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Tideinvestor: The stock market indicators based on fund flow analysis

Discussion in 'Trade Journals' started by Tideinvestor, Mar 15, 2020.

  1. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    [​IMG]
    Hello everyone,

    By the way of introduction, I am Jansen or you can call me Tideinvestor. I started my blog as a medium to record my investment / trading journey in the stock market and also to share with our fellow investors about my personal indicators about the stock market conditions. In my blog, I termed my personal stock market indicators as “Tide Indicators“.

    Currently, I used 6 main indicators that, based on my experiences, are accurate gauge of the general stock market condition (whether they are bullish or bearish). These 6 indicators (collectively know as “Tide indicators”) are established based on the fund flow analysis of the following commodities and currencies:

    Tide indicator #1: Crude Oil #1
    Tide indicator #2: Crude Oil #2
    Tide indicator #3: Gold
    Tide indicator #4: Japanese Yen (JPY)
    Tide indicator #5: Australian dollar (AUD)
    Tide indicator #6: Swiss Franc (CHF)

    You may find the records of my Tide indicators since the start of year 2019 via the Tide Indicators page. Below are an example of how my Tide indicators are recorded in my blog:

    [​IMG]

    So the idea is that, by analyzing the fund flow of the above 6 commodities and currencies, it can give me an overall picture to stay long (bullish) or short (bearish) in the stock market for the coming short term.


    Personally, I believe that investing or trading in the stock market is all about probabilities. By investing along with the general stock market condition, the probabilities of your technical analysis or fundamental analysis being accurate will increase significantly. For example: When you are bullish about a certain stock based on either technical analysis or fundamental analysis, the probabilities that your analysis being accurate will increase significantly in a bullish stock market condition.

    By using the above theory of probabilities, my investing / trading strategies are very simple. It is to be focused on being bullish in a bullish stock market condition and being bearish in a bearish stock market condition.

    In my Tideinvestor blog, I will be sharing with our fellow investors about my Tide indicators and whether the Tide indicators are pointing to a bullish or bearish stock market condition in the coming short term. If you believe in timing the market, Tide indicators will be what you are looking for. It will be a tool which will provide you with a forward looking indicator of the stock market condition. When used to complement your technical or fundamental analysis, Tide indicators will be able to give you an edge over the stock market.

    Remember, It is all about maximizing your probabilities in the stock market.

    Curious to know more about Tide Indicators and how to interpret them? Please visit my Tide Indicators introduction post. I followed a very simple rule to spot a trend reversal. It is that “majority of my Tide indicators must “reverse” for continuous 5 weeks“.

    One example will be about the market peak during early year 2020. My Tide Indicators had already forewarned about this market peak on 21 December 2019, where majority of my Tide indicators (more than 3) had reverse from "Long" to "Short" for continuous 5 weeks, indicating a market peak happening in the coming short term. See below picture for illustration:

    [​IMG]
    By following my Tide Indicators and the price actions of the major charts, I had started shorting the stock market from 23 January 2020. And all the major indices did reached its peak in the coming short term during early January 2020 and the US indices during mid February 2020:

    Nasdaq: peaked at 19 February 2020
    STI: peaked at 17 January 2020
    SSEC: peaked at 14 January 2020
    Hang Seng: peaked at 20 January 2020
    Nikkei: peaked at 17 January 2020
    Crude Oil: peaked at 6 January 2020
    USD/JPY: peaked at 20 January 2020
    SGD/JPY: peaked at 20 January 2020

    Most importantly, please note that my Tide indicators are a forward looking indicator. What I mean by this is that if Tide indicators turned from “Long” to “Short” for continuous 5 weeks on 21 December 2019, it does not means that a bearish trend will start on 21 December 2019. Instead, it is indicating that a market peak will be approaching in the coming short term (normally expected within 6 weeks).

    Looking forward to sharing about my Tide indicators and analysis with you all. Hope that it will be useful for your trading reference.

    Cheers.
     
