The Long Term Investor

Discussion in 'Investing' started by WXYZ, Oct 2, 2018.

  1. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    I believe these factories will be built on the property where my wife used to board her horses. It was bought by ELON a couple of years back for $13MILLION. We had to move our horses to a different....better....and of course....more expensive.....boarding stable. They had been at the old stable for 12 years.

    Elon Musk's Terafab is here: What it is, and why it's important for Tesla and SpaceX

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/elon...important-for-tesla-and-spacex-163426221.html
     
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  2. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    A big gain for me today.......but not as big as it should have been. the markets did not get as big of a bump as they should have today. The "correction" is still intact in my view. And of course good old COST....was red today.

    I did also manage to beat the SP500 today by 0.43%.

    It will tell us a lot about the short term future.....how long this little bump up lasts.....if only a day or two....the total dominance ot the negative will still be very much intact.

    I would NOT chase this rally short term.....If you are a long term investor.....OK. But chasing this rally....shorter term.... is a fools game.....I dont believe it will change any of what we have been seeing happen in the markets so far this year....in the short term.....a month or two. I am STILL positive for the year as a whole.
     
  3. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  4. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    OK.....that did not take long.....the rally lasted ONE day. We are now right back to the same old....same old....for 2026 so far. the DOMINANCE of the negative media......and their partners and users (manipulators?)....the short term traders.
     
  5. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    I like this little article.

    How investors should think about oil and stocks in the Iran war – in 3 simple steps

    https://nypost.com/2026/03/23/busin...and-stocks-in-the-iran-war-in-3-simple-steps/

    "......a simple, three-step pattern: 1) Volatility and oil prices surge ahead of the conflict as saber-rattling raises uncertainty, 2) Initial fighting further gooses volatility and prices as markets digest worst-case scenarios, then 3) Stocks begin to rally – well before the fighting stops – as investors fathom the conflict’s limited and temporary economic footprint, realizing that global growth isn’t stopping, after all."
     
  6. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    Anyone trying to do this sort of market timing.....is DOOMED to fail. BUT...go ahead and try if you wish.

    You Can Beat the Stock Market by Avoiding Its Worst Days. But You Won’t
    We put a viral post on X to the sniff test. It didn’t pass.

    https://www.morningstar.com/funds/you-can-beat-stock-market-by-avoiding-its-worst-days-you-wont

    "Theory aside, a strategy of attempting to avoid the market’s worst is practically impossible to pull off given how the market’s best and worst days tend to cluster together. This has thwarted generations of aspiring market-timers, novices, and professionals alike, and is likely to stymie success in the future."
     
  7. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    YES.....keep in mind as we continue with the current MESS of a market.

    Stock Market Searches for a Bottom as War Continues

    https://www.capitalspectator.com/stock-market-searches-for-a-bottom-as-war-continues/

    "Eventuallly, the backward‑looking influence will become far less useful from an investment perspective. We should remain open to the fact that markets continually look past what just happened and stay focused on the possibilities for tomorrow and beyond."
     
  8. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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  9. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    The.....market manipulators....at work. If you know the news content ahead of time....even the day to day articles that are going to be published......it is easier to make money short term.

    Futures Markets Saw Trading Spike Before Trump’s Iran Post

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-market-saw-trading-spike-063727323.html

    AMAZING....how many people have PSYCHIC POWERS.
     
  10. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    In REALITY.....there is absolutely nothing going on today. NOTHING in the news of interest to investors. We have simply moved past the positivity of the rally yesterday and moved back to the default negativity.

    SO.....I will leave for now....it is a waste of time to watch.......meaningless nothingness....move the markets down.

    Although I will say....when I have talked about and....RANTED...about the potential for a "New Normal" that will kill the markets in the future as the short term BS infects the long term.......what we are seeing for the first three months of this year....is exactly what I am talking about.

    Good and great EARNINGS that dont matter, positive fundamental news and releases that dont matter, an obsessive media focus on the negative every day...etc, etc, etc.
     
