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Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest & SPX Sentiment Poll (1/21-1/25)

Cy's official Stockaholics thread archives group.

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How do you see the SPX closing for the week of (1/21-1/25)?

Poll closed Jan 22, 2019.
  1. Up.

    44.4%
  2. Flat. (+/-0.50% or less)

    11.1%
  3. Down.

    44.4%
  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest for the Week of (1/21-1/25)
    (Read this first post for the Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest)


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    Congrats to @Ken34 the Stockaholics Weekly Contest Winner for the Week of (1/14-1/18)!

    *Link to Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest Thread for the Week of (1/14-1/18)*

    On to the next! The Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest for the Week of (1/21-1/25) starts at the opening bell on Tuesday, January 22nd, 2019.

    If you want to be eligible to participate in this week's contest here is what you need to do (REQUIRED!):

    • 1.) Post 2 tickers (ex. AAPL = Apple) but YOU MUST pick 2 not just 1 or else I will not add you to our list of contestants!
    • 2.) Choose either Long or Short for each ticker (Obviously LONG = if you think it will go up ... or SHORT = if you think it will go down this week)
    • 3.) Both of your picks MUST each be at least $2 from Friday's closing price at the bare minimum! If you pick something that is under $2 then your pick will not count, and you will not be entered into this week's contest!
    Contest Rules (PLEASE READ THESE AND FOLLOW THEM!):
    • 1.) No OTC or IPOs.
    • 2.) No Futures, Forex, Indexes stuff like that... Equities ONLY that trade on the U.S. Stock Exchange!
    • 3.) If you don't post both the ticker AND the direction (LONG/SHORT) you won't be added to the list of contestants for this week's stock picking contest!
    • 4.) You cannot duplicate someone's exact play! For example- If someone picks AAPL - Long and BAC - Long first then you may only pick AAPL - Short and BAC - Long or AAPL - Long and BAC - Short <-- you may only duplicate 1 pick but not BOTH! This is a first come, first serve basis here!
    • 5.) Picks absolutely MUST be posted in here before the 9:30AM eastern time cash market open on the first trading day of the week!
    • 6.) You are NOT allowed to pick any leveraged ETFs/ETNs (2x/3x). If you choose one, it will not count. If incorrect picks go un-noticed, you risk your position being forfeited!
    • 7.) RATIONALE - You may post up a rationale (either technical or fundamental) for both of your picks but they are not required. This is optional for everyone. Members who do post up a rationale for their picks will receive an additional 2 points in the members leaderboard.
    • 8.) Please DO NOT EDIT your original post with your picks! If you absolutely must choose another pick, please use a separate post and state that you are changing your original pick to something else!
    • 9.) You may choose to close out one or both of your picks at any time during the trading week. PLEASE POST YOUR OWN CLOSING PRICE(S)! We will be using the intraday 1 minute closing price using the time stamp of your post on Stockaholics for when you closed out your pick. You will need to state which pick(s) you are closing out as well as the price & the time of when you closed out. I will be confirming that your closing price is correct by looking at the 1 min. intraday chart. If it is not correct, I will then post up your correct price and input that into the live spreadsheet. If you choose to close out after the trading day is finished (after the closing bell), you will then get the next day's opening price.
    If you have any questions, feel free to ask, and if anyone sees someone else messing up, please correct them. Also, please look at your positions after I post the spreadsheets. I try to catch mistakes, in and out of my control, but need your help in making sure the information is accurate.

    Remember...the contest starts at the opening bell on Tuesday, January 22nd!

    GLTA.

