Futures Trading: Metals

Discussion in 'Futures Trading' started by Stockaholic, Apr 4, 2016.

  1. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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    Futures Trading: Metals

    (/GC, /SI, /HG, /PL, /PA)
     
  2. Venom08

    Venom08 Active Member

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    /SI needs to end the week above $17.75 to retest last year's 18.50 high. I'm currently short as this rally is wearing thin despite the strong action. I think it could go higher tomorrow but overall that 17.75 resistance should stand.
    /GC closing above 1288 tomorrow would give it the push to 1306 but I think the rally is waning there too.
     
  3. LSS Trading

    LSS Trading Member

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  4. Venom08

    Venom08 Active Member

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    /SI is still pretty bearish, gold is more neutral but it should continue selling.
     
  5. T0rm3nted

    T0rm3nted Moderator
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    Gold futures settle at 7-week low
    Gold futures extended their slide on Thursday to a seventh straight session, as overall strength in the U.S. dollar this month and the prospect of higher U.S. interest rates help push prices to their lowest level since early April.

    June gold fell $3.40, or 0.3%, to settle at $1,220.40 an ounce—marking the lowest session finish since April 4. Month to date, prices have lost roughly 5.5%.


    Read full article here: http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/gold-futures-settle-at-7-week-low/ar-BBtvR0S
     
  6. hitman

    hitman Well-Known Member

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    Support was at 1225 which got taken out next one is at 1206 and it came close 1208 then head back up if 1206 get taken out next support is at 1174.
     
  7. T0rm3nted

    T0rm3nted Moderator
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    Funds Step Back From Gold Before Yellen Says Rate Rise Is Coming
    Hedge funds decided to take a breather from gold just before Janet Yellen gave investors more reason to ditch the precious metal.

    Read full article here: http://bloom.bg/1VoGV8y
     
  8. internationalstocks

    internationalstocks Active Member

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    Silver has not been bearish. Climbed from around $14 to over $20. Broke $20 today. It is now up quite a bit this year. Either we are in bull mode or bubble mode. Dropped from $50 before so $25 sounds quite possible in the near term
     
  9. Venom08

    Venom08 Active Member

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    For now, max upside is $23 for /SI, but it failed hard at holding any of its gains from yesterday.
     
  10. IchiFutures

    IchiFutures Active Member

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    I'm not sure I would tag any instrument was a max upside @Venom08 Can you explain further?
     
  11. hitman

    hitman Well-Known Member

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    I agree with venom that we will see Silver move higher there seems to be a short squeeze in play also Shanghai futures for silver shot up quite a bit so we could see a move to $23.00.
     
  12. internationalstocks

    internationalstocks Active Member

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    image.jpeg Up above $20 today :)
     
  13. internationalstocks

    internationalstocks Active Member

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    image.jpeg I wish I had a larger position. I think from now on we stay above $20. Regret not loading up with a larger position under $20
     
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  14. IchiFutures

    IchiFutures Active Member

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    Longer term, I'm looking at 27-30 over the next 3 years. Seeing the short squeeze as well after 1.5 years of consolidation in the 13-18 range.
     
  15. T0rm3nted

    T0rm3nted Moderator
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    Gold really took a beating the last 2 days!
     
  16. aaa

    aaa Member

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    Gold suffers 7 weeks losses on 2017 rate hike views. Today is trading flat (+0.21%)
     
  17. aaa

    aaa Member

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    Gold countered numerous bumps this year, with the year end bringing its beginning of the year rally to an abrupt halt. After soaring 25% to more than two-year highs of $1375/oz in H1 2016, Gold has lost almost 17% in H2,dragged by renewed market optimism following Trump win. A rising USD & Fed's commitment to raise rates definitely does not bode well for gold in the near term.

    But,
    1) The market elation is bound to undergo correction as the focus shifts to Trump policies and their execution. The risk of extreme policies / geopolitical tension is very much alive, which might lend support to gold as a safe haven.
    2) A strong dollar and Fed's hawkishness have been eating into gold prices lately, but going forward, its impact on gold could be muted as the markets would have priced in the Fed's rate hikes. Also, as Trump focuses on promoting domestic manufacturing, a rational USD valuation would be required to promote US exports.
    3) US debt is already at $20tn currently, at 250% of GDP. Trump's fiscal policy cost would lead to a rise of ~$3-6tn in the next 10 years. High fiscal spending combined with rising wages would lead to higher inflation, which would again be supportive of gold.
    4)A possible trade war between the US / China would lead to China building up on its gold reserves, thus supporting gold. Other countries might prefer to reduce their dependence on a dollar payment systems and increase gold reserves in a scenario of increased US sanctions
    All these reasons shout out Gold as a medium to long term buy. || CityFALCON
     
  18. aaa

    aaa Member

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    Copper ends Friday lower (-0.88%), closing on its support.
     
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  19. aaa

    aaa Member

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  20. mickjaggerinthemoney

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    1st stock pick: NYSE:YUM, the stock has returned 16% since it's 2015 low and 93% since it's inception.
    2nd stock pick(s): NYSE: ALB, NYSE:SQM, NYSE:FMC - these stocks have returned 62%, 117% and 67% respectively since 2017. They are the biggest lithium stocks on the NYSE.
    Future picks: Long term buy rating on Titanium which has returned 100% since 2008, Gold has returned 79% since 1980 and I am long term sell on Iron Ore futures as it has devalued 55% of returns since 2011.
     

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