    #1 Tideinvestor, Mar 15, 2020
    Last edited: Mar 17, 2020
  2. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    #2 Tideinvestor, Mar 15, 2020
    Last edited: Mar 17, 2020
  3. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    [​IMG]
    This week, I remain Neutral (not Bullish yet) on the stock market. What is still pending is that I am still awaiting more bullish price actions in the stock market to confirm the market bottom, then my Tide Indicators will be changed from Neutral to Bullish. Once my Tide Indicators is Bullish, I will start going Long and close the last 20% of the short positions that I am still holding. Please visit blog for full charts and analysis: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-14-march-2020/

    This week, there are some reversal in the fund flow of my Tide Indicators, where 3 of them are now “Short” on the stock market. However, this does not overwrite the confirmation on 29 Feb 2020 that the stock market is expected to reach its bottom in the coming short term. As mentioned before, one week of changes in my Tide Indicators is not conclusive of any trend reversal, as they might reverse back to “Long” next week. To be conclusive, they must reverse for a continuous period of 5 weeks.

    I will continue to monitor the fund flow of my Tide Indicators and inform you all of any major development. If 3 of my Tide Indicators remain “Short” for the next 4 weeks, the worst case scenario will be that the upcoming bull will likely be a short one.

    Some of you had asked me about my definition of “coming short term”. There is no hard and fast rule for this as the market is ever-changing. But usually I will give it a maximum of 6 weeks. Therefore, I am expecting a market bottom happening within 6 weeks from 29 February 2020.

    Overall, from all the major charts, I had noticed that signs of bullish price actions are being revealed one by one. Bullish price action can already be seemed in the USD/JPY chart. There are also signs of possible bullish price action in the Nasdaq and SGD/JPY charts.

    But I will still require more bullish price actions to confirm the market bottom. If more bullish price actions do appear in the upcoming week, it is likely that my Tide Indicators will be changed to Bullish from Neutral in the upcoming week.

    Some of them might be thinking about why am I waiting for bullish price actions then I will start going Long. The aim is not to catch falling knife here, so there is no need to guess the bottom or buy exactly at bottom. I will only start going Long when there is clear sign of bullish reversal. It is not too late to buy even it is not exactly at bottom, buying near bottom is sufficient.

    Let’s monitor the stock market actively and I will update my blog once I noticed more bullish price actions in the stock market. All the best trading!


     
  4. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    Hello all! Tide Indicators for 21 March 2020 had been updated. Please visit blog to view full updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/

    More bullish price action are being observed in the major charts this week, pointing to a possible bottom which is supported by my Tide indicators. However, I still require more bullish price action to confirm that this is indeed the bottom.

    It had been a short but tiring wait, with the market being so tempting to enter everyday. But waiting is part of the "game". Stay very patient still in the meanwhile, till there are more clear signs of reversal happening.

    The full Tide Indicators analysis will be posted on 23 March 2020. Cheers!
     
  5. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    [​IMG]
    Hello all! This week, I remain Neutral (not Bullish yet) on the stock market. What remains outstanding is still more bullish price action in the stock market. Please visit blog for full charts and analysis: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-21-march-2020/

    This week, 4 of my Tide indicators are now “Long” on the stock market and this overwrite the bearish sign last week where 3 of them are “Short”. This is a good news for the upcoming bull and market bottom, as this suggests that the upcoming bull is unlikely to be a short-lived one.

    Even though more bullish price action are being observed in the major charts this week, pointing to a possible bottom which is supported by my Tide indicators. I still require more bullish price action to confirm that this is indeed the bottom. I will only start go long on the stock market once I get the above confirmation regarding the market bottom.

    This week, bullish price action can also be seen in the SGD/JPY chart. There are also signs of possible bullish price action in the SSEC, Hang Seng and AUD/JPY charts already.

    All in all, more bullish price action can be observed in the stock market this week. This is a good signs for those that are waiting to buy at low. The opportunity to start doing so might arise soon. Let’s monitor actively.

    Lastly, an update to my trading plan regarding my short positions. As the stock market had been very volatile lately, I had slightly revised my trading plan regarding the last 20% of the short positions that I am still holding. Currently, I have plan to further close 10% of my short positions if there are further major plunge in the stock market from the current level.

    Stay very patient in the meantime and not rush into going long without a clear sign of reversal. Remember that waiting and being patience is part of the “investing game”.

    All the best trading everyone!
     
