The Long Term Investor

Discussion in 'Investing' started by WXYZ, Oct 2, 2018.

  1. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    Most important first......Seahawks to the Super Bowl. GO HAWKS. I give them about 80% odds of winning. A very dominant team.
     
  2. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    The modern GOLD and SILVER rush continues. An amazing run up..... but....even though I have benefited greatly I do not see it as a long term investment vehicle. Probably a bubble.......but I dont see it popping any time soon. Probably a good short term speculative momentum play. We will see if this is a "new era" for gold and silver with mainstream investors.

    Perhaps the COLLAPSE of actual journalism and media in finance and investing......will establish gold and silver as a mainstream longer term asset.

    GOLD ..........$5092
    SILVER.........$110.91
     
  3. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  4. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  5. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    EARNINGS.......the red headed stepchild of the markets......constantly kicked to the curb.

    Earnings vs. the Stock Market

    https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2026/01/earnings-vs-the-stock-market/

    "Investors tend to focus on a wide variety of variables — the Fed, geopolitics, interest rates, inflation, economic growth, etc. — but corporate earnings are the biggest driver of stock market returns over the long run."

    BUT....at the same time.

    "There are plenty of times when earnings and the market are not in sync with one another."
     
  6. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  7. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    As to GDP......economic data that actually matters.

    Data Summary: Q3 Real GDP; October-November Personal Income/Spending

    https://assets.realclear.com/files/2026/01/2836_data_summary_01-22-2026.pdf

    "Revised and more complete source data show real GDP grew at an
    annual rate of 4.4 percent in Q3 2025, matching our above-consensus
    forecast and up slightly from the initial estimate of 4.3 percent growth."
     
  8. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  9. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    We dodged the ice storm here. It was raining heavily just before the storm got here.....but all we got was ground ice as a result of sleet and icy snow. We have about an inch of ice snow but the trees and plants are free of ice.

    So far we are doing fine and the temperatures should go above freezing today and than moderate after today.
     
  10. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  11. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  12. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  13. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    That is about it so far today....as we wait for big tech earnings later this week.

    I start the day with five stocks GREEN. Unfortunately my two red are....NVDA and PLTR.

    Lets see where we are at day end. Actually what really matters.....lets see where we are in about......FIVE YEARS.
     
  14. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    A bit of short term data on my recent big winners

    NVDA:

    1 day........(-0.31%)
    5 day........+2.87%
    1 month....(-1.81%)
    6 month....+5.85%
    1 year........+57.99%
    YTD...........(-0.93%)

    PLTR:

    1 day..........(-0.31%)
    5 day..........+1.06%
    1 month......(-10.40%)
    6 month.......+7.09%
    1 year..........+124.58%
    YTD..............+0.93%
     

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