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Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest & SPX Sentiment Poll (12/11-12/15)

Cy's official Stockaholics thread archives group.

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How do you see the SPX closing for the week of (12/11-12/15)?

Poll closed Dec 11, 2017.
  1. Up.

    60.0%
  2. Flat. (+/-0.50% or less)

    40.0%
  3. Down.

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest for the Week of (12/11-12/15)
    (Read this first post for the Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest)


    [​IMG]

    Congrats to @BermudianOption the Stockaholics Weekly Contest Winner for the Week of (12/4-12/8)!

    *Link to Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest Thread for the Week of (12/4-12/8)*

    On to the next! The Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest for the Week of (12/11-12/15) starts at the opening bell on Monday, December 11th, 2017.

    Important - Please read carefully: IF ONE OR MORE OF YOUR PICKS ARE OUT OF COMPLIANCE AFTER THE START OF THE CONTEST, YOUR POSITION WILL BE FORFEITED.

    *When you make your picks, please make sure there are empty spaces around them, so they come up in the thread search.

    Correct: AAPL - Long (Blank space after AAPL)
    Incorrect: AAPL- Long (No space after AAPL)
    • Pick TWO stocks, either long, short, that trade on the U.S. Stock Exchange.
    • You cannot duplicate someone's exact play! For example- If someone picks AAPL - Long and BAC - Long first then you can only pick AAPL - Short and BAC - Long or AAPL - Long and BAC - Short <-- you may only duplicate 1 pick but not BOTH! Use the "Search This Thread" link as it only takes a few seconds to see if the ticker has been mentioned.
    • Get your picks in BEFORE the opening bell on Monday, December 11th. I will provide all the opening prices as I have the spreadsheet set to auto look up the opens.
    • The stock/ETF must close at $2 minimum the day before the contest. No Indexes or pinks/OTCBB.
    • You are only allowed 1 leveraged ETF. If you choose two, the second of the two does not count and is still up for grabs. If incorrect picks go un-noticed, you risk your position being forfeited. (These are the 2x/3x ETF's)
    • Once you pick something, that is it, it is yours unless it is not a valid pick. This way someone doesn't pick a stock that others want, then at the last second change it. Please do not edit your posts with your picks. If you pick one at a time, just use two separate posts instead of editing your first.
    • Optional - You may post a rationale (either technical or fundamental) for your picks, but it is not required.
    • You may choose to close out your pick at any time during the trading day. Please post your own closing price(s). We will be using the closing price of the 1 minute intraday chart with the time stamp of your post here on Stockaholics to get your official intraday closing prices!
    If you choose to close out one or both of your picks after the trading day is finished (after the closing bell), you will get the next day's opening price. PLEASE POST YOUR OWN OPENING PRICES!

    Once again, it is your responsibility to check that your pick is not a duplicate. The "Search This Thread" link I mentioned makes this as simple as it can be. If you choose to not check and should you duplicate someone's pick, it will not count.

    If you have any questions, feel free to ask, and if anyone sees someone else messing up, please correct them. Also, please look at your positions after I post the spreadsheets. I try to catch mistakes, in and out of my control, but need your help in making sure the information is accurate.

    Remember...the contest starts at the opening bell on Monday, December 11th!

    GLTA.

    Click the button below to view this week's contest spreadsheet-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the Stockaholics 2017 weekly contest winners-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the Stockaholics 2017 weekly contest winners spreadsheet-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2017 Stockaholics stock picking contest members leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2017 weekly stock picking contest members records-
    [​IMG]

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    This is a poll for the week of 12/11-12/15, 2017
    Expires Monday at the opening bell on: 12/11/17
    Don't forget to click the "Vote Now" button! ;)

    How does Stockaholics think the S&P500 will close the week?