  6. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    [​IMG]


    Hello all! Tideinvestor is now Bullish on the stock market! If you had been following my Tide indicators, you would have know that my Tide indicators had provided me with an advance warning on 29 February 2020 that the stock market is expected to reach its bottom in the coming short term. Since then, I had been monitoring the major charts for bullish price action signaling the market bottom. Please visit blog for full charts: https://tideinvestor.com/tideinvestor-stock-market-status-update-27-march-2020/

    And today (around 3 weeks later), I had noticed bullish price action appearing in all of the major charts. With these bullish price action and as forewarned from my Tide Indicators that a market bottom is approaching , I am now Bullish instead of Neutral on the stock market. If I were to put it in a timeline form, we are currently at the start of the uptrend pictured below:

    [​IMG]
    The Bullish tide had finally arrived and I had closed the last 20% of my short positions today as per planned. Now that my Tide Indicators is Bullish, I had started to go Long on the stock market in the following proportions:

    – Long positions on US markets (60%)
    – Long positions on Asia markets (30%)
    – Long position on Crude Oil (10%)

    With this market bottom arriving, it had also summed up another trading cycle of mine from End-January 2020 to End-March 2020. It had been a fast and short ride down and I am looking forward to ride the trend up this time.

    Trade with the tide and all the best trading everyone!
     
  7. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    Hello all. Tide indicators for this week had been updated: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/

    This week, the fund flow on AUD had reversed back to Bullish. This is a very good sign, and in line to what I mentioned last week that the fund flow on AUD will change back to Bullish once the stock market reached its bottom.

    Now that I am Bullish on the stock market, I had already opened my Long positions on friday as per my trading plan. I am looking forward to the market movement next week.

    The full Tide Indicators analysis will be posted on 30 March 2020. Trade with the tide!
     
  8. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    [​IMG]
    Hello all!

    The wait is finally over, I am now Bullish on the stock market! Bullish price action can be seen in all of the major charts on 27 March 2020, pointing to the market bottom which is forewarned by my Tide indicators on 29 February 2020. Please visit blog for full analysis: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-28-march-2020/

    This week, fund flow on 5 of my Tide indicators are Long on the stock market, implying that the fund flow are still Bullish on the stock market. Moreover, the fund flow on AUD had reversed back to Long on the stock market. This is a very good sign, and in line with what mentioned in my Tide indicators analysis last week that the fund flow on AUD will change back to Long once the market bottom is reached. All of the above are bullish signs for the upcoming bull run.

    Now that I am Bullish on the stock market, I had already opened my Long positions on Friday as per my trading plan in my blog.

    My only question mark now is how long will the market bull last? For this, I will let my Tide indicators inform me by monitoring the fund flow of the stock market. If there are any bearish sign of reversal approaching, it will be reflected in my Tide indicators.

    The market bottom had finally arrived. If you believe in timing the market, I do not recommend shorting the stock market anymore. Personally, I think that you can start going Long the stock market with confidence.

    Trade with the tide!
     
  9. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    Hello all! Tide Indicators for 4 April 2020 had been updated. Please visit blog to view full updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/

    Fund flow on AUD remains Long on the stock market this week. This is the second week that the fund flow on AUD reversed back to Long and is a very bullish sign regarding the market bottom.

    This week, I remain Bullish on the stock market, with view that the market bottom is already here. There have not been any major movement in the stock market this week. Like everyone, I am also awaiting the next big movement to occur. Personally, I am expecting the next big movement to be upwards. Let's see if it will be revealed in the upcoming week.

    The full Tide Indicators analysis will be posted on 6 April 2020. Cheers!
     
  10. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    [​IMG]

    Hello all.

    This week, I remain Bullish on the stock market, with view that the market bottom is already here. Please visit blog for full analysis and charts: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-4-april-2020/

    There is no change in the fund flow of the stock market this week, where 5 of my Tide indicators remain Long on the stock market. The flow fund on AUD remains Long on the stock market for 2 consecutive weeks already and the bullish fund flow on AUD further support that the market bottom is already here.​

    [​IMG]
    This week, I will say that the stock market is much calmer now as compared to the weeks before. There have not been any major movement in the stock market except for the major jump up for Crude oil. This is a good news for those that are also Long on Crude oil as me. Currently, I have no plan to close my Crude oil position yet. I will continue to monitor if there are better development regarding Crude oil in the coming weeks.

    Like everyone, I am also awaiting for the next big movement to occur. Personally, I am expecting the next big movement to be upwards. Let’s see if it will be revealed and whether will there be more positive development in the stock market in the upcoming week.

    As mentioned, my Tide Indicators are not supporting anyone to short the stock market anymore. It is more safe to go Long on the market now along with the Bullish tide.

