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AAPL - Apple Inc

Discussion in 'Stock Message Boards NYSE, NASDAQ, AMEX' started by Administrator, Mar 11, 2016.

  1. OldFart

    OldFart Well-Known Member

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    I just turned off:

    "share analytics data"

    Hopefully that works... :D
     
    T0rm3nted likes this.
  2. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Apple (AAPL) and iPhone Releases
    Mon, Sep 9, 2019

    Apple (AAPL) plans to announce the newest version of their iPhone tomorrow (September 10th). Historically, the time leading up to these announcements has seen the stock down in the week and day before. With AAPL up over 2.25% over the past week and also up 0.6% today, the current situation is most similar (in terms of stock price) to 2016 when the company announced the iPhone 7. The stock is similarly weak on the day of new iPhone announcements. The only substantial gain on an iPhone announcement was in 2007 when the company unveiled the very first generation. Other than that, there were only two other times that AAPL moved higher when a new model of the iPhone was unveiled. Fortunately, over the following day and week, the stock's performance is a little better with gains slightly more than half the time. One month later, though, a period that usually covers the entire span between the announcement and the time the phone typically hits shelves, the probability of a positive response is no better than a coinflip and AAPL is down an average 31 bps.

    [​IMG]

    The release (when the phone is actually available for sale) of previous generations of the iPhone have typically come within the month that it gets announced. Following these releases, AAPL's stock typically makes its way higher over 70% of the time in the week and day before. Immediately after the phone is available for sale, though, AAPL consistently falls. The first day the new version of the iPhone is for sale, AAPL stock averages a decline of a quarter percent while the median is even worse at -0.77%. AAPL also consistently is negative both that day and the following day. Performance one week and one month later is similarly weak, but it has also been positive a little more frequently. Even one month out, though, AAPL was only higher half of the time. Headed into tomorrow, AAPL is coming off of one of the worst post-release stock price responses to a new iPhone. Last October saw the release of the most recent iPhone, the iPhone XR. One month later, the stock was down over 20%. No other release has seen a subsequent decline of nearly that much.

    [​IMG]

    As shown in the chart below, since the company unveiled the very first iPhone back in 2007, iPhone announcements and releases for the most part, do not mark any major tops or bottoms for the stock. Only the aforementioned release of the iPhone XR and the iPhone 5 in 2012 resulted in a short to medium-term peak for the stock. Over the long run, even these poorly received products did little to completely break the stock's long term uptrend that has been in place for many years now. Since the announcement of the first iPhone, AAPL has risen over 1500% which is more than ten times the gain in the S&P 500 over that same span.

    [​IMG]
     
    OldFart likes this.
  3. StockJock-e

    StockJock-e Brew Master
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    Looks like people like the iphone 11 news, new highs coming?
     
  4. OldFart

    OldFart Well-Known Member

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    Looks like they haven't learned their lesson on the iphone 10. No one wants to pay $1000+ for a 4G phone.:rolleyes:

    They also should take Samsungs approach and make the iphone memory expandable with memory cards that can be bought anywhere, instead of paying extra.
     
    #844 OldFart, Sep 11, 2019
    Last edited: Sep 11, 2019
  5. T0rm3nted

    T0rm3nted Moderator
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    I wouldn't say no one. I have an iPhone X :p
     
  6. OldFart

    OldFart Well-Known Member

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    Wife and I also have a 10.
    We waited till the price came down.Bought about 4 months ago. Saved around $300. No sense in paying extra when I can be patient and get a price drop...lol.
    We don't need the latest & greatest.

    Some people use it as a status symbol I guess, and have to have one, so I am sure they'll sell. I don't think it'll be as good as they hope though.
    Not much difference that I can see between 10 & 11:
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/gordon...e-difference-new-iphone-upgrade/#545b42986818
     
    #846 OldFart, Sep 11, 2019
    Last edited: Sep 11, 2019
  7. StockJock-e

    StockJock-e Brew Master
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    Ok guys, how many of you rushed out to get the new iphone 11? ;)
     
  8. OldFart

    OldFart Well-Known Member

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    still paying on this X....lol
     
    TomB16 likes this.
  9. OldFart

    OldFart Well-Known Member

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  10. TomB16

    TomB16 Well-Known Member

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    We had a rough 2018 with pretty deep losses. After considerable analysis and troubleshooting, going through spreadsheets and statements, we noticed our 2018 loss was exactly equal to the cost of the iPhone X we expensed.
     
    T0rm3nted and OldFart like this.
  11. Kat

    Kat Member

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    Apple is approaching its all-time highs. I offer close to 228.00 to sell. We do not know whether Apple will break level 228 or beat it down. Most likely down. Therefore, we need to sell more expensive. But if the weekly candle pops out with his whole body over 228, we will have to fix the losses.
    1.png
     
    OldFart likes this.
  12. StockJock-e

    StockJock-e Brew Master
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    CNBC:
    JP Morgan expects Apple shares to rise over 20% on better than expected iPhone sales

    Well, lets see how that goes. I do know a few people that are upgrading, but not many.
     
    Onepoint272 likes this.
  13. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Apple (AAPL) Back in the "Trillion Dollar" Club, Closing In on Microsoft (MSFT)
    Mon, Oct 7, 2019

    After falling nearly 40% from its high point to its low point in the fourth quarter of 2018, Apple (AAPL) has come roaring back in 2019. Earlier today the stock got within one percent of making a new all-time closing high. You can see the action in the five-year chart for Apple below. (Click here to view an interactive chart of AAPL.)

    [​IMG]

    Apple (AAPL) has been the big winner of the mega caps over the last few months. Below is a chart showing the total return of the five largest S&P 500 stocks since the S&P made its most recent closing low on June 3rd. As shown, Apple has gained 32.5%, which is more than double the next biggest winner -- Alphabet (GOOGL) at +16.5%. Microsoft (MSFT) is up 15.1%, while Facebook (FB) is up 9.6% and Amazon (AMZN) is up just 2.5%.

    [​IMG]

    Apple's (AAPL) recent gains have put the company back in the "trillion dollar market cap" club as well. Right now the club only has two members -- MSFT and AAPL. While Microsoft (MSFT) still holds the title of "World's Largest Company," Apple is now hot on its heels.

    Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL), Facebook (FB) and Berkshire (BRK/B) are the only other companies with market caps above $500 million, and then you have JP Morgan (JPM), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Visa (V), and Walmart (WMT) rounding out the top ten.

    [​IMG]
     
    T0rm3nted and Onepoint272 like this.
  14. Dipesh

    Dipesh New Member

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    I did a Discounted Cash Flow Valuation analysis on Apple. My valuation shows intrinsic value of apple at $174 but the stock is setting records for new high at around $255. Do you think it as investors being bullish or seeing a huge prospect on the future of the company? Is it retail investors being bullish or institutional investors?

    My Valuation Report is Attached!
     

    Attached Files:

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