    [​IMG]

    Starting point:
    [​IMG]

    **Starting point will be edited into this post after Friday close**
    *Link to Previous Weekly Poll Thread*
    Don't forget to post your vote to be listed in the 2017

    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2017 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Results from the last poll (12/4-12/8)
    2,642.22
    2,651.50 +0.35%


    Stockaholics Voted
    [​IMG]


    Stockaholics wins the weekly poll tally for this week! Credit goes to the FLAT/UP votes! :cool:


    Post your Vote!
    [​IMG]

    Notes/Guidelines:
    1) For purpose of the spreadsheet record flat is currently based on +/-0.50% or less. Of course, everyone can define flat any way they choose.
    2) Up, Flat, or Down must be clearly specified in a post in order to be listed in the spreadsheet, otherwise it'll be assumed that post was not intended to be a part of the official record.
    3) Because of the poll expiration at Sunday midnight GMT time zone, (Sunday 4pm PST / 7pm EST) I manually close the poll around 9pm - midnight in PST, or before I go to bed. You may notice the poll says to expire on Monday, but it does not. It will expire on Sunday the date that is in this post.4 pm PST / 7pm EST is just a bit too early and I want to give as much possible time for everyone to get a chance to vote.
    4) You may notice that some members have monthly and quarterly statistics in the spreadsheet. I add these based on at the start of the month or quarter taking into account past consistent voter-ship.
    5) It's OK to post your vote if you missed the deadline after the poll has expired and if the market has not really moved that much or especially if your late vote is opposite or flat of the S&P futures ATM. It will be up to my discretion and obviously, the more active voters will be given more leeway.
    6) Starting and ending points based on official close of the market Friday.
    7) The primary goal of this game is to track our performance. You can consider it a contest or as a personal critiquing tool to better ones performance
    .
     
    #1 bigbear0083, Dec 6, 2017
    Last edited: Dec 10, 2017
  2. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Congratulations to this week's contest winner and 1st time winner of the weekly stock contest in 2017 (1st time winner in Q4!) -- @BermudianOption! :cool:

    Some worthy mentions also go out to our 2nd place winner -- @anotherdevilsadvocate and 3rd place winner -- @stock1234!

    Here was this week's final contest results:
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the complete weekly contest winners & their winning picks in 2017 thus far-
    [​IMG]

    And here is the weekly contest members leaderboard as of week ending 12.8.17-
    @anotherdevilsadvocate is our current leader with 68 points this quarter! :cool:
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2017 Stockaholics stock picking challenge leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    And finally, we have the complete weekly stock picking challenge members history which includes every pick from our active participants this year.

    Click the button below to view the 2017 weekly stock picking contest members records-
    [​IMG]
     
    BermudianOption likes this.
  3. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Post #1 Updated!
    Scores Graded!


    Click the button below to view the full 2017 Stockaholics Poll Member Voting Record-
    [​IMG]

    *Link to Previous Weekly Poll Thread*

    Stockaholics wins the weekly poll tally for this week! Credit goes to the FLAT/UP votes! :cool:

    Special shout outs go out to our 2 posted FLAT voters for this week!-

    @anotherdevilsadvocate
    @bigbear0083

    Credit also goes out to our 4 posted UP voters for this week!-

    @Ken34
    @Jrich
    @stock1234
    @Andre

    A very special commendation goes out to our current weekly poll consecutive leader with 4 in a row!-

    @Andre

    [​IMG]

    Nice work Andre! :cool:

    And lastly a special commendation goes out to our current overall weekly poll percentage leader for the year with an 56.52% voting accuracy thus far in 2017-

    @stock1234

    Nice work!

    Here is a look at the weekly poll members voting record leaderboard as of week ending 12.8.17-
    @bigbear0083 is still our current leader with 67 points this quarter! :cool:
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the complete 2017 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Whelp, that is a wrap from me this week ... and I hope you all have an awesome weekend ahead! Have fun and be safe! Cheers y'alls! :cool:

    ...and please do not forget to click in your vote on the poll & post your vote before the opening bell on Monday!!!
     
  4. Ken34

    Ken34 2017 Stock Picking Contest Winner

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    RP - long
    adbe - long

    voting market flat.
     
