I'm curious why people wouldn't believe China's COVID data to be honest. Have you not seen accounts of normal people who have basically said "I live in X city in China. When we have more than one case, we lockdown entirely and it's physically enforced by the cops". Obviously that's overboard and I'm not in support of China's government, but I fully and completely trust their COVID cases reports as they are a police state that can enforce total and complete shutdowns. I'm sure you've all seen pictures from China with everyone wearing basically astronaut suits in airports and hospitals, etc.