    Click the button below to view this week's contest spreadsheet-
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    EMBEDDED SHEET:



    Click the button below to submit your weekly picks via the Google Form-
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    ***IMPORTANT NOTICE: MARKET DIRECTION VOTES ARE REQUIRED TO BE "POSTED" ON THIS THREAD IN ORDER TO BE ADDED TO THE MEMBERS VOTING RECORD SPREADSHEET!***

    EMBEDDED FORM:



    Click the button below to view the Stockaholics 2019 weekly contest winners-
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    Click the button below to view the Stockaholics 2019 weekly contest winners spreadsheet-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2019 Stockaholics stock picking contest members leaderboard-
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    Click the button below to view the 2019 weekly stock picking contest members records-
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    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    This is a poll for the week of 1/21-1/25, 2019
    Expires Tuesday at the opening bell on: 1/22/19
    Don't forget to click the "Vote Now" button! ;)

    How does Stockaholics think the S&P500 will close the week?

    [​IMG]

    Starting point:
    [​IMG]

    DYNAMIC SPX WEEKLY CHART:

    [​IMG]

    **Starting point will be edited into this post after Friday close**
    *Link to Previous Weekly Poll Thread*
    Don't forget to post your vote to be listed in the 2019

    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2019 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Results from the last poll (1/14-1/18)
    2,596.26
    2,670.71 (+2.87%)


    Stockaholics Voted
    [​IMG]


    No weekly poll tally for Stockaholics this week. Credit goes to the UP votes! :cool:


    Post your Vote!
    [​IMG]


    Notes/Guidelines:
    1) For purpose of the spreadsheet record flat is currently based on +/-0.50% or less. Of course, everyone can define flat any way they choose.
    2) Up, Flat, or Down must be clearly specified in a post in order to be listed in the spreadsheet, otherwise it'll be assumed that post was not intended to be a part of the official record.
    3) Because of the poll expiration at Sunday midnight GMT time zone, (Sunday 4pm PST / 7pm EST) I manually close the poll around 9pm - midnight in PST, or before I go to bed. You may notice the poll says to expire on Monday, but it does not. It will expire on Sunday the date that is in this post.4 pm PST / 7pm EST is just a bit too early and I want to give as much possible time for everyone to get a chance to vote.
    4) You may notice that some members have monthly and quarterly statistics in the spreadsheet. I add these based on at the start of the month or quarter taking into account past consistent voter-ship.
    5) It's OK to post your vote if you missed the deadline after the poll has expired and if the market has not really moved that much or especially if your late vote is opposite or flat of the S&P futures ATM. It will be up to my discretion and obviously, the more active voters will be given more leeway.
    6) Starting and ending points based on official close of the market Friday.
    7) The primary goal of this game is to track our performance. You can consider it a contest or as a personal critiquing tool to better ones performance
    .
     
    #1 bigbear0083, Jan 2, 2019
    Last edited: Jan 19, 2019
  2. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Congratulations to this week's contest winner and 1st time winner of the weekly stock contest in 2019 (1st time winner in Q1!) -- @Ken34! :cool:

    Some worthy mentions also go out to our 2nd place winner -- @Steven_Burt and 3rd place winner -- @bigbear0083!

    Here was this week's final contest results:
    [​IMG]

    Here are this year's weekly contest winners & their winning picks in Q1 thus far-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the complete weekly contest winners & their winning picks in 2019 thus far-
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    And here is the weekly contest members leaderboard as of week ending 1.18.19-
    @Ken34 is still our current leader this quarter with 25 points! :cool:
    [​IMG]

    And finally here are just some members stats from the weekly stock picking contest thus far in 2019-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2019 Stockaholics stock picking challenge leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    And finally, we have the complete weekly stock picking challenge members history which includes every pick from our active participants this year.

    Click the button below to view the 2019 weekly stock picking contest members records-
    [​IMG]
     
    Ken34 likes this.
  3. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Post #1 Updated!
    Scores Graded!


    Click the button below to view the full 2019 Stockaholics Poll Member Voting Record-
    [​IMG]

    *Link to Previous Weekly Poll Thread*

    No weekly poll tally for Stockaholics this week. Credit goes to the UP votes! :cool:

    Congratulations to the following members who voted UP in the poll!