  5. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stock Picking Contest Winner

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    Market Up

    FCX - Long
    AMAT - Short
     
  6. BermudianOption

    BermudianOption Active Member

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    Market up

    Long - STI
    Long - GRPN
     
  7. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    Market UP

    ORCL - long
    ADBE - short
     
  8. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    market flat

    bac - long
    hd - long
     
  9. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Here is this week's contest spreadsheet in case I'm unable to get around to it later tomorrow-
    [​IMG] <-- click there to view!

    NOTE: *Ignore the current "opening prices" as those will automatically correct to tomorrow's opening prices after 9:30am eastern time.*

    Good luck to all of our participants in here for this week! :cool:

    @Ken34
    @stock1234
    @BermudianOption
    @anotherdevilsadvocate
    @bigbear0083

    NOTE: I am just posting up this week's spreadsheet a little earlier than usual in here as I have a pretty busy day ahead of me for tomorrow. I will continue adding members picks up until the 9:30am eastern time opening bell tomorrow morning so don't think you are excluded from this week's contest if I haven't listed your name up right now. I just wanted to get this spreadsheet posted in here and out of the way so I don't have to worry about getting it up at a later time tomorrow. ;)
     
  10. Austin vanderweide

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    Market up
    Amd long
    AMZN long
     
  11. Andre

    Andre Active Member

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    Market Flat

    KTOS - long
    MZOR - long
     
  12. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    JAZZ may have found the bottom on its pullback from $160
    [​IMG]
     
  13. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Midweek SPX update-

    START: 2,651.50
    CURRENT: 2,662.85 (+0.43%)


    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Midweek weekly contest update:

    Shout out to our current leader -- @stock1234!

    [​IMG]
     
  14. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    hey everyone i just wanted to give you all this quick heads up that i have just gone ahead and opened all of the 2018 challenge threads...for those of you that want to get a head start on the new year. you may now post your market votes and stock picks on the 2018 threads.

    here are the threads (these are all sticky threads at the top of this group forum)-
    i'll try to remember to have these links re-posted in here regularly up until year end.

    hoping everyone will be able to get their market votes and stock picks in as we start on a clean slate for 2018! :D
     
  15. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    hey everyone, i didn't feel like starting up a brand new thread for this so i'll just post it up in here.

    so as we're closing in on year end 2017 here, and about to embark on the new year i've been thinking of making some slight rule changes for these stock picking competitions (this goes for all of the formats).

    but, i wanted to get some input from you guys first before i actually enact these for next year.

    so getting right to it here - what do you all think about the idea of abolishing the levered 3xetf picks for the stock picking competitions next year? in addition to not allowing IPOs for picks.

    as you guys may know i used to run this same competition on reddit (r/stockmarket), and did not allow users to pick leveraged etfs or ipos which seem to work pretty well and everyone was cool with it.

    well, i am thinking of doing the same here on stockaholics starting next year.

    if you guys think allowing leveraged etfs and ipos are fine then i'll just stick with the rules we have now and continue on with them into 2018.

    whatever you guys feel is good. doesn't matter for me really. but if i'm going to do this i'd like to have them put into effect by the start of 2018.

    thoughts?

    thx! :)
     
  16. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stock Picking Contest Winner

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    I strongly agree with abolishing the leveraged 3X ETF for the daily contest. I don't mind if we continue to allow leveraged in the other contests but wouldn't vote against to abolish them either. I would say not allowing IPO is a good idea as well :)
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  17. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stock Picking Contest Winner

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    By the way Cy, what is your plan for the daily contest? Are we going to do it everyday (Monday to Friday) or maybe just a couple of contests per week? I am just a little curious :D
     
  18. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    thx for chiming in here @stock1234! much appreciate it :)

    hmm, that is a nice idea there that i hadn't thought of (allowing leveraged etfs on all the other formats for the exception of the daily). that may work!

    only thing is i'm kind of leaning towards a more universal set of rules, so if i were change it up on the daily, i'd like to also do the same on the other formats (weekly, monthly, quarterly, yearly) as well.

    i definitely do want to ban ipo's from entering the competitions on all formats next year. it was weird because there were a few ipo picks from earlier this year that had their opening prices during the middle of the week. i didn't like that at all! everyone's picks should open on the same day (first trading day of the week).

