week ending 1/4/19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @snuffalchewy! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  16. rStock

    rStock Well-Known Member

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    CY, pls close my FATE at market closing time today. Thanks
     
  17. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    FATE 1/8/2019 Closing Price: 17.17
     
  18. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Q1 quarterly SPX update as of week ending 1/11/19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (1/11/19 CLOSE): 2,596.26 (+3.57%)


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    Q1 quarterly contest update as of week ending 1/11/19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @snuffalchewy! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  19. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Q1 quarterly SPX update as of week ending 1/18/19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (1/18/19 CLOSE): 2,670.71 (+6.54%)


    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Q1 quarterly contest update as of week ending 1/18/19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @snuffalchewy! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  20. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Q1 quarterly SPX update as of week ending 1/25/19-

    START (12/31/18 CLOSE): 2,506.85
    CURRENT (1/25/19 CLOSE): 2,664.76 (+6.30%)


    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Q1 quarterly contest update as of week ending 1/25/19-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @snuffalchewy! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     

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