Stock Market Today: October 1st - 5th, 2018

Discussion in 'Stock Market Today' started by Stockaholic, Sep 28, 2018.

  1. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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    oil inventories were insanely bearish, but somehow crude still catching bids

    anyone know when the iran sanctions are set to go into effect?
     
  2. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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    nevermind, i did some digging and found that it just missed from being a new record :p

    [​IMG]

    the internals were quite noteworthy-

    [​IMG]

    employment with a reading of 62.4 is, dare i say it, an ATH :eek:

    [​IMG]
     
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  3. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Yeah market overall still handling the higher rates pretty well, but if yields continue to move up rapidly then I think it could become dangerous for equities :p Banks doing well today while homebuilders, utilities, real estate, and consumer staples underperforming probably due to higher rates

    NFP on Friday will be interesting. If we get a hot number on wages, it could actually be bad for equities if it sends yields surging :D
     
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  4. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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    just wanted to quickly c&p'ing these 2 charts over from the bull thread for those of you who don't venture outside of these threads too often :p

    kind of an interesting stat that i came across that i was not entirely aware of, but whenever the spx is entering an october on a 6 month winning streak, Q4 of a midterm year has been the best quarter out of the whole 4yr presidential cycle. :eek:

    Q1 and Q2 of a pre-election year have seen the second and third strongest returns on avg...so in other words, the next three quarters have been the strongest out of the entire presidential cycle.

    [​IMG]

    also of note is that Q3 is historically the weakest quarter for the markets out of the full year (but it wasn't this year -- it was actually one of the least volatile Q3's on record :p).

    anyway, what i found interesting was that whenever Q3 has gained +7% or more like it did this year, Q4 has finished up 13 out of 14 instances :eek:

    [​IMG]
     
  5. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    AAPL continues to be strong.
     
  6. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Well market really pulled back from the highs, maybe higher rates finally having some negative impacts to equities :p
     
  7. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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    ooo earnings whispers with a different calendar look here...going monthly instead of weekly now...nice...earnings season is almost here! :D

    here are most anticipated earnings releases for this month-
    [​IMG]
     
  8. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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  9. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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    yields bustin' out bigly here

    [​IMG]

    tomorrow's NFP's gonna be something of interest for sure :eek:
     
  10. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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    i don't typically care or pay too much attention to the weekly job claims report but i did find it interesting that after the brief "post-florence" spike we saw the other week, it's right back to testing ATLs again :eek:

    i'm calling it! sub 200k here we come :p

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
  11. StockJock-e

    StockJock-e Brew Master
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    Rough day for the QQQ!
     
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  12. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    I agree with you Cy, I think we see sub 200K for claims ;)
     
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  13. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    My guess is we will see yields backing off a little bit after the NFP tomorrow unless the wage number comes in really hot :p
     
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  14. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Utilities and financials outperforming in a red market today. It is interesting that utilities are higher when rates are higher, but I guess they are safe havens in a red market
     
  15. Ken34

    Ken34 2017 Stock Picking Contest Winner

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    may day may day!! lol

    how low can the NDX go
     
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  16. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    I think it has been awhile since the market made a 1% or more move in a day, looks like we will get it today
     
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  17. Stockaholic

    Stockaholic Content Manager

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    haha, yeah moment of truth coming up right here going into the final hour of the trading day :p

    this chart is a few days old, but should the spx close down 1% or greater today it will snap the 3rd longest streak without a +/-1% daily change ever. i think we're currently at 69 trading days without a +/-1% daily change right now.

    SPX is -1.10% as of the time of this post ... it could be a close call today :p

    [​IMG]
     
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  18. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Actually maybe I spoke too soon :p Now the DOW and the SPX down just under of 1%
     
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  19. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    Burger stocks holding up just fine (MCD, WEN, SHAK, even JACK).

    Looking hard at YUMC.
     
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  20. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    SBUX up too :eek: I guess these fast food restaurants are considered as relatively safe in a red market :p
     

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