Not sure where to put this so Off Topic it is... I've been pessimistic on supply chain issues. They were supposed to be over by 21H2. It does look like orders for the lower eschelon parts will start being filled in early 2023. Things should be back to normal in about a year. Given the economy depends so much on integrated circuits, I suspect the recession recovery ought to start next summer. I still believe the darkest hour will be February so it looks like perhaps a 6 month bottom of the recession. The above is a wild guess.