    ^^ great question here and i'm glad you asked. i am actually planning to run the daily challenge (at least initially) every day per week. this includes the daily poll as well as the daily stock pick.

    i will probably give it about a month or so to see how we do on participation. i realize we might not see a lot of participants taking part in the daily at least early on as was the case when we initially started conducting the dailies back in 2015. but, my hope is that it will gradually catch on with the community and people will see it and will eventually bring in new participants like we saw earlier this year. we shall see about that!

    that being said, i do plan on at least running the daily polls every day all year long.

    so, if for example the participation does not improve after say the first month, i would run the daily stock pick say once or twice per week, but would still the run the daily polls each day.

    i'll have a better idea on this after january i think.

    i'm looking forward to getting this going again in 2018! it'll be a new fresh start for everyone! :D
     
  19. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    here is a sample of my revamped first post contest rules for next year. let me know what you guys think.

    *EDIT: i may actually start using this from the week after next just so everyone gets familiar with these new rules for 2018.

    =========================================================================================================
    If you want to be eligible to participate in this week's contest here is what you need to do (REQUIRED!):
    • 1.) Post 2 tickers (ex. AAPL = Apple) but YOU MUST pick 2 not just 1 or else I will not add you to our list of contestants!
    • 2.) Choose either Long or Short for each ticker (Obviously LONG = if you think it will go up ... or SHORT = if you think it will go down this week)
    • 3.) Both of your picks MUST each be at least $2 at the bare minimum! If you pick something that is under $2 then your pick will not count, and you will not be entered into this week's contest!
    Contest Rules (PLEASE READ THESE AND FOLLOW THEM!):
    • 1.) No OTC, ADRs, IPOs, or Foreign companies.
    • 2.) No Options, Futures, Forex, Indexes stuff like that... Equities ONLY that trade on the U.S. Stock Exchange!
    • 3.) If you don't post both the ticker AND the direction (LONG/SHORT) you won't be added to the list of contestants for this week's stock picking contest!
    • 4.) You cannot duplicate someone's exact play! For example- If someone picks AAPL - Long and BAC - Long first then you may only pick AAPL - Short and BAC - Long or AAPL - Long and BAC - Short <-- you may only duplicate 1 pick but not BOTH! This is a first come, first serve basis here!
    • 5.) Picks absolutely MUST be posted in here before the 9:30AM eastern time cash market open on the first trading day of the week!
    • 6.) You are NOT allowed to pick any leveraged ETFs (2x/3x). If you choose one, it will not count. If incorrect picks go un-noticed, you risk your position being forfeited!
    • 7.) RATIONALE - You may post up a rationale (either technical or fundamental) for both of your picks but they are not required. This is optional for everyone.
    • 8.) Please DO NOT EDIT your original post with your picks! If you absolutely must choose another pick, please use a separate post and state that you are changing your original pick to something else!
    • 9.) You may choose to close out one or both of your picks at any time during the trading week. PLEASE POST YOUR OWN CLOSING PRICE(S)! We will be using the intraday 1 minute closing price using the time stamp of your post on Stockaholics for when you closed out your pick. You will need to state which pick(s) you are closing out as well as the price & the time of when you closed out. I will be confirming that your closing price is correct by looking at the 1 min. intraday chart. If it is not correct, I will then post up your correct price and input that into the live spreadsheet. If you choose to close out after the trading day is finished (after the closing bell), you will then get the next day's opening price.
    =========================================================================================================
     
  20. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    Maybe just 1 ticker for the daily? Or 2 but only the best 1 counts?
     

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