Stock Market Today: January 23rd - 27th

Discussion in 'Stock Market Today' started by Stockaholic, Jan 20, 2017.

  1. aaa

    aaa Member

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    The Trump era has finally begun. As his pro-fiscal stimulus rhetoric becomes reality, one thing remains certain - the ever sliding interest rates will reverse course. 10-Year US Yields rose from 1.86% during Election Day to 2.45% in Dec 2016, and are expected to rise to at least 3% in 2017 as investors demand higher inflation risk premium for the rising inflation from increasing fiscal spend. After being subject to 8 years of a low interest rate environment, how should investors adjust their portfolios in this scenario? These pointers might help:

    1) Financials are the clear winners as rising interest rates help them increase their net interest margins (read profitability). Avoid stocks with high debt on the books, as higher interest rate would increase the debt servicing burden for these companies. Also steer clear of dividend stocks as they become less attractive to yield hunters in a rising interest rate environment

    2) Create a bond ladder that matures at regular shorter intervals, as it helps reinvesting cash at higher rates, in keeping with the rising interest rates. Also, while looking for mortgages, going for a fixed interest contract and locking in long term mortgage at current rates vs a floating rate contract is advisable

    3) Its time to go long the dollar - Even though its meteoric rise since elections has softened, the policy divergence between Fed and other central banks is bound to keep the dollar propped up in the near future

    Investors should remember that there are always strategies to gear one's portfolio and maximise returns irrespective of the interest rate dynamics…

    Read more about the dollar and interest rate dynamics here:
    http://hubs.ly/H05-5zN0
     
  2. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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  3. T0rm3nted

    T0rm3nted Moderator
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    World markets and pre-market heading into today's trading session:

    upload_2017-1-23_8-16-13.png

    upload_2017-1-23_8-16-42.png
     
  4. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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    Here are the most notable ERs due out after the market close today from the following companies (w/ charts & estimates):
    ($SIMO $YHOO $ZION $MRCY $RMD $BRO $HMST $WWD $TBK $JJSF $EFSC $ELS $FDEF $LPL $NBTB $PRK $MJCO)
    [​IMG]

    Below are the tickers coming out with earnings after the market close today with the time of release & estimates-

    Monday 1.23.17 After Market Close Earnings Releases:
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG][​IMG]
     
  5. Baggi

    Baggi Active Member

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    Twice this morning I've tried to go long this market on /es futures and both times it jumped up and away from my order entry.
     
  6. Tiptopptrader

    Tiptopptrader Well-Known Member

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    Markets progressively moving into meltdown mode

    upload_2017-1-23_8-51-29.png
     
  7. Baggi

    Baggi Active Member

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    Went long. Got stopped out quickly.

    Went long again. Stop is now at 2248.
     
  8. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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    Earnings really start to pick up in a big way this week...

    Here are the most notable ERs due out before the market open tomorrow morning from the following companies (w/ charts & estimates):
    ($BABA $AKS $LMT $VZ $JNJ $GLW $MMM $KMB $FITB $DHI $SAP $TRV $DD $PII $EXP $ATI $PPBI $WAT $AVX $IIVI)
    [​IMG]

    Below are the tickers coming out with earnings before market open tomorrow morning with the expected time of release & estimates-

    Tuesday 1.24.17 Before Market Open Earnings Releases:
    [​IMG]
     
  9. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Big drop for QCOM :eek:
     
  10. Baggi

    Baggi Active Member

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    Taking a BABA earnings trade today. Not sure if I'll do more than that.
     
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  11. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Another pretty flat day. Let's see if we will finally get some bigger movement with earnings coming up for some big names in the coming days :D For now it seems like the promises of tax cut and deregulation will keep us from having a major selloff in this market. The market is also richly valued and close to priced for perfection, just don't have too much catalyst to push the market to the upside as well:confused:
     
  12. Baggi

    Baggi Active Member

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    I've been a bear for awhile now.

    Suddenly, I find my positions are all long.

    Maybe this is what they're waiting for? Us bears to get too long and then wham!
     
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  13. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Good luck with your positions and hope you will make some money ;) For me I still believe we will see Dow 20K at some point, then the media will tell everyone to buy buy buy, the retail investors get really bullish and we will see the top :p
     
  14. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    [​IMG]
    Emerging markets loving the weaker dollar today
     
  15. Baggi

    Baggi Active Member

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    So today I bought at 2256 on the /ES and sold for a 3 point loss at 2253.

    I bought again at 2252.50. makes my break even at 2255.50.

    No idea where the market is going at this point but will hold my long position for now and see if I can squeeze some more out of it.
     
  16. heyimsnuffles

    heyimsnuffles Active Member

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    is this 2266 Pin ever going to go away???
     
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  17. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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    For anyone who's interested I went ahead and completely re-did my real-time indices data spreadsheet from scratch today.

    Huge props goes out to a certain member on the r/StockMarket subredddit for suggesting this idea to me earlier today.

    Basically, his idea here was for me to rotate my original indices data spreadsheet by putting the indices across the top of the spread whilst placing the values vertically. Evidently this makes things a lot more easier to read when viewing this on mobile devices, and less freeze up's.

    This new sheet may look a lot less flashy and simple compared with my old sheet, but it does actually have all of the stats that the old sheet had going, and even more. For example, I added additional stats for the indices like "since the inauguration", and a few other things. The nice thing about this new sheet is that I can easily add things to it w/o making the sheet look all messy and cluttered up. The other one was not very user friendly at all lol.

    Anyhow, I just thought to share this new spread with y'alls in here, or at least for those who dig these things. Let me know how it's looking for you guys. Admittedly, this did take me a good few hours to get all setup and functioning properly as I literally did this from absolute scratch lol. But, I think it was well worth the time & effort.

    Hoping this new sheet will be a lot easier to access on all of your phone's and tablets. :p

    EDIT: In the future I may fancy this up so it's at least equally as flashy as the other spread I had going. I just need to rest the eyes for a bit here hah.

    Click the button below to view the new real-time indices data spreadsheet-
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
  18. Value543

    Value543 Well-Known Member

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    I'm not one for photoshop or edited -- so forgive my amateur attempt -- but here are 3x charts that are pretty cool. The first is the Daily, where once again we see the 50 MA hold despite the intraday pierce. The second is the 2-Hour, where we see not only the STL hold yet again, but the 200 MA coming in for support. The third & final is the 10-min, where we see the morning sell off to break yesterday's low, but a steady and rather strong rally for the remainder of the day. My point is, the RUT has a lot of support at this level, and it's going to really be telling if the RUT can slug through this & actually break to the downside. A downer tomorrow could do it, which would not only have a close below the 50 DMA, bu also a confirmation of today's move. That, IMHO, would shift me from Neutral to Bear. But right now, I still see the fight as being very much "on" -- but evidence is mounting. Bulls really need a close above 1355 with the following day confirmation of the move. Bears, conversely, need that aforementioned confirmed move to break the 50 DMA. Being neutral, I have to think tomorrow the RUT will recover, with initial resistance @ 1351 and a cap at 1361...but like I said, just need a close above 1355.

    Daily RUT.jpg
     
  19. T0rm3nted

    T0rm3nted Moderator
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    World markets and pre-market heading into today's trading session:

    upload_2017-1-24_7-34-39.png

    upload_2017-1-24_7-35-14.png
     
  20. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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