  11. Smokie

    Smokie Well-Known Member

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    I will give him credit for being a big thinker for sure. A very ambitious plan. The article is kind of a fluff piece, but I suspect it is early and specifics are somewhat limited. A lot to unpack as far as logistics, material supply, talent and so on.

    I think the last I read the TSMC plant was up and running in AZ. Reportedly it is also expanding operations there.

    We (US) should have been thinking about these sorts of resources long before now. It will be interesting to see if this comes to fruition. It is a big idea with a lot to be accomplished. We probably do not have in house talent to get it done alone, much like the plant in AZ. We had to bring folks in.

    We could add additional industries to this list easily. At some point I suspect some generation will be forced to address it.
     
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  12. Smokie

    Smokie Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, we are pretty much stuck in the war and oil environment at this point and will be the main "show."

    Of course the politicians will start getting nervous before too long. They always do. War is an unpredictable environment and they struggle with that.

    Anyway, is there anything else we would like to add to our 2026 plate this year?? We don't seem to have enough going on.
     
  13. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    Well......IGNORING the markets today....as usual lately.

    I am having fun with my LIVE CD production that I continue to work on and move toward commercial release. I am in continued negotiations with the record label.....that held the contract at the time of the show. So far it appears that I will get the approvals that I need to commercially release this production. I have a few hoops to jump through....but the fact that they gave me hoops rather than a flat out "no"...is very positive. AND....I will have those hoops satisfied....... tomorrow.

    I am also having fun reconnecting with band mates.....from back than.....as a result of this project. We all went through a very unique experience together.....something that we have in common and no one else in the world can understand. A real BOND between us all......that is there...... regardless of having no contact for many years now. A TRUE...."band of brothers"...experience.

    On the ART side of my life......I will soon be filling a blank spot in my office. A painting that has been away from home in an Exhibition.....will come home this Sunday. I will be doing a little day long road trip to bring it home.
     
    #28613 WXYZ, Mar 24, 2026 at 11:07 AM
    Last edited: Mar 24, 2026 at 11:14 AM
  14. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    We NOW have a green DOW.....and....the SP500 and NASDAQ have come back some. A GREEN close today....after we beat back the traders and manipulators today? Perhaps.

    That is the best I have......"perhaps".
     
  15. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    Well I lost MOST of what I made yesterday...not all.....but most. I had two green stocks today....COST and AAPL. I also got beat by the SP500 today in my stocks by....0.88%.
     
  16. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    NOTE......I WILL BE GONE ALL DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

    I have to drive to Houston to take care of some business on my LIVE CD that I produced. I will drive back the same day.....a little 7 hour road trip...round-trip.

    If you can....make some money for me tomorrow.
     
  17. TireSmoke

    TireSmoke Well-Known Member

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    Maybe WXYZ should go out of town more often...

    While I do like his commentary and company, his temporary absence is benefiting my portfolio! Is this correlation or causation!?!
     
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  18. TomB16

    TomB16 Well-Known Member

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    What a small world.

    Elon is talking about starting with a 2nm node and scaling to 1m wafer starts per month. That's ridiculous.

    The rule is: Don't bet against Elon Musk.

    I won't bet on Elon Musk to fail but I will bet on him to wildly miss that target in any reasonable time frame. If he can hit that target in 10 years, twice his projected, I will still consider that a win.

    I'm 99% sure the federal government is behind this idea. They need to re-shore IC production and this is a good fit, since Elon needs it for his purpose, anyway. Meanwhile, Tesla is actively hiring in Taiwan in attempt to poach engineers from TSMC.
     
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  19. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    That property is right next to the TSLA factory in Austin....but...across the river.
     
  20. WXYZ

    WXYZ Well-Known Member

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    YEAH.....I should be gone more often....I had a small....big gain today in my stocks. I also beat the SP500 today in my stocks by 0.43%.

    OK.....two days left this week....LETS GO.
     
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