    All the best trading everyone and trade with the tide!
     
  11. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    Hello all! Tide Indicators (for 11 April 2020) had been updated. Please visit blog to view full updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/

    There are some slight changes in the fund flow of my Tide Indicators this week, where 3 of them are now "Short" on the stock market. Although this is a Bearish sign, I will still require the Tide indicators for next week to confirm that the fund flow is indeed reversing to Bearish. Remember that my Tide Indicators must reverse for continuous weeks to confirm that a market reversal is approaching. One week of changes is non-conclusive. Thus, it is too early to talk about reversal back to bearish at this point in time.

    Therefore, I still remain Bullish on the stock market this week and will await the Tide Indicators for next week to have my further views on the stock market. The worst case scenario will be that this Bullish run will be a short-lived one.

    The full Tide Indicators analysis will be posted on 13 April 2020. Have a nice weekend!
     
  12. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    [​IMG]

    Hello all. This week, I remain Bullish on the stock market, with view that there will be more upside than downside in the stock market. Please visit blog for full analysis: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-11-april-2020/

    This week, there are slight reversal in the fund flow of my Tide Indicators, where 3 of them are now “Short” on the stock market. Although this is a Bearish sign, I will still require the Tide indicators for next week to confirm that the fund flow is indeed changing to Bearish. Remember that one week of changes is non-conclusive as they might change back to “Long” next week. Therefore, I will await the Tide Indicators for next week to have my further views on the stock market. In the meantime, I am not expecting any major movement downwards in the stock market for the upcoming week.​

    [​IMG]

    Looking at all the major charts, I will be focusing on the Crude oil chart for the upcoming week. Other than the development of Covid-19, many eyes will be on the oil production cut announced by the OPEC+ and other nations.

    Currently, Crude oil chart is facing rejection at 20 EMA with the next big movement still pending. Personally, I am expecting the next big movement to be upwards. Let’s see if it will be revealed and whether the production cut will be a positive one in the upcoming week.

    At this point in time, my Tide Indicators are still not supporting anyone to short the stock market. It is more safe to go Long on the stock market along with the Bullish tide.

    All the best trading everyone and trade with the tide!​
     
  13. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    Hello all.

    Latest Tide indicators (for 18 April 2020) had been updated. Please visit blog to view full updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/

    This week, only 2 of my Tide Indicators are Short on the stock market. The fund flow on AUD has again reversed back to Long on the stock market and this is a bullish sign. Overall, the fund flow of the stock market remain Long and healthy.

    Therefore, I remain Bullish on the stock market this week, with view that there will be more upside than downside in the stock market. I am still not expecting any major movement downwards in the stock market for the upcoming week, except for maybe small pullback.

    More will be shared in my full analysis available on 20 April 2020. Cheers!
     
  14. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    [​IMG]
    Hello all. This week, I remain Bullish on the stock market, with the same view that there will be more upside than downside in the stock market. Please visit blog to view full analysis and charts: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-18-april-2020/

    One good news for this week will be that the fund flow on AUD has again reversed back to Long! As majority of my Tide Indicators remain Long on the stock market, there is no sign of trend reversal in sight yet from the fund flow of the stock market. The fund flow still remains Long and healthy for now. If the fund flow on AUD continues to remains Long for the next week or more, it will give me an extra confirmation that there is no trend reversal yet for the coming short term.​

    [​IMG]
    Looking at the major charts, I can see that the stock market is currently on “risk-on” mode. One key chart that I will like to point out this week will be the the Gold chart. Gold has also been on a steady trend up while the market went on “risk-on” mode.

    For myself, I am expecting Gold to at least have a major downwards movement or enter into a phase of accumulation (ranging) while the market is on “risk-on” mode now. And this week, Bearish price action can be seen in the Gold chart, with the next major direction still pending. Personally, I am expecting Gold to continue to trend down.

    With the downwards movement expecting from the Gold chart, I am expecting the stock market to enjoy another leg of trend up. Let’s see if it will be revealed in the upcoming weeks.

    To end off, my Tide Indicators are still not supporting anyone to short the stock market. It will be more safe to go Long on the stock market along with the Bullish tide.