    @Lico Inv
    @Ken34
    @emmett kelly

    Weekly market direction voting poll stats:
    • Longest active weekly poll winning streak belongs to @Lico Inv and @emmett kelly with 3 straight correct weekly market calls.
    • Best overall weekly poll percentage leader belongs to @Lico Inv and @emmett kelly at 100.00% weekly poll voting accuracy in 2019.
    • Most consecutive correct weekly market calls in 2019 belongs to @Lico Inv and @emmett kelly with 3 correct calls (still active).
    • Most consecutive correct weekly market calls ever belongs to @stock1234 with 10 correct picks in 2017.
    Here is a look at the weekly poll members voting record leaderboard as of week ending 1.18.19-
    @Lico Inv is our current leaders this quarter with 17 points! :cool:
    [​IMG]

    And finally here are just some members stats from the weekly voting records thus far in 2019-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the complete 2019 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Whelp, that is a wrap from me this week. I hope you all have an awesome weekend ahead! Have fun and be safe! Cheers y'alls! :cool:

    Please Post your Vote on this thread and make sure to also click in your Vote on the poll at the top by 9:30AM eastern time on Tuesday!
     
  4. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Some notable mentions go out to @Lico Inv and @emmett kelly still perfect on the year for weekly market direction calls! :cool:

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    [​IMG]
     
  5. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    market - down
     
  6. Ken34

    Ken34 2017 Stock Picking Contest Winner

    Joined:
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    voting market up
     
  7. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Just want to quickly point the following members...

    @Steven_Burt
    @Three Eyes
    @snuffalchewy
    @anotherdevilsadvocate
    @Lico Inv
    @stock1234
    @rStock
    @Stoch

    ...to this thread link here-

    |
    |
    v

    https://www.stockaholics.net/thread...picking-team-challenge.6077/page-3#post-93637 <-- click there!

    I am going to be test running a best of 5 weekly stock picking team challenge series starting from this upcoming week ahead.

    The following members whom I have tagged above are in this challenge.

    Everything you guys need to know about this team challenge has been posted in my thread link above.

    The reason I am posting this in here is to get everyone's attention just in case you guys miss seeing the thread.

    Hoping you guys who are mentioned above will all be able to participate on this test run! :)
     
  8. Steven_Burt

    Steven_Burt Well-Known Member

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    I think we tag 2700 this week and get a strong move down off of it.

    Market - DOWN
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  9. Lico Inv

    Lico Inv Active Member

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    Market - Flat (the up days and down days will average out to a nice Beta return).
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  10. snuffalchewy

    snuffalchewy Active Member

    Joined:
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    172
    Likes Received:
    85
  11. Stoch

    Stoch Active Member

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    Market down - rally over extended
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  12. emmett kelly

    emmett kelly Well-Known Member

    Joined:
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    312
  13. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Just a quick heads up here @Three Eyes maybe forgot to "post" your weekly market direction vote on the thread again haha. ;)

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  14. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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  15. snuffalchewy

    snuffalchewy Active Member

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    @bigbear0083 made a typo - PGE (meant to be PCG) obviously is <$2 so you can remove me from this week's contest. Sorry!
     
  16. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Are you not able to edit your pick via the form link? Should be able to, no?
     
  17. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    @snuffalchewy

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  18. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    I'm guessing you never got a chance to see my post last night, so instead of just removing you entirely off of this week's picking comp, I'll manually edit your pick to the correct ticker in the spreadsheet no problem. ;)
     
  19. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    @rStock - looks like you forgot to post your weekly market direction vote on this thread as well. Just letting you know. ;)
     
  20. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Midweek SPX update-

    START (1/18/19 CLOSE): 2,670.71
    CURRENT (1/23/19 CLOSE): 2,638.70 (-1.20%)


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    Midweek weekly contest update:

    Shout out to our current leader -- @Ken34! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     

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