    All the best trading everyone and trade with the tide!​
     
  15. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    Hello all! Tide Indicators [​IMG] for 25 April 2020 had been updated. Please visit blog to view full updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/

    The fund flow on AUD has again changed back to Short this week, where 3 of the Tide Indicators are now Short on the stock market. Overall, there are signs from the fund flow of the stock market that a reversal might be approaching in the coming short term. I will say that the Tide Indicators for next 3 weeks will be crucial for me to confirm whether a reversal will be approaching the stock market in the coming short term (currently expected in at least 4 weeks later from 25 April 2020).

    Pending the above confirmation, I still remain Bullish on the stock market. It has been around one month from 27 March 2020 since my Tide Indicators first changed to Bullish from Neutral. I will say that the best timing to enter based on my Tide Indicators will be within the first week when my Tide Indicators have changed to Bullish. For those who are looking to enter the stock market currently, do exercise caution and try to time your entry better like on pullback as there will surely be pullback along the way. It is important not to chase the market too much and be patient.

    More will be shared in my full Tide Indicators analysis available on 27 April 2020. Have a nice weekend everyone!
     
  16. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    [​IMG]

    Hello all~ This week, there are signs from the fund flow of the stock market that a trend reversal to Bearish might be approaching the stock market in the coming short term (currently expected in at least 4 weeks later from 25 April 2020). Please visit blog for full analysis and charts: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-25-april-2020/

    [​IMG]

    This week, the fund flow on AUD has again reversed back to Short on the stock market and 3 (majority) of the Tide Indicators are now Short on the stock market again. There are also signs that the fund flow on Gold and JPY might be changing to Short on the stock market in the next update (on 2 May 2020) although they still remain Long this week.

    I will say that the Tide Indicators for next 3 weeks will be crucial for me to confirm about the above trend reversal. I will update you all again if they are any significant development in the fund flow of my Tide Indicators in my subsequent updates.

    Pending the above confirmation, I still remain Bullish on the stock market, with view that there will be more upside than downside in the stock market.

    It has been around one month from 27 March 2020 since my Tide Indicators first changed to Bullish from Neutral. And I will say that the best timing to enter based on my Tide Indicators will be within the first week when my Tide Indicators have changed to Bullish. It is important to note that the stock market does not go up in one straight line.

    In a bullish market, the stock market will go trend up in impulsive wave up and corrective wave down. Therefore, it is important not to chase the market too much and be patient in timing your entry on the end of corrective wave instead of on the end of impulsive wave.

    Looking at all the major charts, I noticed that rising wedge can be observed in majority of the major charts like S&P, STI and Hang Seng. And the breakout of the rising wedge might signal the start of the corrective wave down for the current bullish tide before the next impulsive wave up.

    For those who are looking to go Long on the stock market currently, it is important to take note of this rising wedge breakout and wait for clearer direction of the stock market before entering. The price action of the stock market for next week will be important to confirm whether the above rising wedge breakout is real or fake.

    For those who are holding Long positions already, the current market high might be a good opportunity to recycle your positions and wait for clearer direction of the stock market before going Long on the stock market again. If the rising wedge breakout is confirmed to be a real one, it will be an opportunity for you to sell high and buy low.

    Some of you might be interested to know if I will short the stock market instead given the rising wedge breakout. My answer will be no. As my Tide Indicators remain Bullish, I will only be trading on bullish chart patterns and will not trade against my Tide Indicators. I will prefer to recycle my positions and go Long again at lower price at the end of the corrective wave down.

    All in all, do exercise caution entering the stock market in the meantime and wait for clearer direction of the stock market in the upcoming weeks. Opportunities to enter the stock market at lower price might arise given the rising wedge breakout. Let’s monitor the breakout actively.

    All the best trading everyone!​
     
  17. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    Hello all! Tide Indicators (for 2 May 2020) had been updated. Please visit blog to view full updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/

    This week, the fund flow on Gold had indeed reversed to Short on the stock market and 4 of my Tide indicators are now Short on the stock market. This will be the second week that majority (at least 3) of my Tide Indicators have reversed from Long to Short. The same rule applies as always. I will require majority of my Tide Indicators to reverse from "Long" to "Short" for continuous 5 weeks to confirm that a market reversal to Bearish will be approaching in the coming short term.

    Pending the next 2-3 weeks's Tide Indicators, I still maintain my view that the stock has not reached its peak yet but is going to experience a corrective wave down first before the next impulsive wave up to the possible peak as mentioned in my analysis last week.

    Therefore, do exercise caution in going Long on the stock market in the meantime and be patient in timing your entry on the end of corrective wave down instead.

    More will be shared in the full Tide Indicators analysis which will be posted on 4 May 2020 in my blog. Have a nice weekend!
     
  18. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    [​IMG]
    Hello all. This week, the fund flow on Gold had indeed reversed to Short on the stock market and 4 of my Tide indicators are now Short on the stock market. Please visit blog for full analysis and charts: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-2-may-2020/

    [​IMG]

    This will be the second week that majority (at least 3) of my Tide Indicators have reversed from Long to Short on the stock market. Overall these are Bearish sign, but I wish to point out that market reversal to Bearish is still not confirmed yet! I will be actively monitoring and updating the fund flow of my Tide Indicators as per my Schedules.

    With the market reversal still pending confirmation from my Tide Indicators, I remain Bullish on the stock market. However, as mentioned in my analysis last week, I am currently expecting the stock market to experience a corrective wave down from the rising wedge breakout which can be observed in the S&P, Hang Send and STI charts. After this corrective wave down, I am then expecting another impulsive wave up (wave 2) to the possible peak that my Tide Indicators might be warning about (however, the reversal remains to be confirmed for now).

    Following up with the rising wedge breakout in the S&P, Hang Seng and STI charts from last week, I will say that whether rising wedge breakout is real or fake remains to be confirmed.

    The key area that I am monitoring for the S&P, Hang Seng and STI charts will be as follows:

    – S&P: Around 273X range
    – STI: Around 251X range
    – Hang Seng: Around 2350X range

    For those who are looking to go Long on the stock market currently, do remain patient and wait for clearer direction of the stock market before entering. If there are indeed Bullish price action at the above key areas, then it might be a good timing to enter the stock market.

    Therefore, do exercise caution in going Long on the stock market in the meantime as I am expecting a corrective wave down to occur in the stock market in the upcoming weeks. Let's wait for clearer direction of the stock market before entering.

    All the best trading / investing everyone!​
     
  19. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    Hello all! Tide Indicators had been updated today. Please visit blog to view full updates: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators/

    This week, there is no change in the fund flow of the stock market where 4 of my Tide indicators remain Short on the stock market. This will be the third week that majority (at least 3) of my Tide Indicators had reversed from Long to Short on the stock market. Overall, these mean that the fund flow of the stock market are getting Bearish and a trend reversal to bearish might approaching the stock market in the coming short term if the fund flow remains Bearish for the next two weeks. *Finger crossed for now*

    Pending the next 2 weeks Tide Indicators, I still maintain my view that the stock market has not reached its peak yet. I am currently still expecting the stock market to experience a corrective wave down from the rising wedge breakout from the major charts. After this corrective wave down, I am then expecting another impulsive wave up (wave 2) to the possible peak that my Tide Indicators might be warning about.

    The full Tide Indicators analysis will be released on 11 May 2020. Cheers!
     
  20. Tideinvestor

    Tideinvestor Member

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    Hello all. This week, I remain Bullish on the stock market and maintain my view that the stock market has not reached its peak yet. Please visit blog to view full charts and analysis: https://tideinvestor.com/tide-indicators-analysis-9-may-2020/


    [​IMG]

    This week, there is no change in the fund flow of the stock market where 4 of my Tide indicators remain Short on the stock market. This will be the third week that majority (at least 3) of my Tide Indicators had reversed from Long to Short on the stock market. Overall, these mean that the fund flow of the stock market are getting Bearish and a trend reversal to bearish might approaching the stock market in the coming short term if the fund flow remains Bearish for the next two weeks.

    Pending the next 2 weeks Tide Indicators, the market reversal to Bearish is still not confirmed yet! It is still possible that the fund flow might reverse back to Bullish next week or next next week.

    Following up with the rising wedge breakout in the S&P, Hang Seng and STI charts previously, I will say that there have not been much movement in the major charts because of a public holiday packed week in majority of the countries. As there is no significant movement in the major charts yet, the key area that I will be monitoring for the S&P, Hang Seng and STI charts still remain as follows:

    – S&P: Around 273X range
    – STI: Around 251X range
    – Hang Seng: Around 2350X range

    Most of the major charts have been practically ranging for the past weeks and I will make my assessment of the stock market again when they had reached my key areas stated above. Do remain patient in the meantime.

    All the best trading everyone!
     

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